Dynagas LNG Partners LP current report, Q1 FY2018

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Dynagas LNG Partners LP
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Interim Report)
Reporting Period: Three months ended March 31, 2018
Business Overview: A growth-oriented limited partnership owning and operating a fleet of six liquefied natural gas (LNG) carriers. As of May 29, 2018, five vessels were under multi-year time charters with major energy companies (Gazprom, Equinor, Yamal), while one vessel was trading on the short-term market prior to a new long-term charter.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q1 2018 Q1 2017
Voyage Revenues $33.9 million $39.1 million
Operating Income $16.8 million $21.9 million
Net Income $4.8 million $12.9 million
Adjusted EBITDA $26.6 million $31.3 million
Net Cash from Operating Activities $11.9 million $18.2 million
Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) Rate $61,635/day $70,778/day
Total Debt (Gross) $726.4 million $727.6 million
Cash and Cash Equivalents $61.4 million $50.9 million
Available Liquidity $91.4 million N/A

Note: Available liquidity includes cash on hand plus $30.0 million borrowing capacity under a revolving credit facility with the Sponsor.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Decline: Voyage revenues decreased by 12.3% ($5.0 million) primarily due to lower earnings on the Clean Energy vessel, which was employed on the short-term market at lower rates compared to the prior year. This vessel is scheduled to commence an eight-year charter with Gazprom in July 2018.
  • Profitability Drop: Net income fell 62.5% to $4.8 million. This was driven by the revenue decrease and a 35.5% increase in interest and finance costs ($12.0 million vs. $8.9 million) due to the Term Loan B facility entered into in May 2017.
  • Operating Expenses: Vessel operating expenses decreased slightly to $6.3 million due to crewing and technical efficiencies. However, dry-docking costs increased to $0.5 million due to preliminary expenditures for upcoming scheduled repairs.
  • Interest Costs: Interest and finance costs rose significantly, reflecting the higher weighted average interest rate (6.2% in Q1 2018 vs. 4.6% in Q1 2017).

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Distribution Reduction: On April 12, 2018, the Board reduced the quarterly common unit cash distribution from $0.4225 to $0.25 per unit (annualized $1.69 to $1.00) to align distributions with long-term cash flow capacity and strengthen the balance sheet. The first reduced distribution was paid on May 3, 2018.
  • Contract Backlog: As of May 29, 2018, the estimated contracted revenue backlog was approximately $1.46 billion with an average remaining duration of 10.2 years. This includes charters for the Yenisei River and Lena River with Yamal, which are subject to important conditions.
  • Optional Vessels: The deadline to exercise purchase options for four "Initial Optional Vessels" from the Sponsor was extended to December 31, 2018. No financing has been secured for these potential acquisitions yet.
  • Risks: Key risks include reliance on a limited number of charterers (top three accounted for 100% of revenue in Q1 2018), potential cancellation of Yamal LNG Project charters, fluctuations in charter rates upon contract expiry, and the ability to service debt obligations.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Revenue Concentration: Verify the stability of the top three charterers (Gazprom, Equinor, Yamal) which accounted for 100% of Q1 2018 revenues.
  • Yamal Project Conditions: Confirm the status of conditions precedent for the Yenisei River and Lena River charters with Yamal, as failure to satisfy these could cancel significant future revenue.
  • Debt Covenants: Review compliance with financial covenants, specifically the minimum free liquidity requirement of $20.0 million and debt service coverage ratios.
  • Distribution Coverage: Assess the sustainability of the new reduced distribution level ($0.25/unit) against future Adjusted EBITDA projections.
  • Optional Vessel Exercise: Monitor the decision timeline (by Dec 31, 2018) regarding the acquisition of the four Initial Optional Vessels and the associated capital requirements.