DELTA AIR LINES, INC. annual report, FY2023

Delta Air Lines, Inc. — 2023 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2023. This is an annual filing; it does not provide standalone fourth-quarter results in the supplied text. Delta operates a global passenger and cargo airline and refinery segment, and served more than 190 million customers in 2023.

Financial performance and position

Metric20232022Change
Operating revenue$58.0 billion$50.6 billionUp 15%
Operating income$5.5 billion$3.7 billionUp $1.9 billion
Net income$4.6 billion$1.3 billionUp $3.3 billion
Diluted earnings per share$7.17$2.06Up $5.11
Operating cash flow$6.5 billion$6.4 billionUp $0.1 billion
Capital expenditures$5.3 billion$6.4 billionDown $1.1 billion
  • Operating margin was approximately 9.5%, compared with 7.2% in 2022; net margin was approximately 7.9%, compared with 2.6% (calculated from reported figures).
  • Management-reported adjusted operating income, a non-GAAP measure, was $6.3 billion, versus $3.6 billion. The 2023 figure excludes $864 million in pilot-agreement-related expenses and includes adjustments for hedge items.
  • Passenger revenue rose 22% to $48.9 billion. Premium-product ticket revenue grew 26% and main-cabin ticket revenue 20%. Cargo revenue fell 31% to $723 million; other revenue declined 10%, primarily due to lower third-party refinery sales.
  • Total operating expenses increased 12% to $52.5 billion. Salaries and related costs rose 23%, including wage increases, workforce growth and pilot agreement costs. Fuel expense declined 4% to $11.1 billion as lower prices more than offset increased consumption.
  • CASM decreased 4% to 19.31 cents, while adjusted non-fuel CASM-Ex increased 2.3% to 13.17 cents. Passenger load factor increased to 85% from 84%.
  • Management’s non-GAAP free cash flow was $2.0 billion. This calculation includes adjustments such as net redemptions of short-term investments and adds back the $735 million pilot ratification payment; it is not the same as GAAP cash flow less capital expenditures.
  • Year-end liquidity was $6.8 billion, including cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments and available revolving credit. Cash and cash equivalents alone were $2.7 billion; approximately $2.9 billion was undrawn and available under revolving facilities.
  • Principal debt and finance lease obligations were $20.1 billion at year-end. Delta repaid approximately $4.1 billion during 2023. Debt maturities include $2.6 billion in 2024 and $2.0 billion in 2025. The company reported compliance with debt covenants.
  • Delta reinstated its quarterly dividend in 2023, paying $0.10 per share in each of the September and December quarters.

Material changes versus 2022

  • Capacity increased 17%, with passenger revenue up 22%; international passenger revenue rose 49%, led by transatlantic travel and the recovery of Pacific demand.
  • Operating income improved substantially, while non-operating results swung to $87 million of income from $1.7 billion of expense. The 2023 result included $1.3 billion of net investment gains, including a $786 million mark-to-market gain on Wheels Up.
  • Delta recorded $864 million of pilot agreement and related expenses, including a $735 million one-time ratification payment and approximately $130 million of benefit-related adjustments. Profit-sharing expense rose to $1.4 billion from $563 million.
  • Refinery segment operating income declined to $385 million from $777 million. The refinery completed a planned turnaround from mid-September to mid-November, during which it produced no refined products.
  • Debt and finance lease repayments and operating cash flow supported a reduction in reported debt balances; the balance sheet also reflected higher equity investments, partly from the Wheels Up transaction and investment valuation changes.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • The filing does not provide a quantified 2024 earnings or revenue forecast. Management expects moderate, single-digit domestic capacity growth and expects fuel consumption to rise with capacity, partly offset by fleet efficiency improvements.
  • Management expects elevated jet fuel prices relative to historical levels at the beginning of 2024, citing market conditions and geopolitical events. It expects to meet near-term liquidity needs through cash, investments and operating cash flow.
  • Management expects a 2024 effective tax rate of 23%–25%. It expects approximately $5 billion of 2024 capital spending, excluding the LaGuardia project, and will continue to seek opportunities for debt prepayment.
  • American Express remuneration totaled $6.8 billion in 2023; Delta expects it to increase 10% in 2024 and has stated a long-term expectation of $10 billion.
  • Key exposures include volatile fuel prices and supply, labor costs and potential work disruptions, intense fare and network competition, weather and airport or technology disruptions, cybersecurity and third-party risks, geopolitical events, and extensive regulation.
  • Environmental regulation and the cost and limited availability of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) create uncertainty. Delta’s net-zero-by-2050 objective depends on future technology, SAF production, policy support and investment; the filing says these solutions are not yet available at scale.
  • The DOT’s renewal review of antitrust immunity for the Aeroméxico cooperation agreement remained pending; existing immunity continued while the matter awaited final adjudication. A long-running airline capacity antitrust case also remained unresolved, with Delta stating it believes the claims lack merit.
  • Other notable exposures include $17.5 billion of aircraft purchase commitments, $8.8 billion of minimum obligations under third-party regional carrier agreements, and construction cost risk on the LaGuardia redevelopment. Delta expected LaGuardia substantial completion by the end of 2024 and estimated its net project cost at approximately $3.8 billion.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Reconcile reported GAAP performance with adjusted measures, especially free cash flow and adjusted operating income, and assess the effect of the pilot payment and investment mark-to-market gains.
  • Track cash generation, liquidity composition, debt maturities, lease obligations and covenant requirements; liquidity includes undrawn credit and is not equivalent to cash on hand.
  • Monitor premium and international demand, capacity growth, unit revenue and non-fuel unit costs, including whether CASM-Ex growth persists.
  • Assess fuel-price sensitivity: Delta estimates that a one-cent-per-gallon increase would add approximately $40 million in annual fuel expense at consumption of about four billion gallons.
  • Review the valuation and volatility of the Wheels Up investment, which contributed materially to 2023 non-operating gains, and the status of the Aeroméxico antitrust-immunity renewal.
  • Track delivery timing and funding for aircraft commitments and major airport projects, as well as SAF costs, environmental rules and related contingencies.