Dynagas LNG Partners LP current report, Q2 FY2018

Business Context and Reporting Period

Dynagas LNG Partners LP (NYSE: DLNG), a growth-oriented partnership owning and operating liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers, filed this Form 6-K on April 18, 2018. The filing primarily announces a strategic reduction in the quarterly distribution to common unitholders following a review of the Partnership's financial profile.

Key Financial Metrics

  • Quarterly Distribution: Reduced from $0.4225 to $0.25 per common unit, effective May 3, 2018.
  • Annualized Distribution: Reduced from $1.69 to $1.00 per common unit.
  • Estimated Contracted Revenue Backlog: Approximately $1.5 billion.
  • Average Remaining Contract Term: 10 years.
  • Projected Annual Cash Savings: Approximately $24.5 million resulting from the distribution reduction.
  • Pro-Forma 2018 Distribution Coverage Ratio: Expected to be below 1x.
  • Total Historical Distributions: $6.79 per common unit since the November 2013 IPO.
  • Fleet Capacity: Six LNG carriers with an aggregate capacity of approximately 914,000 cubic meters.

Material Changes

The Partnership has shifted its strategy from shorter-duration time charter contracts at peak rates to longer-term charters. While this has increased the revenue backlog and cash flow visibility, it has resulted in lower charter rates, decreased operating cash flow, and a weakened distribution coverage ratio. Consequently, the Board approved a significant reduction in distributions to align payouts with the capacity to generate cash flow.

Outlook, Management Commentary, and Risks

CEO Tony Lauritzen stated that the distribution reduction is necessary to align cash flows with payment obligations, enhance liquidity, and strengthen the balance sheet. The move aims to reduce the need to utilize cash reserves to fund distributions. Management expects the new distribution level to be viable on an actual cash basis. Future growth projects, including potential acquisitions of LNG carriers from the Sponsor or third parties, are expected to improve the distribution coverage ratio to above 1x.

Risks and Contingencies: The filing highlights risks including fluctuations in charter rates and vessel values, changes in LNG shipping demand, operating expense volatility (bunker prices, drydocking), availability of financing, regulatory changes, and geopolitical disruptions to shipping routes.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the exact record date (April 26, 2018) and payment date (May 3, 2018) for the reduced distribution.
  • Confirm the specific terms and expiration dates of the new long-term contracts (e.g., 10-year contract for Ob River, 15-year contracts for Yenisei River and Lena River).
  • Monitor the Partnership's actual cash flow performance to assess if the pro-forma distribution coverage ratio improves as projected.
  • Review upcoming filings for details on potential vessel acquisitions intended to boost the coverage ratio above 1x.
  • Assess the impact of current market charter rates on the valuation of the remaining fleet.