Ally Financial Inc. quarterly report, Q1 FY2022

Ally Financial Inc. — Q1 2022 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. Ally is a digital financial-services company centered on automotive finance and insurance, with banking, mortgage, consumer lending, credit-card, corporate-finance, brokerage, and investment-advisory operations. This unaudited filing covers the three months ended March 31, 2022, compared with Q1 2021; balance-sheet comparisons are with December 31, 2021. Dollar amounts are in U.S. dollars.

Key financial results

  • Revenue and margins: Total net revenue was $2.135 billion, up 10% from $1.937 billion. Net financing revenue and other interest income rose 23% to $1.693 billion. Net interest margin was 3.93%, versus 3.16%; net interest spread was 3.83%, versus 3.02%.
  • Profit: Net income was $655 million, down 18% from $796 million. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $627 million after $28 million of preferred dividends. Diluted EPS was $1.86, compared with $2.11; basic EPS was $1.87, compared with $2.12. Return on average assets was 1.46% (1.78% prior year) and return on average equity was 16.44% (21.39%).
  • Credit costs: Provision for credit losses was $167 million, versus a $13 million benefit in Q1 2021. Net charge-offs were $133 million, versus $118 million. The allowance for loan losses was $3.301 billion, or 2.6% of finance receivables, at quarter-end.
  • Expenses: Noninterest expense increased 19% to $1.122 billion, including compensation and benefits of $493 million and other operating expenses of $571 million.
  • Cash flow: Operating activities provided $1.641 billion; investing activities used $5.685 billion; financing activities provided $2.987 billion. Cash and cash equivalents were $3.932 billion at March 31, down from $5.062 billion at year-end. Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $4.615 billion.
  • Balance sheet and funding: Total assets were $184.297 billion and equity was $15.413 billion. Deposits totaled $142.475 billion, up from $141.558 billion. Short-term borrowings were $3.950 billion, versus none at year-end; long-term debt was $15.885 billion, down from $17.029 billion.
  • Liquidity and capital: Available liquidity was $29.522 billion, compared with $31.193 billion at year-end. Ally’s CET1 ratio was 9.97%, Tier 1 ratio 11.49%, total capital ratio 13.13%, and Tier 1 leverage ratio 9.36%. Ally Bank was reported well capitalized under the prompt corrective action framework.
  • Shareholder returns: Ally repurchased $584 million of common stock and declared a $0.30-per-share dividend in Q1. The board authorized repurchases of up to $2.0 billion through year-end 2022, subject to restrictions and other conditions.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Higher financing revenue, lower interest expense, and the inclusion of Ally Credit Card (acquired in December 2021) supported revenue growth. Lower funding costs reflected reduced deposit rates and a shift toward deposit funding.
  • Credit-loss provision moved from a $13 million benefit to a $167 million expense, reflecting the prior-year release of pandemic-related reserves, portfolio growth, credit normalization, and credit-card activity.
  • Other investment gains fell to $5 million from $123 million; the prior-year period included elevated realized equity gains, while Q1 2022 included $65 million of unrealized equity losses.
  • Insurance pretax income fell to $13 million from $141 million, primarily because investment results weakened; the combined ratio increased to 96.5% from 89.5%.
  • Automotive Finance pretax income declined 10% to $725 million. Higher revenue was more than offset by provision expense and costs; lower dealer inventories also reduced wholesale floorplan balances.
  • Other comprehensive loss was $1.633 billion, mainly reflecting unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities as market interest rates increased. Total equity fell from $17.050 billion at year-end to $15.413 billion.

Outlook, management commentary, and risks

  • The filing does not provide a clear quantified earnings or revenue forecast. Management said vehicle supply constraints were expected to continue limiting commercial wholesale finance receivables growth through 2022. It also expected the changed mix of off-lease vehicle sales to persist in the near term and potentially limit remarketing proceeds.
  • Management’s 12-month net financing revenue sensitivity analysis projected a $613 million increase from the baseline if rates remained unchanged, reflecting the then-implied forward curve. Under instantaneous +200 basis-point and +100-basis-point shocks, modeled impacts versus baseline were decreases of $277 million and $135 million, respectively; results depend on assumptions, including deposit repricing.
  • Management highlighted uncertainty around inflation, supply-chain and manufacturing constraints, workforce participation, geopolitical conditions, and the pandemic’s continuing effects. Credit performance, used-vehicle and housing values, unemployment, interest rates, deposit outflows, and access to funding are key sensitivities.
  • Ally identified automotive lease residual values as a risk: it bears potential losses if returned vehicles sell below expected residual values. Average gain per terminated vehicle declined to $1,640 from $2,114, and lease-sale channels shifted toward dealer and lessee buyouts.
  • The company’s legal matters are inherently uncertain. Management did not believe their ultimate outcomes were likely to materially affect consolidated financial condition after existing accruals, but one or more matters could materially affect results or cash flows in a particular period.
  • Future dividends and repurchases remain subject to Federal Reserve review, board approval, capital and liquidity conditions, performance, and market factors. Ally submitted its 2022 capital plan on April 5 and was scheduled for the 2022 supervisory stress test.
  • The filing reported no material changes to the risk factors in Ally’s 2021 Form 10-K and concluded disclosure controls and procedures were effective.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether credit-loss provision, delinquencies, charge-offs, and allowance coverage continue to rise as portfolios grow and credit normalizes.
  • How higher interest rates affect net interest revenue, deposit pricing, funding costs, and the fair value and liquidity of securities.
  • Whether vehicle supply constraints, lease return values, and remarketing proceeds develop as management anticipated.
  • Whether deposit growth and available liquidity remain adequate, including in light of expected seasonal deposit outflows and increased secured borrowing.
  • How Ally Credit Card and other newer businesses contribute to earnings, expenses, and credit losses after acquisition and expansion.
  • Whether regulatory capital levels and Federal Reserve decisions permit planned dividends and share repurchases.