AGREE REALTY CORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2017

Agree Realty Corporation — Form 10-Q Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

Agree Realty Corporation is a Maryland REIT focused on acquiring, developing and managing retail properties under long-term net leases. The filing covers the unaudited three and nine months ended September 30, 2017, compared with the corresponding 2016 periods.

  • Portfolio at September 30, 2017: 425 properties in 43 states, approximately 8.3 million square feet, 99.7% leased and approximately 10.5 years of weighted average remaining lease term.
  • The Company held a 98.8% interest in Agree Limited Partnership and operated as one reportable segment.

Financial Performance and Key Metrics

MetricQ3 2017Q3 20169M 20179M 2016
Total revenues$30.4 million$24.2 million$85.0 million$66.2 million
Net income$12.3 million$14.5 million$42.1 million$32.9 million
Net income attributable to Agree$12.2 million$14.3 million$41.6 million$32.4 million
Diluted EPS$0.42$0.61$1.52$1.46
Funds from operations$20.0 million$16.2 million$55.0 million$42.6 million
Diluted FFO per share$0.69$0.68$2.00$1.90
Adjusted FFO$19.9 million$15.8 million$54.8 million$42.2 million
Diluted AFFO per share$0.69$0.66$2.00$1.88
  • Q3 revenue increased 26% year over year; nine-month revenue increased 28%.
  • Q3 operating income was $16.4 million versus $14.2 million; the operating margin was approximately 54.1% versus 58.7% in the prior-year quarter.
  • Nine-month operating income was $45.3 million versus $37.0 million; the operating margin was approximately 53.3% versus 55.9%.
  • Q3 net margin was approximately 40.4% versus 59.9%; nine-month net margin was approximately 49.5% versus 49.7%.
  • Q3 minimum rents increased to $27.3 million from $22.3 million. Operating cost reimbursements increased to $2.8 million from $1.8 million.
  • Cash provided by operating activities for the nine months was $55.2 million, compared with $45.8 million in 2016.
  • Cash used in investing was $241.3 million, including $241.1 million for acquisitions and other real estate investments and $27.2 million for development. Net cash provided by financing was $178.2 million.

Balance Sheet, Debt and Liquidity

  • Total assets were $1.367 billion at September 30, 2017, up from $1.142 billion at December 31, 2016. Net real estate investments were $1.121 billion versus $950.3 million.
  • Gross indebtedness was $487.7 million: $68.2 million of mortgages, $159.5 million of unsecured term loans and $260.0 million of senior unsecured notes. There were no revolving credit facility borrowings.
  • The Company issued $100.0 million of 4.19% senior unsecured notes due September 2029 in September 2017.
  • The $250.0 million revolving credit facility was fully available at September 30, 2017, and the Company reported compliance with its covenants.
  • Total debt to total market capitalization was 25.2%. Cash and cash equivalents were $25.5 million.
  • Significant scheduled debt maturities include a $25.0 million mortgage balloon payment in 2018 and $18.5 million of unsecured term-loan maturities in 2019. Total debt maturities, including scheduled principal and balloon payments, were $487.7 million.
  • The Company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.505 per share, paid October 13, 2017.

Material Changes Versus Prior Comparable Period

  • Growth was driven primarily by additional acquisitions and development. The Company acquired 61 retail net-lease assets for approximately $239.5 million during the first nine months, compared with the prior-year period’s lower property base.
  • Q3 net income declined despite higher operating income because the gain on asset sales fell to $0.5 million from $4.4 million. For the nine months, the gain increased to $10.0 million from $7.1 million.
  • Interest expense increased 14% in Q3 and 18% for the nine months, reflecting additional debt issued in 2016 and the $100.0 million notes issued in September 2017.
  • Depreciation and amortization rose 34% in Q3 and 36% for the nine months due to the larger property portfolio.
  • Common shares outstanding increased materially, including a June follow-on offering of 2.415 million shares and ATM issuance. Shares issued during the nine months generated $136.7 million of net proceeds.
  • General and administrative expense increased, but declined as a percentage of revenue to 8.2% in Q3 and 9.0% for the nine months.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks and Unusual Items

  • The filing does not provide specific full-year earnings, FFO or revenue guidance.
  • Management expects short-term liquidity needs to be funded by operating cash flow and the revolving facility, and long-term needs through operating cash flow, debt issuance, equity issuance and other financing sources.
  • Development and Partner Capital Solutions projects under construction or completed during the first nine months had anticipated total costs of approximately $57.3 million; five projects were active in Q3 with anticipated costs of approximately $35.9 million.
  • Key risks include tenant bankruptcy or loss, re-leasing risk, property performance, acquisition and development execution, availability and cost of financing, interest-rate volatility, debt refinancing, REIT qualification and economic or real estate market conditions.
  • Interest-rate swaps covered approximately $184.5 million of notional debt. A net derivative liability position could have required settlement of approximately $1.5 million upon certain defaults.
  • Straight-line rent receivables were $12.0 million. A tenant inability to pay contractual rents could require write-downs and reduce operating income.
  • The Company had no material litigation, no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors, and reported effective disclosure controls.
  • The Company expects the new revenue standard to have no significant impact because approximately 90% of revenue consists of rental income excluded from the standard. The new lease standard is expected to add right-of-use assets and lease liabilities for land leases where the Company is the lessee; the ultimate impact was still under evaluation.

Most Important Facts for Investors to Verify

  • Whether acquisition and development activity continues to produce expected rent growth, occupancy and returns.
  • Tenant concentration, credit quality, lease expirations and exposure to retail-sector disruption.
  • Ability to refinance or repay the 2018 mortgage balloon and subsequent maturities while maintaining covenant compliance.
  • Actual cash available for dividends after acquisitions, development spending, debt service and recurring capital requirements.
  • Reconciliation of non-GAAP FFO and AFFO to GAAP results and comparability with other REITs.
  • Future interest-rate exposure, swap maturities and the impact of the newly issued 2029 notes on interest expense.