FAIR ISAAC CORP quarterly report, Q2 FY2015

Business context and reporting period

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) provides analytics, software, data-management products and services, including FICO Scores. This Form 10-Q covers the quarter and six months ended March 31, 2015, the second quarter of fiscal 2015. Unless stated otherwise, amounts below are in millions of dollars.

Key financial results

MetricQuarter ended Mar. 31, 2015Quarter ended Mar. 31, 2014Six months ended Mar. 31, 2015Six months ended Mar. 31, 2014
Revenue$207.1$185.5$396.7$369.8
Operating income$34.4$38.7$59.3$74.0
Net income$18.9$20.8$33.3$37.7
Diluted EPS$0.58$0.59$1.01$1.06
Operating margin16.6%20.9%14.9%20.0%
  • Quarter revenue grew 12%; six-month revenue grew 7%. Quarterly revenue growth was led by Applications, up 16%, including strong fraud-related license sales and TONBELLER contribution. Scores rose 4% in the quarter; Tools rose 4%.
  • Quarterly net income fell 9% and six-month net income fell 12%, despite higher revenue. Operating expenses grew faster than revenue; cost of revenues rose to 34% of revenue from 31% in both comparison periods.
  • Quarterly diluted EPS was slightly lower year over year; six-month diluted EPS decreased 5%. Lower effective tax rates partly offset weaker pre-tax income.
  • Operating cash flow was $43.3, versus $75.1 in the prior-year half. Capital expenditures were $10.3; net cash used in investing was $66.8, including $56.6 for TONBELLER.
  • Cash and equivalents were $86.8 at March 31, 2015, down from $105.1 at September 30, 2014. Current assets were $301.8 and current liabilities $256.1.
  • Total debt was $658.0: $211.0 drawn on the $400.0 revolving facility and $447.0 of senior notes. The filing reports covenant compliance. The company expected to pay $71.0 of senior-note principal in May 2015.

Material changes and unusual items

  • Applications revenue increased $18.8 in the quarter, primarily from $16.2 higher fraud-solution revenue driven by a few multi-year licenses; TONBELLER added $3.2 to compliance revenue after its January acquisition.
  • Tools recorded a one-time customer settlement for previously under-reported royalties, contributing to six-month revenue growth. Tools generated an operating loss of $5.2 in the quarter and $4.6 for the half, compared with profits in the prior-year periods, as spending rose on cloud products, new tools and services delivery.
  • Scores’ six-month revenue declined 1% and segment operating income declined 10%, reflecting lower software revenue and higher expenses. FICO attributed consumer-services growth in part to its Experian agreement launched in December 2014.
  • TONBELLER was acquired for $59.6 cash consideration. The preliminary allocation included $46.2 of goodwill, assigned to Applications; the goodwill is not tax deductible. Purchase accounting remained subject to revision.
  • FICO repurchased 1.384 million shares for $100.7 during the six months, with $149.3 remaining under its $250.0 authorization. It paid a quarterly dividend of $0.02 per share.
  • Foreign-currency translation reduced comprehensive income by $19.1 in the quarter and $30.5 for the six months.

Outlook, management commentary and risks

  • Management expected cost of revenues, R&D, and SG&A as percentages of revenue over the next several quarters to be consistent with or slightly below the March-quarter levels; it expected net interest expense to be lower than in that quarter. The filing gives no specific revenue or EPS forecast.
  • Bookings were $79.6 for the quarter, down from $109.1, and $149.2 for the half, down from $192.0. Management views bookings as an indicator, not backlog: estimates depend on transaction volumes, active accounts, service hours and contract terms, and actual revenue timing may differ.
  • Management said cash, operating cash flows and available revolver borrowings should cover working-capital needs and the May debt payment; it did not anticipate repatriating foreign subsidiary earnings in the foreseeable future.
  • Key disclosed risks include reliance on banking and credit-related markets, a limited number of major customers and distribution partners (including the three credit bureaus), competition including competing bureau scores, sales-cycle and bookings-estimation uncertainty, data access and privacy, cybersecurity, regulatory changes, international exposure, and acquisition integration and valuation risks.
  • The company disclosed customer payment disputes, former-employee claims and other ordinary-course matters; it stated that reasonably possible losses were not material in aggregate. No restructuring accrual remained at March 31.

Investor verification points

  1. Assess whether license-driven fraud growth and the Tools royalty settlement are repeatable, and track bookings conversion and contract timing.
  2. Monitor operating margins, professional-services delivery costs, headcount and cloud/product-development spending, particularly in Tools.
  3. Verify post-acquisition TONBELLER revenue contribution, integration progress and final purchase-price allocation.
  4. Review cash generation, working-capital movements, the May 2015 $71.0 debt payment, revolver utilization and covenant headroom.
  5. Track Scores performance and the contribution and sustainability of Experian and other credit-bureau relationships.