Verisk Analytics, Inc. quarterly report, Q1 FY2016

Verisk Analytics, Inc. — Q1 2016 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2016; unaudited. Verisk provides proprietary data, analytics and decision-support solutions, primarily for risk-bearing businesses. Its reportable segments are Decision Analytics and Risk Assessment. The healthcare business, Verisk Health, is presented as discontinued operations.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQ1 2016Q1 2015Change
Revenue from continuing operations$492.7 million$384.3 million+28.2%
Operating income$192.6 million$174.0 million+10.7%
Income from continuing operations$109.7 million$96.4 million+13.9%
Net income$92.6 million$98.7 million-6.1%
Diluted EPS$0.54$0.61-11.5%
Operating cash flow$303.9 million$271.0 million+12.1%
Capital expenditures$30.8 million$24.8 millionHigher year over year
  • Revenue growth included $89.3 million from Wood Mackenzie, Infield and PCI. Excluding those acquisitions, consolidated revenue increased 5.0%.
  • Decision Analytics revenue rose 46.7% to $312.9 million, including acquisitions; excluding them, it grew 4.8%. Risk Assessment revenue increased 5.2% to $179.8 million.
  • EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure, was $263.1 million, up 21.6%. Reported consolidated EBITDA margin, including discontinued operations, was 46.8%, versus 47.1%; Verisk Health reduced Q1 2016 margin by 3.6 percentage points. Risk Assessment margin increased to 60.8% from 59.1%; Decision Analytics margin was 40.2% versus 40.0%, including discontinued operations.
  • Net income included a $17.1 million after-tax loss from discontinued operations, compared with $2.3 million income a year earlier. The 2016 discontinued-operation tax provision included an $18.2 million charge, primarily from recognizing a deferred tax liability related to Verisk Health’s estimated stock-basis difference.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $131.8 million at March 31, 2016; cash plus available-for-sale securities totaled $135.3 million. Operating cash flow excluding Verisk Health was $281.8 million, up 20.2%.
  • Total debt on the balance sheet was $2.981 billion, including short-term debt and current maturities. The company reported $2.3 billion aggregate principal of senior notes and $705 million of revolver borrowings. It disclosed $1.0427 billion available under its $1.75 billion revolving facility and compliance with debt covenants. In April, it repaid $25 million of revolver borrowings.
  • Financing cash outflow was $277.8 million, including $165 million of net short-term debt repayments and $116.4 million of share repurchases. The company repurchased 1.66 million shares at an average $69.97; $353.0 million remained authorized.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Acquisition-related revenue drove much of the reported growth, alongside higher acquisition-related operating costs, depreciation and amortization, and interest expense. Interest expense increased 75.4% to $32.0 million, primarily due to debt incurred for Wood Mackenzie.
  • Excluding recent acquisitions, Decision Analytics insurance revenue grew, while financial-services revenue declined 19.0%, partly because a media-effectiveness project had contributed revenue in Q1 2015. Energy and specialized markets revenue excluding acquisitions decreased 3.6%, reflecting lower weather-risk solutions.
  • Risk Assessment growth reflected pricing, enhanced solution content and expanded sales to existing customers. Management cited operating leverage and cost efficiencies in the segment.
  • Management said subscription and long-term agreement receipts, generally collected in advance, support recurring revenue and cash generation. It expects approximately $175 million of 2016 capital expenditures, primarily for technology infrastructure and solution development.

Outlook, unusual items and risks

  • After quarter-end, Verisk signed an agreement to sell Verisk Health to Veritas Capital for $820 million, subject to customary adjustments, regulatory approvals and closing conditions. Consideration consists of $720 million cash, a $100 million subordinated note with an eight-year maturity and 9% interest paid in kind, plus other contingent consideration. Closing was expected by June 30, 2016; the filing does not establish the eventual closing or final proceeds.
  • The company also acquired Risk Intelligence Ireland in April 2016 for $6.8 million net cash consideration.
  • Management stated that Q1 results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results. The filing provides capital expenditure expectations but no specific revenue or earnings guidance.
  • Several legal matters, including putative class actions and patent litigation, remained unresolved; the company said it could not estimate potential losses. The filing also notes that controls testing excluded Wood Mackenzie, Infield and PCI, which represented 18.1% of Q1 revenue; management concluded disclosure controls were effective.
  • Foreign-currency translation reduced other comprehensive income by $75.3 million in the quarter. The filing reported no material change in market risks, risk factors or contractual obligations from the prior annual report.

Investor verification checklist

  • Confirm the Verisk Health sale’s closing, final adjusted consideration, contingent terms and treatment of the subordinated note.
  • Assess organic growth and margins separately from Wood Mackenzie, Infield and PCI, including the durability of insurance growth and weakness in financial services and weather risk.
  • Review the discontinued-operation tax charge and any resulting tax effects or sale-related adjustments.
  • Monitor debt, revolver availability, covenant headroom, interest costs and capital allocation, including repurchases and planned capital expenditures.
  • Track developments and potential exposure in the disclosed litigation, and the integration of acquired businesses into internal controls.