CATERPILLAR INC current report, Q3 FY2011

Caterpillar Inc. Form 8-K Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 8-K, dated September 20, 2011, provides supplemental Regulation FD disclosure regarding dealer-reported retail statistics for machines and engines. The data covers the three-month rolling period ending August 2011, comparing performance against the same months in the prior year. The figures are reported in constant dollars and are based on unaudited reports from independent dealers.

Key Financial Metrics and Dealer Statistics

The filing does not contain GAAP financial metrics such as revenue, profit, cash flow, margins, debt, or liquidity. Instead, it presents percentage changes in dealer-reported retail sales volume.

Machine Sales by Region (3-Month Rolling Period vs. Prior Year)

RegionAugust 2011July 2011June 2011
Asia/PacificUP 24%UP 20%UP 28%
EAME (Europe, Africa, Middle East)UP 46%UP 51%UP 53%
Latin AmericaUP 43%UP 52%UP 51%
ROW (Rest of World)UP 36%UP 39%UP 42%
North AmericaUP 30%UP 27%UP 50%
World TotalUP 34%UP 35%UP 45%

Reciprocating & Turbine Engine Sales by Sector (3-Month Rolling Period vs. Prior Year)

SectorAugust 2011July 2011June 2011
Electric PowerUP 1%UP 12%UP 20%
IndustrialUP 25%UP 37%UP 34%
MarineUP 6%DOWN 1%DOWN 21%
PetroleumUP 23%UP 21%UP 10%
TotalUP 14%UP 19%UP 14%

Material Changes

Global machine sales showed consistent growth across all regions for the three-month period ending August 2011, with a worldwide increase of 34%. EAME and Latin America demonstrated the strongest regional growth. In the engine sector, the Industrial and Petroleum sectors drove growth, while the Marine sector remained volatile, showing a decline in June and July before a slight recovery in August.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

The filing contains no specific financial guidance or management commentary on future earnings. It includes a comprehensive list of risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from forward-looking statements, including:

  • Global economic conditions and government infrastructure spending.
  • Commodity price increases, specifically steel availability.
  • Liquidity access for Caterpillar, dealers, and suppliers.
  • Political and economic risks in global operations.
  • Success of the Tier 4 emissions compliant machine introduction.
  • Currency fluctuations, particularly the U.S. dollar.
  • Integration risks associated with the acquisition of Bucyrus International, Inc.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Dealer vs. Company Sales: Verify the correlation between these dealer-reported retail statistics and Caterpillar's actual booked revenue in the upcoming quarterly earnings report.
  • Constant Dollar Impact: Confirm how currency fluctuations (specifically the strong U.S. dollar mentioned in risks) may impact reported revenue versus the constant dollar growth shown here.
  • Marine Sector Volatility: Monitor the Marine engine sector closely, as it showed negative growth in two of the three months reported.
  • Bucyrus Integration: Assess the progress of the Bucyrus International acquisition integration, cited as a specific risk factor.
  • Tier 4 Transition: Evaluate market acceptance of new Tier 4 compliant machines, as failure here is listed as a material risk.