AMBEV S.A. current report, Q2 FY2015

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: AMBEV S.A.
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Interim Consolidated Financial Statements)
Reporting Period: Six months ended June 30, 2015 (compared to six months ended June 30, 2014)
Currency: Brazilian Reais (R$) in thousands
Business Overview: Ambev produces and sells beer, soft drinks, and other beverages across the Americas. The company is a subsidiary of Anheuser-Busch InBev N.V/S.A. and operates in three primary segments: Latin America - North (Brazil, Cuba, Guatemala, Dominican Republic), Latin America - South (Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay), and Canada.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (Six Months Ended June 30) 2015 (R$ '000) 2014 (R$ '000)
Net Sales 20,678,795 17,222,505
Gross Profit 13,290,337 11,173,525
Income from Operations (EBIT) 7,514,095 6,276,887
Net Income 5,553,684 4,812,407
Net Income Attributable to Ambev 5,319,319 4,713,521
Normalized EBITDA 9,196,255 7,378,350
Cash Flow from Operating Activities 7,104,306 4,189,581
Cash and Cash Equivalents (End of Period) 6,899,779 9,722,067
Total Debt (Interest-bearing loans) 2,666,013 2,622,623
Total Assets 74,436,162 72,143,203

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Net sales increased by 20.1% to R$20.68 billion, driven by volume growth and price/mix improvements across all segments, particularly in Latin America - South and Canada.
  • Profitability: Net income rose 15.4% to R$5.55 billion. Normalized EBITDA margin improved to 44.5% from 42.8% in the prior year.
  • Non-Recurring Items: The period included a significant non-recurring expense of R$229.1 million related to an administrative proceeding (CADE antitrust settlement regarding the "Tô Contigo" program). Excluding this, operating performance was stronger.
  • Segment Performance:
    • Latin America - North: Net sales up 10.6%; Normalized EBITDA up 17.4%.
    • Latin America - South: Net sales up 58.0%; Normalized EBITDA up 63.0%.
    • Canada: Net sales up 19.6%; Normalized EBITDA up 15.7%.
  • Balance Sheet: Total assets increased by R$2.29 billion. Cash and cash equivalents decreased by R$2.82 billion, primarily due to dividend payments and capital expenditures.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

  • Unusual Items:
    • Antitrust Settlement: Ambev settled a lawsuit with Brazil's antitrust authority (CADE) regarding a customer loyalty program, agreeing to pay a fine of R$229 million. This was recorded as a non-recurring expense in Q2 2015.
    • Restructuring: Restructuring costs of R$17.6 million were incurred, mainly in the Latin America - South segment.
  • Risks and Contingencies:
    • Tax Litigation: The company faces significant tax contingencies (R$27.1 billion total potential exposure), primarily related to ICMS, IPI, PIS, and Cofins in Brazil. Management classifies many of these as "possible" losses with no provision recorded.
    • Foreign Exchange: Significant exposure to currency fluctuations, particularly the Brazilian Real. The company uses derivatives to hedge operational and financial risks.
    • Commodity Prices: Exposure to aluminum, sugar, wheat, and corn prices, managed through fixed-price contracts and derivatives.
  • Capital Management: The company continues to optimize its capital structure. Significant cash outflows were used for dividends (R$6.59 billion) and interest on shareholder's equity (R$4.49 billion) during the six-month period.
  • Outlook: No specific forward-looking guidance numbers were provided in this filing. Management focuses on maintaining financial flexibility to execute strategic projects.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Antitrust Settlement Impact: Verify the payment schedule for the R$229 million CADE fine and confirm no further legal exposure remains regarding the "Tô Contigo" program.
  • Tax Contingencies: Review the status of major tax lawsuits (ICMS, IPI, PIS/Cofins) totaling over R$27 billion to assess the probability of future provisions impacting earnings.
  • Currency Hedging Effectiveness: Analyze the sensitivity of financial results to fluctuations in the Brazilian Real and the effectiveness of the derivative portfolio in mitigating these risks.
  • Dividend Sustainability: Assess the company's ability to maintain high dividend payouts and interest on shareholder's equity given the significant cash outflows in the first half of 2015.
  • Segment Growth Drivers: Investigate the specific drivers behind the 58% sales growth in Latin America - South to determine if this is sustainable or driven by one-time factors.