Dynagas LNG Partners LP current report, Q3 FY2018

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Dynagas LNG Partners LP
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Interim Report)
Reporting Period: Nine months ended September 30, 2018
Business Overview: A growth-oriented limited partnership owning and operating a fleet of six LNG carriers. As of December 10, 2018, all vessels were employed or contracted on multi-year time charters with major energy companies (Gazprom, Equinor, Yamal). The Partnership has an estimated contracted revenue backlog of approximately $1.41 billion with an average remaining duration of 9.8 years.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (in thousands, except per unit) 9 Months Ended Sep 30, 2018 9 Months Ended Sep 30, 2017
Voyage Revenues $96,116 $104,538
Operating Income $41,271 $46,520
Net Income $4,537 $11,714
Net Income Attributable to Common Unitholders $(525) $5,387
Adjusted EBITDA $74,507 $80,626
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $33,980 $44,333
Total Debt (Gross) $724,000 $727,600
Cash and Cash Equivalents $59,536 $67,464
Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) Rate $58,368 $63,970
Fleet Utilization 100% 97%

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Decline: Voyage revenues decreased by 7.8% ($8.7 million) primarily due to lower charter rates on the Arctic Aurora and Ob River, and the Clean Energy operating in the spot market for part of the period before securing a long-term charter in July 2018.
  • Profitability: Net income attributable to common unitholders turned negative ($(0.01) per unit) compared to $0.16 per unit in the prior year, driven by lower revenues and fixed preferred unit distributions.
  • Cost Efficiency: Vessel operating expenses decreased by 8.2% due to crewing and technical efficiencies. Voyage expenses dropped 25.9% as the Clean Energy was fully utilized in 2018, eliminating bunker consumption costs incurred during off-hire days in 2017.
  • Interest Costs: Interest and finance costs increased by 8.6% to $37.4 million, reflecting higher weighted average interest rates on the Term Loan B facility.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

Liquidity and Going Concern

The filing explicitly states there is substantial doubt about the Partnership's ability to continue as a going concern. The Partnership estimates that current liquidity sources will not be sufficient to repay the $250 million 2019 Notes maturing on October 30, 2019. Management is exploring refinancing options, including the use of proceeds from a recent Series B Preferred Units offering.

Recent Capital Actions

  • Series B Offering: On October 23, 2018, the Partnership completed an offering of 2.2 million Series B Preferred Units, raising net proceeds of approximately $53.0 million.
  • Distribution Reduction: The quarterly cash distribution on common units was reduced from $0.4225 to $0.25 per unit, effective Q1 2018.

Key Risks

  • Concentration Risk: As of September 30, 2018, 93% of revenues were derived from two charterers (74% and 19%).
  • Refinancing Risk: Inability to secure committed funds to refinance the 2019 Notes prior to maturity.
  • Market Conditions: Fluctuations in charter rates, LNG supply/demand, and bunker prices.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Refinancing Status: Verify if the Partnership has secured committed financing to repay the $250 million 2019 Notes maturing in October 2019.
  • Charter Expirations: Monitor the re-chartering of the Lena River (short-term charter ending Feb 2020) and the Arctic Aurora (charter ending July 2021).
  • Debt Covenants: Confirm continued compliance with financial covenants, specifically the minimum free liquidity requirement of $20.0 million.
  • Optional Vessel Acquisitions: Assess the likelihood of exercising options to acquire the remaining Initial Optional Vessels from the Sponsor by the December 31, 2018 deadline.
  • Going Concern Assessment: Review subsequent filings for updates on the "substantial doubt" regarding the ability to continue as a going concern.