DAQO NEW ENERGY CORP. annual report, Q4 FY2017

Daqo New Energy Corp. — FY2017 Form 20-F

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2017. This is an annual report, not a standalone fourth-quarter financial report; the filing gives Q4 product sales volumes but does not provide clear standalone Q4 revenue or earnings. Financial statements are audited and prepared under U.S. GAAP.

Business context and operating period

Daqo manufactures high-purity polysilicon in Xinjiang and silicon wafers in Chongqing, selling primarily to photovoltaic manufacturers in China. Polysilicon accounted for 83.3% of 2017 revenue and wafers 16.7%. The company reported full operation of 18,000 MT annual polysilicon capacity by February 2017 and wafer capacity of approximately 100 million pieces.

Key financial and operating metrics

Metric20172016Change
Revenue$352.9 million$229.1 million+54.0%
Gross profit / margin$143.5 million / 40.7%$80.4 million / 35.1%Gross profit +78.4%
Operating income$128.7 million$65.4 million+96.7%
Net income attributable to Daqo shareholders$92.8 million$43.5 million+113.5%
Operating cash flow$142.7 million$98.7 million+$44.0 million
Investing cash flow$(63.1) million$(66.1) millionLower cash use
Financing cash flow$(37.4) million$(30.3) millionHigher cash use
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$60.7 million$16.0 million+$44.7 million

Polysilicon revenue rose 75.5% to $294.1 million, reflecting a 64.9% increase in external sales volume to 17,950 MT and a higher average selling price ($16.41/kg versus $15.42/kg). Production was 20,200 MT; reported average production cost, including depreciation, fell 5.8% to $8.84/kg. Wafer revenue decreased 4.5% to $58.8 million despite shipments rising 18.4% to 98.0 million pieces, mainly because selling prices were lower. Wafer gross profit fell to $2.8 million from $9.2 million.

Interest expense was $18.0 million, up from $14.6 million; income tax expense increased to $17.3 million from $7.4 million. The company recorded $3.0 million of long-lived asset impairment, primarily for Chongqing equipment deemed unsuitable for relocation or reuse. Unrestricted local-government subsidies recognized in other operating income were $6.8 million, versus $5.3 million.

Liquidity, debt and capital commitments

Year-end current assets were $142.4 million and current liabilities $216.5 million, a working-capital deficit of $74.1 million. Cash and cash equivalents were $60.7 million, plus $12.0 million restricted cash. Bank borrowings totaled $212.9 million: $99.3 million current (including $30.9 million current portion of long-term debt) and $113.6 million long-term. Weighted average rates were 5.1% for short-term and 5.9% for long-term borrowings; most borrowings were guaranteed by Daqo Group or affiliates. Capital commitments for property, plant and equipment were $39.9 million, and contractual obligations totaled $205.8 million.

Management identified going-concern dependence on operating cash generation, renewed or rolled-over bank facilities, and related-party support. A February 23, 2018 support letter from Daqo Group and certain shareholders committed funding for operations through March 31, 2019 and deferred repayment of amounts owed to Daqo Group and affiliates until April 1, 2019. The filing cautions that the commitments may not be honored. Only $2.3 million of bank borrowing facilities was available at year-end.

Changes, outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Expansion: Phase 3A ramp-up drove higher production and sales. Phase 3B construction began in 2017; management expected pilot production in the first half of 2019 and full capacity of up to 30,000 MT per year by mid-2019. The filing also describes a 25,000 MT phase capacity before further debottlenecking; investors should verify the intended capacity and schedule.
  • Market outlook: Management cited approximately 100 GW of global PV installations in 2017 and anticipated single-digit global market growth in 2018, potentially faster growth in 2019. It warned of additional polysilicon capacity, possible price declines, and reduced Chinese feed-in tariffs effective 2018.
  • Quality and technology: Approximately 35% of 2017 polysilicon was suitable for mono-wafer applications; management targeted approximately 59% in 2018 and 69% in 2019. These are expectations, not assured outcomes. The company also completed its transition to diamond-wire wafer slicing, which management said should improve efficiency and lower costs.
  • Concentration and related parties: The top three customers represented 34.5% of revenue. The company relies on Daqo Group support and conducts loans, asset purchases, leases and product sales with related parties. Related-party receivables rose to $9.0 million from $1.5 million; sales to related parties included $13.4 million to Zhenjiang Daqo.
  • Other risks: Results are exposed to polysilicon supply-demand and pricing cycles, solar subsidies and trade actions, energy costs and supply, expansion execution, customer payment delays, China regulatory and foreign-exchange restrictions, and dependence on key personnel. The company reported no material legal proceedings. It has no product-liability or business-interruption insurance.
  • Controls and audit: Management and Deloitte concluded internal control over financial reporting was effective as of year-end; Deloitte issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and controls. Share-based compensation was $4.2 million. A 2017 grant of 12.65 million RSUs had $9.7 million of unrecognized compensation cost at year-end, creating potential dilution and future expense.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the February 2018 financial-support commitments are legally enforceable and sufficient to address the working-capital deficit and near-term maturities.
  • Actual Phase 3B funding, construction progress, capacity target, ramp-up timing and expected unit costs.
  • Polysilicon selling prices and market supply-demand conditions, especially after the 2018 tariff reductions and expected capacity additions.
  • Customer concentration, collections and the increase in related-party receivables; also review related-party financing and transactions.
  • Debt refinancing and repayment capacity, the $39.9 million capital commitment, and potential effects of floating interest rates.
  • Progress against mono-wafer-quality targets and the impact of RSU vesting and other equity awards on dilution.