AIR INDUSTRIES GROUP annual report, FY2023

Air Industries Group — FY2023 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2023; comparisons are with FY2022. Air Industries Group manufactures precision aerospace and defense components and assemblies, with most sales tied to military aircraft programs and a small number of large prime contractors.

Financial performance and position

MetricFY2023 / year-endFY2022 / comparison
Net sales$51.516 million$53.238 million; down 3.2%
Gross profit / margin$7.428 million / 14.4%$7.452 million / 14.0%
Operating loss$295,000$194,000
Net loss$2.131 million; $0.65 per diluted share$1.076 million; $0.33 per diluted share
Interest expense$1.920 million; weighted average Current Credit Facility rate 7.55%$1.338 million; rate 4.50%
Cash from operations$4.862 million$448,000
Capital expenditures$2.119 million$2.361 million
Cash at year-end$346,000$281,000
Working capital$12.117 million$18.600 million
Total assets / stockholders’ equity$50.715 million / $15.190 million$53.814 million / $16.839 million

Operating cash flow increased mainly because accounts receivable and inventory declined and customer deposits rose. Customer deposits were $3.557 million at year-end, versus $781,000 a year earlier. Inventory was $29.851 million, approximately 59% of total assets.

Third-party debt was $17.148 million at year-end, including $15.849 million under the Webster Bank facility; related-party notes totaled $6.162 million. Total indebtedness was reported at approximately $23.311 million, excluding lease liabilities. The bank facility is secured by substantially all company assets. Cash, substantial debt service needs, and covenant restrictions constrain liquidity.

Changes, outlook and material risks

  • Sales declined due mainly to a supplier’s failure to deliver raw materials for a key program and changes in customer mix and production requirements. Gross margin improved modestly, but higher interest expense and operating costs contributed to a larger net loss.
  • Bookings rose 55% to $62.262 million; book-to-bill was 1.20x, compared with 0.75x in 2022. Funded backlog was $98.3 million, up 14.7%, with most expected to ship within 24 months.
  • Management expects FY2024 sales to increase, aims to reach profitability and improve the financial position, and plans approximately $2 million of FY2024 equipment investment. These are expectations, not guarantees.
  • Management cites $191.9 million of total unfilled contract values in its outlook, while another section reports $191.1 million of potential sales under awarded contracts, including funded backlog. The filing does not reconcile these figures.
  • Going concern and covenants: The company met its fixed-charge coverage covenant at December 31, 2023 (1.31x versus 0.95x required), but was out of compliance at March 31, 2024 (1.10x required). A waiver was uncertain as of the filing. The auditor’s report highlights substantial doubt about the company’s ability to continue as a going concern if a waiver is not obtained or future covenants are missed. The company classified its term loan as current due to potential callability.
  • Management says it began steps to refinance debt. The Webster facility matures December 30, 2025; related-party notes mature July 1, 2026. Refinancing could bring higher rates, tighter covenants or dilution. Revolver borrowing capacity was reported at approximately $9.830 million, subject to facility terms and availability.
  • Key operating exposures include concentrated customers and programs, fixed-price contracts, dependence on sole-source suppliers, raw-material and skilled-labor costs, production delays, and reliance on U.S. defense spending. Four customers represented 64.2% of FY2023 sales; military products generated 82.3% of sales.
  • Management found disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting ineffective at December 31, 2023, citing an unremediated material weakness in IT access/change controls and segregation of duties. Effectiveness testing was ongoing.
  • A pending Contract Pharmacal dispute seeks up to $700,000 after the court rejected key motions by the claimant; the company disputes the claim. Management says it knows of no proceedings expected to have a material adverse effect.

Investor verification priorities

  1. Check whether the lender granted a waiver for the March 31, 2024 covenant breach, subsequent covenant compliance, and any changes to borrowing access or debt classification.
  2. Reconcile the disclosed $191.9 million and $191.1 million contract-value figures; assess the funded backlog’s shipment timing, conversion and cancellation risks.
  3. Review cash generation quality, working-capital needs, inventory valuation and customer-deposit obligations, given low cash and inventory’s large share of assets.
  4. Track refinancing terms and maturities for bank debt and related-party notes, including interest costs, collateral, covenants and potential dilution.
  5. Monitor remediation and testing of the internal-control material weakness, as well as the outcome and accounting treatment of the Contract Pharmacal litigation.