Dynagas LNG Partners LP current report, Q1 FY2014

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Dynagas LNG Partners LP (NasdaqGS: DLNG)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Press Release)
Reporting Period: Fourth Quarter and Full Year ended December 31, 2013
Business Overview: A growth-oriented partnership owning and operating LNG carriers on multi-year charters. The partnership completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) and listed on NASDAQ in November 2013. The fleet consists of three LNG carriers, each with a capacity of approximately 150,000 cbm.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q4 2013 Q4 2012 Full Year 2013 Full Year 2012
Voyage Revenues $21.7 million $20.9 million $85.7 million $77.5 million
Operating Income $14.0 million $11.3 million $55.4 million $39.7 million
Net Income $11.0 million $8.8 million $45.6 million $29.8 million
Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) $17.4 million $14.7 million $68.9 million $53.2 million
Distributable Cash Flow (Non-GAAP) $12.9 million $9.9 million $46.8 million $37.5 million
Earnings Per Unit (Basic/Diluted) $0.51 $0.40 $2.95 $1.37

Liquidity and Debt (as of Dec 31, 2013):

  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: $27.7 million (includes restricted cash).
  • Total Indebtedness: $214.1 million (excluding a $5.5 million sponsor loan repaid in Jan 2014).
  • Net Debt: $186.4 million.
  • Leverage Ratio: 2.7x (Net Debt / Annual Adjusted EBITDA).
  • Available Borrowings: $48.0 million under a $262 million revolving credit facility.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

Quarterly Performance (Q4 2013 vs. Q4 2012):

  • Net Income: Increased 25.3% to $11.0 million.
  • Operating Income: Increased 23.4% to $14.0 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: Increased 18.2% to $17.4 million.
  • Key Drivers: Improvement attributed to the absence of special survey and dry-dock expenses in Q4 2013 (approx. $1.2 million incurred in Q4 2012 for the vessel "Clean Force"). Additionally, revenues increased due to an escalated time charter rate for "Clean Force" following a contract extension.
  • Expenses: Total operating expenses decreased to $2.8 million ($10,315 per vessel/day) from $4.1 million ($14,721 per vessel/day) in the prior year.

Annual Performance (2013 vs. 2012):

  • Net Income: Increased 52.9% to $45.6 million.
  • Operating Income: Increased 39.6% to $55.4 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: Increased 29.5% to $68.9 million.
  • Key Drivers: Voyage revenues increased by $8.2 million (10.6%) due to escalated charter rates on "Clean Force" and "Ob River." The company incurred no dry-dock or special survey costs in 2013, whereas 2012 included approximately $4.5 million in such expenses.
  • Utilization: Fleet utilization reached 100% for the full year 2013, compared to 99.5% in 2012.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Management Commentary:
CEO Tony Lauritzen highlighted the successful IPO and 100% fleet utilization in Q4 2013. The focus for 2014 is on growth and operational efficiency.

Outlook and Growth Strategy:

  • Charter Coverage: As of Feb 20, 2014, 100% of fleet calendar days are secured through 2015, and 89% for 2016.
  • Revenue Backlog: Approximately $269.6 million with an average remaining duration of 3.2 years.
  • Asset Dropdowns: The partnership has options to acquire seven "Optional Vessels" from its Sponsor (Dynagas Holding Ltd.) within 24 months of delivery. This includes three modern ice-class carriers and four newbuildings expected within 16 months.

Risks and Contingencies:

  • Market Conditions: Fluctuations in charter rates, vessel values, and global demand for LNG shipping capacity.
  • Operational Risks: Changes in bunker prices, dry-docking costs, insurance, vessel breakdowns, and off-hires.
  • Regulatory/Political: Changes in governmental rules, political conditions, and potential disruption of shipping routes.
  • Forward-Looking Statements: Actual results may differ materially from projections due to inherent uncertainties.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Non-GAAP Reconciliations: Verify the reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow to Net Income in Appendix B to understand the adjustments made (e.g., maintenance capital expenditure reserves).
  • Debt Structure: Confirm the terms of the $262 million revolving credit facility and the specific covenants related to the 2.7x leverage ratio.
  • Charter Contract Details: Review the specific terms of the time charters for "Clean Force" and "Ob River" to validate the escalated rates and remaining contract durations.
  • Optional Vessel Acquisition: Assess the financial impact and execution risk of acquiring the seven "Optional Vessels" from the Sponsor, including the timing of newbuilding deliveries.
  • Capital Expenditures: Monitor future dry-docking schedules, as the 2013 results benefited significantly from the absence of these costs.