Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. annual report, Q4 FY2019

Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. — FY2019 Form 20-F

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2019. This is an annual filing, not a standalone fourth-quarter report; fourth-quarter comparisons are included below where disclosed. Financial statement amounts are in U.S. dollars unless noted. The consolidated financial statements follow IFRS; Funds From Operations (FFO), Adjusted EBITDA and proportionate results are non-IFRS measures.

Business context and performance

Brookfield Renewable owns and operates a globally diversified renewable power portfolio, primarily hydroelectric, with wind, solar, storage and other generation. At year-end, portfolio capacity was 18,883 MW and annualized long-term average generation was 56,666 GWh. Actual consolidated generation was 52,560 GWh, about 2.5% below that average; proportionate generation was 26,038 GWh versus a 26,189 GWh long-term average. Portfolio growth included acquisitions and development, partly offset by asset sales.

Key financial metrics

MetricFY2019FY2018
Consolidated revenue$2,980 million$2,982 million
Consolidated net income$273 million$403 million
Net income (loss) attributable to Unitholders($59) million; ($0.19) per LP Unit$42 million; $0.13 per LP Unit
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA$2,339 million$2,223 million
Proportionate Adjusted EBITDA$1,444 million$1,323 million
FFO$761 million; $2.45 per Unit$676 million; $2.16 per Unit
Cash provided by operating activities$1,212 million$1,103 million
Cash used in investing activities$251 million$624 million
Cash used in financing activities$1,010 million$1,080 million
Cash and cash equivalents, consolidated year-end balance$115 million$173 million
Available liquidity$2,695 million$1,974 million
Total borrowings, as presented in selected financial data$11,004 million$10,718 million
Debt to capitalization, consolidated32%32%
Annual distribution per LP Unit$2.06$1.96

Management reported approximately 77% of borrowings as non-recourse on a proportionate basis. Average terms to maturity were about 10 years for corporate and subsidiary borrowings; average interest rates were 4.1% and 5.1%, respectively. Approximately 90% of financing was fixed-rate, according to the business overview. Year-end cash declined by $53 million.

Fourth-quarter results and material changes

  • Q4 2019 proportionate FFO was $171 million ($0.55 per Unit), compared with $206 million ($0.66 per Unit) in Q4 2018. Management attributed the decline mainly to generation: the prior-year quarter was 7% above long-term average, while Q4 2019 was 9% below average.
  • Q4 revenue was $726 million versus $780 million; net loss attributable to Unitholders was $66 million versus net income of $91 million. Proportionate actual generation was 5,977 GWh versus 7,052 GWh.
  • For FY2019, consolidated revenue was essentially unchanged. On a same-store, constant-currency basis, revenue increased $130 million, including $107 million from realized pricing and contracting and $23 million from generation. Foreign exchange reduced revenue by $143 million; acquisitions and commissioning added $55 million, while asset sales reduced revenue by $44 million.
  • FFO increased 13% year over year, supported by portfolio growth, higher realized prices, cost savings of $12 million and generation broadly in line with long-term average on a proportionate basis. Net loss attributable to Unitholders reversed the prior-year profit, reflecting higher income-tax expense, lower equity-accounted earnings and other items. The prior year included a significant deferred tax recovery in Colombia.
  • Property, plant and equipment rose to $30.7 billion, including a $2.0 billion revaluation increase, principally reflecting lower discount rates and operating initiatives; additions and acquisitions were partly offset by depreciation and disposals. Revaluations are highly assumption-sensitive and largely non-cash.

Liquidity, outlook and notable developments

  • Management targets a long-term FFO payout ratio of approximately 70% and annual distribution growth of 5%–9%, supported by operating improvements, inflation-linked contracts and development. The stated 2019 annual distribution of $2.06 per Unit was raised to $2.17 beginning with the March 2020 distribution. Distribution decisions remain discretionary and depend on cash availability and other constraints.
  • The filing reports 2020 contracted generation at differing levels: approximately 91% in one overview disclosure and 95% in other disclosures. The contract-profile table reports 95% for 2020, with its scope excluding Brazil and Colombia. Weighted-average remaining contract duration is reported as 13 years.
  • Available liquidity increased to $2.7 billion. The company completed or arranged substantial refinancing and financing activity, including C$600 million of corporate green bonds, extended its $1.7 billion corporate credit facility to 2024, and established a $500 million U.S. commercial-paper program. Management stated it did not anticipate material difficulty addressing borrowings through 2024, subject to prevailing conditions.
  • Capital allocation included selling an additional 25% interest in a Canadian hydro portfolio while retaining 50%; sales of wind and solar assets in Europe and South Africa; acquisitions of 410 MW of wind assets in Asia with institutional partners; and a 12.5% economic interest in X-Elio, which has operating assets, projects under construction and a development pipeline. A 428 MW Brazilian solar acquisition was pending customary closing conditions.
  • North American energy marketing was internalized into Brookfield Renewable in September 2019. Brookfield remains a significant power purchaser and related party; 2020 proportionate contracted-generation exposure to Brookfield is reported at 18%.
  • Subsequent events: Brookfield Renewable proposed a special distribution of BEPC shares to LP Unitholders, intended at one share for every four LP Units, subject to approvals. In January 2020 it also made a non-binding proposal to acquire the remaining TerraForm Power shares it did not already own, using BEPC shares; completion was uncertain and required independent committee, unaffiliated shareholder and other approvals.

Risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Key operating risks include hydrology, wind and solar-resource variability; climate-related extreme weather; market prices for uncontracted generation; expiring PPAs; transmission access; equipment and dam failures; and rising operating, water-use, permitting or environmental costs.
  • Brazilian hydro results depend partly on the MRE balancing mechanism, which could change or be terminated. Two Brazilian biomass facilities rely on a single feedstock supplier described as financially distressed and in judicial reorganization.
  • Other material exposures include foreign-exchange and interest-rate movements, counterparty credit, financing availability and covenant restrictions, concession and license renewals, construction execution, and political or regulatory changes. Brookfield’s control, management role, related-party arrangements and discretion over investment opportunities create conflicts of interest.
  • The filing reports no material pending or threatened legal proceeding known to management and states that ordinary-course claims are not expected to have a material adverse effect. It reports $36 million of capital expenditure commitments and $336 million of letters of credit, alongside other project, water, land, guarantee and acquisition commitments.
  • Net loss attributable to Unitholders coexisted with positive FFO, which excludes or adjusts for items including depreciation, certain taxes, non-cash financial instrument effects and other items. These non-IFRS measures are not substitutes for IFRS results and may not be comparable across issuers.
  • Management and the auditor concluded internal control over financial reporting was effective; the assessment excluded the acquired India and China wind portfolios, representing about 2% of total assets and 1% of revenue each on the stated combined basis. The auditor issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and controls.

Investor verification priorities

  • Reconcile the 91% and 95% 2020 contracted-generation disclosures, including which regions and contract types each includes.
  • Review FFO and Adjusted EBITDA reconciliations against IFRS earnings, cash flow and distributions; assess whether distributions are covered through a full generation and price cycle.
  • Examine the assumptions and sensitivities behind the $30.7 billion fair value of generation assets, particularly discount rates, power prices, long-term generation and terminal values.
  • Confirm debt by level, recourse, currency, rate structure, covenant headroom and refinancing needs; distinguish available liquidity from cash actually held by the partnership.
  • Track the BEPC special distribution, TerraForm Power proposal, pending acquisitions and disposals, and the related approvals, financing and dilution implications.
  • Assess Brookfield counterparty exposure, management fees and incentive distributions, and the governance protections applicable to related-party transactions.