Aon Plc annual report, FY2016

Aon plc — FY2016 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Year ended December 31, 2016. Aon is a global risk brokerage and consulting and human-resources services provider operating in more than 120 countries. Risk Solutions contributed about 64% of 2016 revenue and HR Solutions about 36%.

Financial performance

MetricFY2016FY2015Change
Total revenue$11.627 billion$11.682 billionDown $55 million
Operating income$1.906 billion$1.848 billionUp 3%
Operating margin16.4%15.8%Up 0.6 percentage points
Net income attributable to Aon shareholders$1.396 billion$1.385 billionUp 1%
Diluted EPS$5.16$4.88Up 6%
Adjusted diluted EPS$6.59$6.18Up 7%
Cash from operating activities$2.326 billion$2.009 billionUp 16%
Free cash flow$2.104 billion$1.719 billionUp 22%

Revenue was pressured by a 2% unfavorable foreign-exchange effect and a 2% decrease from acquisitions, net of divestitures; organic growth was 3% in each segment. Adjusted operating margin was 20.8%, versus 20.0% in 2015. Adjusted measures are non-GAAP and exclude specified items.

Segments

  • Risk Solutions: Revenue $7.485 billion, up from $7.426 billion; operating income $1.587 billion, versus $1.506 billion; reported margin 21.2%, versus 20.3%. Organic revenue growth was 3%. Management cited strength in retail brokerage, partly offset by soft insurance pricing and weakness in reinsurance markets.
  • HR Solutions: Revenue $4.183 billion, down from $4.303 billion; operating income $557 million, versus $536 million; reported margin 13.3%, versus 12.5%. Organic growth was 3%, offset in reported revenue by currency and net divestitures. Healthcare exchanges and cloud-based HR BPO contributed to growth; benefits administration declined modestly.

Liquidity, debt and capital allocation

  • Cash and short-term investments were $721 million, down $19 million. Working capital was $651 million, up $171 million. Aon reported approximately $1.3 billion of committed credit facilities, undrawn at year-end; fiduciary funds are segregated and unavailable for general corporate use.
  • Total debt was $6.205 billion, up from $5.700 billion; debt-to-EBITDA was 2.5x, versus 2.3x. Aon issued $750 million of 3.875% senior notes due 2025 and repaid $500 million of notes that matured. Debt ratings had stable outlooks.
  • Capital returned included $1.3 billion of share repurchases and $345 million of dividends. Dividends paid per share were $1.29, compared with $1.15 in 2015.
  • Net assets/equity were $5.532 billion, down from $6.059 billion, mainly reflecting repurchases, dividends and foreign-currency translation losses.

Material developments, outlook and risks

  • On February 9, 2017, Aon agreed to sell its Benefits Administration and BPO business for $4.3 billion cash at closing, subject to customary adjustments, plus up to $500 million in contingent consideration. Closing was expected by the end of Q2 2017, subject to conditions. The business represented 19% of 2016 gross revenue.
  • Aon expected a cost-reduction program related to the sale, with a future charge. Management said the program was intended to reduce stranded costs and support the objective of being accretive to analysts’ consensus adjusted EPS of $7.97 in 2018; this is not presented as formal company EPS guidance. The Board authorized an additional $5 billion for repurchases in February 2017.
  • Significant unusual expense included $220 million of non-cash pension-settlement charges. Other income fell to $36 million from $100 million, including lower gains on business disposals. Cash pension contributions were $123 million in 2016; Aon expected approximately $185 million in 2017.
  • Key exposures include soft insurance pricing and premium-driven commissions, economic weakness, foreign-exchange and interest-rate movements, pension funding needs, leverage and refinancing, regulatory and tax changes, cyber and data-security incidents, and professional-liability claims. Aon estimated reasonably possible legal losses beyond recorded accruals of $0 to $200 million, excluding insurance coverage; outcomes remain uncertain.
  • Aon identified errors in revenue recognition for certain brokerage fee arrangements and revised historical financial statements. It concluded the errors were immaterial to prior annual periods; the annual 2016 cash flow was unchanged. The revisions shifted quarterly results, including a $61 million reduction to Q4 2016 revenue and a $50 million reduction to Q4 net income. Management and the auditor reported effective internal control over financial reporting; the financial-statement audit opinion was unqualified.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the HR administration/BPO sale closed on expected terms and timing, the realized proceeds, and any contingent payment eligibility.
  • The costs, timing and actual savings from the related restructuring, including effects of stranded costs and post-sale earnings.
  • Whether organic growth and margins persist amid soft insurance markets, currency pressure and HR pricing competition.
  • Debt maturities, covenant headroom, credit ratings and the capacity to sustain repurchases and dividends while funding pension obligations.
  • Any developments in the disclosed legal matters, particularly the stated loss range and claims for which Aon has depleted or limited insurance coverage.
  • The effects of the brokerage-fee accounting revisions and adoption of the new revenue-recognition standard on reported revenue timing and comparability.