CATERPILLAR INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2019

Caterpillar Inc. — Q2 2019 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2019. Unaudited results; comparisons are with the corresponding 2018 periods. Amounts are U.S. dollars.

Business context and results

Caterpillar operates Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Financial Products. Q2 growth reflected favorable pricing and higher equipment volume, including dealer inventory increases; currency and weaker results in Energy & Transportation partly offset the gains.

MetricQ2 2019Q2 2018Six months 2019Six months 2018
Sales and revenues$14.432B$14.011B$27.898B$26.870B
Operating profit$2.213B$2.167B$4.420B$4.275B
Operating profit margin15.3%15.5%15.8%15.9%
Profit attributable to common shareholders$1.620B$1.707B$3.501B$3.372B
Diluted profit per share$2.83$2.82$6.08$5.56

Financial position, cash flow and capital

  • Cash and short-term investments: $7.429B at June 30, versus $7.857B at December 31, 2018. Management reported quarter-end enterprise cash of about $7.4B.
  • Debt: Total debt was $36.28B, down $275M from year-end. This includes $5.27B of short-term borrowings and debt associated with Financial Products; ME&T debt declined $345M while Financial Products debt increased $70M.
  • Liquidity: Available credit was $9.803B, including $2.75B allocated to ME&T. No borrowings were outstanding under the $10.5B global credit facilities. The company reported compliance with its credit-facility covenants.
  • Consolidated cash flow, first half: Operating cash flow was $3.709B, compared with $3.083B; investing cash outflow was $1.079B, versus $2.068B; financing cash outflow was $3.051B, versus $573M.
  • ME&T cash flow, first half: Operating cash flow was $2.820B, down from $3.032B. ME&T free cash flow, a company-defined non-GAAP measure, was $2.328B, versus $2.478B.
  • Shareholder returns: First-half dividends paid were $986M and share repurchases were $2.105B. The board approved a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend to $1.03 per share beginning with the Q3 2019 payment; approximately $7.89B remained under the repurchase authorization at June 30.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Q2 sales rose 3%. Construction Industries sales increased 5% and Resource Industries 11%; Energy & Transportation sales declined 4%. Financial Products revenues increased 4%.
  • Q2 operating profit rose 2%, but profit fell $87M. Higher manufacturing costs—including materials and tariffs, labor and burden, and warranty expense—unfavorable product mix, and higher taxes weighed on profit. Favorable pricing and lower SG&A and R&D costs partly offset these pressures.
  • For the first half, sales rose 4%, operating profit 3%, and diluted EPS 9%. Resource Industries’ profit increased 34%; Energy & Transportation’s declined 9%. Lower short-term incentive compensation expense contributed to lower SG&A/R&D costs.
  • Dealer machine and engine inventories increased about $500M in Q2 and $1.8B in the first half. Management expected full-year dealer inventories to increase about $900M from prior year-end, driven by Construction and Resource Industries.
  • Order backlog was about $15.0B at quarter-end, down approximately $1.9B from Q1 and $2.7B year over year; $3.6B was not expected to be filled within 12 months.

Outlook, unusual items and risks

  • Management expected 2019 ME&T capital expenditures of about $1.3B and pension and postretirement contributions of about $330M. It expected short-term incentive compensation expense of about $800M in 2019, compared with $1.4B in 2018, and about $300M of incremental 2019 operating-cost benefit from restructuring actions versus 2018.
  • The first-half tax provision reflected an estimated annual tax rate of 26%, versus 24% in 2018, excluding discrete items. It included a $178M discrete tax benefit related to U.S. tax reform regulations. Q2 profit comparison also reflected a higher tax rate and the absence of a prior-year tax benefit.
  • Restructuring costs were $158M for the first half, versus $183M. About $20M of remaining costs under the earlier restructuring plan were expected in 2019.
  • The company was cooperating with a continuing U.S. grand jury investigation concerning, among other matters, tax and export activities; it said it could not predict the outcome or reasonably estimate potential loss. The IRS proposed approximately $2.3B of additional tax and penalties for tax years 2007–2012; Caterpillar is contesting the proposal and stated it did not expect a material adverse effect.
  • Brazil’s CADE found MGE and certain current and former employees liable for anticompetitive conduct on July 8, 2019; MGE intended to appeal. Caterpillar said it did not expect a material adverse effect. Other unresolved legal matters were also described as not expected to be material.
  • Reported risks include global demand and economic conditions, trade policy and tariffs, commodity and material costs, dealer inventory decisions, foreign exchange, credit and interest-rate risks, Cat Financial delinquencies, pension funding, legal and tax matters, and access to capital markets. Management stated interim results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether dealer inventory growth and the approximately $15.0B backlog indicate durable end-user demand, particularly as backlog declined year over year.
  • Whether pricing and cost control can offset tariffs, materials, labor, warranty expense, and product-mix pressure; review segment trends, especially Energy & Transportation.
  • Whether first-half cash flow and liquidity remain sufficient alongside planned repurchases, dividends, capital spending, and debt obligations.
  • Cat Financial credit quality: past dues were 3.38% at Q2-end versus 3.16% a year earlier; review the allowance, impaired receivables, and regional exposures.
  • Developments in the IRS dispute, U.S. investigation, and Brazil CADE appeal, including any change in estimated exposure or management’s materiality assessment.
  • Full-year tax rate, including the effect of discrete tax benefits, and progress against management’s capital expenditure, restructuring-savings, and dealer-inventory expectations.