Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (NYSE: CPAC)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Report of Foreign Issuer)
Reporting Period: Fourth Quarter (4Q) and Full Year (FY) ended December 31, 2017
Announcement Date: February 12, 2018
Business Overview: A leading cement producer in Peru serving the construction industry, primarily in the northern region. The company is transitioning from a pure cement producer to a construction solutions provider, divesting non-core assets like phosphate and brine projects.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric (in millions S/) | 4Q 2017 | 4Q 2016 | FY 2017 | FY 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sales of Goods | 328.0 | 316.7 | 1,225.6 | 1,240.2 |
| Gross Profit | 135.3 | 127.1 | 492.7 | 503.6 |
| Operating Profit | 24.2 | 61.8 | 198.6 | 272.8 |
| Net Income (Continuing Ops) | -0.9 | 10.2 | 81.4 | 119.5 |
| Consolidated EBITDA | 57.1 | 88.8 | 323.9 | 371.9 |
| Cement EBITDA | 105.5 | 92.7 | 375.3 | 383.9 |
| Cash Position | S/49.2 million (as of Dec 31, 2017) | |||
| Total Debt | S/972.3 million (US$300.0 million) | |||
| Net Adjusted Debt/EBITDA | 2.3x |
Margins (4Q 2017 vs 4Q 2016):
- Gross Margin: 41.3% (up 1.2 pp)
- Cement EBITDA Margin: 32.2% (up 2.9 pp)
- Consolidated EBITDA Margin: 17.4% (down 10.6 pp)
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Non-Cash Impairment: Consolidated EBITDA and Net Income were significantly impacted by a S/47.6 million non-cash write-off of the investment in the Salmueras Sudamericanas S.A. brine project. Excluding this item, 4Q17 Net Income from Continuing Operations would have been S/36.5 million (a 247.7% increase vs 4Q16).
- Volume Recovery: Cement, concrete, and blocks sales volume increased 7.3% in 4Q17, driven by the self-construction segment and public sector spending. Full-year volume declined only 0.8% despite the "Coastal El Niño" weather event in early 2017.
- Cost Pressures: Operating expenses increased 69.7% in 4Q17 primarily due to the impairment charge. Excluding the impairment, administrative expenses decreased 11.2% due to lower personnel costs.
- Concrete Segment: Concrete sales decreased 27.8% for the full year 2017 due to delays in large infrastructure projects, though margins improved in 4Q17 due to capacity optimization.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
Management Outlook:
- Infrastructure Demand: Management expects cement demand to strengthen in 2018, driven by a S/26 billion government reconstruction program following the Coastal El Niño floods. The 2018 Budget Law includes S/7.1 billion for these efforts.
- Strategic Shift: The company is divesting non-cement assets (phosphate, brine) to focus on cement-based construction solutions, such as pre-cast beams and seawalls.
- Economic Context: Peru's growth forecast for 2018 was raised to 4% by the IMF. Public investment is expected to grow by over 10% in 2018.
Risks and Contingencies:
- Political Instability: Ongoing political turmoil regarding the impeachment of President Kuczynski and the Odebrecht corruption scandal ("Lava Jato") has created uncertainty. A decree blocking bank accounts of implicated construction firms poses operational risks to the sector.
- Project Delays: Large infrastructure projects have faced delays, impacting concrete sales volumes.
- Weather Events: The Coastal El Niño caused significant damage in early 2017, affecting costs and distribution, though recovery was observed in the second half of the year.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Impairment Impact: Verify the non-recurring nature of the S/47.6 million brine project write-off and its exclusion from core cement performance metrics.
- Reconstruction Budget Execution: Monitor the actual disbursement and execution speed of the S/7.1 billion government reconstruction budget in 2018.
- Political Risk Exposure: Assess the impact of the "Lava Jato" decree on the company's major construction clients and potential payment delays.
- Debt Hedging: Confirm the effectiveness of the US$300 million cross-currency swap in mitigating foreign exchange risk on the international bond issuance.
- Concrete Segment Recovery: Track the rebound in concrete sales volumes as infrastructure projects resume post-El Niño.