DUCOMMUN INC annual report, FY2016

Ducommun Incorporated: FY2016 Form 10-K Summary

Business context and reporting period

Ducommun provides engineering and manufacturing services for aerospace, defense, industrial, medical and other high-reliability applications through its Electronic Systems and Structural Systems segments. The filing covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2016; fourth-quarter 2016 results are also presented.

  • Aerospace and defense represented 89% of 2016 revenue: commercial aerospace 48% and military and space 41%; Industrial markets represented 11%.
  • The company employed approximately 2,700 people and operated 25 facilities totaling approximately 1.9 million square feet.
  • 2016 included the sale of the Pittsburgh operation in January and the Miltec operation in March, both within Electronic Systems.

Financial performance and liquidity

Metric20162015Change or context
Net revenue$550.6 million$666.0 millionDown 17.3%
Gross profit$106.2 million$100.8 millionMargin increased to 19.3% from 15.1%
Operating income (loss)$28.6 million$(75.3) million2015 included major impairment charges
Net income (loss)$25.3 million$(74.9) millionDiluted EPS was $2.24 versus $(6.78)
Adjusted EBITDA$54.8 million$49.5 million10.0% versus 7.4% of revenue
Cash flow from operations$43.3 million$23.7 millionImproved by $19.6 million
Capital expenditures$18.7 million$16.0 millionPrimarily supporting new awards
Cash and equivalents$7.4 million$5.5 millionYear-end balance
Total debt$170.0 million$245.0 million$75.0 million voluntary term-loan repayment
Working capital$139.6 million$179.7 millionDeclined year over year

Fourth-quarter 2016 revenue was $142.5 million, gross profit was $27.8 million and net income was $2.8 million, or $0.25 diluted EPS.

At December 31, 2016, the company had $199.0 million of unused revolving-credit capacity, after $1.0 million of standby letters of credit. The senior secured term loan and revolving facility mature June 26, 2020. The weighted-average debt interest rate was 3.25%; $135.0 million of debt was subject to interest-rate cap hedges. The company was in compliance with its debt covenants.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue declined $115.4 million, primarily from a $70.5 million reduction in Industrial revenue following the Pittsburgh divestiture and Houston closure, and a $59.1 million reduction in military and space revenue from the Miltec divestiture, program delays and budget changes. Commercial aerospace revenue increased $14.2 million.
  • Structural Systems revenue declined 9.8% to $246.5 million, while segment operating income improved to $16.5 million from a $53.0 million loss, largely because 2015 included a $57.2 million goodwill impairment and substantial regional-jet contract charges.
  • Electronic Systems revenue declined 22.5% to $304.2 million, while segment operating income improved to $29.0 million from a $4.5 million loss. The prior year included a $32.9 million trade-name impairment.
  • Gross margin improved by 4.2 percentage points, reflecting the absence of the 2015 regional-jet forward-loss reserve and lower material costs as a percentage of revenue.
  • Interest expense decreased $10.4 million due to lower debt and lower average borrowing costs. The company made $75.0 million of voluntary term-loan prepayments.
  • Backlog increased to $600.3 million from $574.4 million; $480.2 million was expected to be delivered during 2017. The company cautions that backlog may be delayed, canceled or concentrated among specific programs and customers.

Guidance, outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected 2017 capital expenditures of $22 million to $26 million, principally for expansion of the Parsons, Kansas facility, new contract awards and increased tooling and engineering content.
  • Management expected operating cash flow and available borrowing capacity to provide sufficient liquidity for obligations during the following twelve months.
  • Key outlook risks include cyclicality in commercial aerospace and defense markets, U.S. defense-budget uncertainty and sequestration, customer and program concentration, production-rate changes, fixed-price contract cost overruns, supplier constraints, pricing pressure and customer cancellations or delays.
  • The top ten customers represented 58.6% of 2016 revenue; Boeing represented 17.3%, Raytheon 8.4%, Spirit AeroSystems 8.2% and United Technologies 6.0%.
  • 2016 included a $17.6 million net pre-tax gain on divestitures. 2015 included $57.2 million of goodwill impairment, $32.9 million of intangible-asset impairment and a $14.7 million loss on debt extinguishment; these items affect year-over-year comparability.
  • Environmental reserves totaled $1.5 million for groundwater matters at California facilities and $0.4 million for the West Covina landfill. The company estimated total potential West Covina liability at $0.4 million to $3.1 million.
  • The company disclosed a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting related to quarterly and annual income-tax accounting and disclosures. The 2015 financial statements were revised for a $1.6 million tax-accounting error. Management expected remediation efforts to support a conclusion during 2017 but provided no assurance of successful or timely remediation.
  • The company has an underfunded pension obligation of approximately $11.1 million and expected 2017 pension contributions of $0.9 million.
  • No dividends have been paid since the first quarter of 2011, and management did not expect dividends in the foreseeable future.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether revenue and cash flow recover after the divestitures and defense-program delays, particularly in Electronic Systems.
  • Whether the $600.3 million backlog converts to revenue as expected and whether the $480.2 million scheduled for 2017 is exposed to cancellations or delays.
  • Progress in reducing the $170.0 million term loan, compliance with leverage covenants and refinancing capacity before the June 2020 maturity.
  • Whether the company achieves its $22 million to $26 million 2017 capital-spending plan while maintaining adequate liquidity.
  • Remediation and auditor confirmation of the income-tax internal-control material weakness.
  • Potential additional losses on fixed-price contracts, impairment charges, environmental liabilities and pension funding requirements.
  • Ongoing dependence on a concentrated aerospace and defense customer base and the effect of aircraft production rates and U.S. defense spending.