Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. current report, Q2 FY2014

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K filing by Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. (Grupo Aval) reports unconsolidated monthly results for its four Colombian banking subsidiaries (Banco de Bogotá, Banco de Occidente, Banco Popular, and Banco AV Villas) for the period ending May 2014. The filing was submitted on June 20, 2014. The data reflects Colombian Banking GAAP and represents approximately 80% of Grupo Aval's consolidated results. It excludes subsidiaries such as Corficolombiana, Porvenir, and BAC Credomatic.

Key Financial Metrics (Combined Banks)

Financial figures are presented in Colombian Pesos (Ps.) Millions.

Metric May 2014 May 2013 (YTD) Apr 2014 (MoM)
Total Assets 118,386,349 101,875,820 115,732,462
Total Deposits 78,795,088 65,993,260 76,861,304
Total Loans & Leases (Net) 75,451,086 65,892,533 74,745,717
Shareholders' Equity 19,368,424 16,565,721 19,187,231
Net Interest Income (YTD) 2,347,541 2,449,529 475,610 (May Month)
Net Income (YTD) 1,049,576 1,145,465 128,847 (May Month)

Material Changes vs. Prior Periods

  • Year-over-Year (YTD May 2014 vs. May 2013):
    • Net Income: Decreased by 8.4% to Ps. 1.05 trillion.
    • Total Assets: Increased by 16.2% to Ps. 118.4 trillion, driven by a 19.4% growth in deposits and 14.5% growth in loans.
    • Net Interest Income: Declined 4.2% to Ps. 2.35 trillion, primarily due to a 37.2% drop in interest income from investment securities.
    • Provisions: Total net provisions decreased 4.8% to Ps. 433.8 billion.
  • Month-over-Month (May 2014 vs. Apr 2014):
    • Net Income: Dropped significantly by 22.3% to Ps. 128.8 billion.
    • Other Operating Income: Fell 35.0% to Ps. 32.7 billion, largely due to a 97.1% decline in dividend income.
    • Non-Operating Income: Decreased 89.0% to Ps. 6.4 billion.

Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

  • Unusual Items: The sharp decline in YTD Net Interest Income was heavily influenced by a 37.2% reduction in interest income from investment securities. Additionally, dividend income plummeted 97.1% month-over-month, contributing to the drop in total operating income.
  • Foreign Exchange & Derivatives: The combined banks reported a net foreign exchange loss of Ps. 38.4 billion YTD (a 120.3% swing from a gain in the prior year), though this was partially offset by a 195.8% increase in gains from derivative operations.
  • Disclaimer: The filing explicitly states that these unconsolidated results are for informational purposes only, are unaudited, and do not reflect the full consolidated financial position of Grupo Aval. They are not necessarily indicative of future results.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the consolidated financial statements of Grupo Aval to account for the ~20% of results not included in this filing (e.g., Corficolombiana, BAC Credomatic).
  • Confirm the specific drivers behind the 37.2% drop in interest income from investment securities and the 97.1% drop in dividend income.
  • Review the consolidated allowance for loan losses to assess credit quality across the entire group, as this filing only covers the four Colombian banks.
  • Assess the impact of the foreign exchange losses reported in the "Other Operating Income" section on the group's overall hedging strategy.