Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Gold Fields Limited
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Operational Update)
Reporting Period: Quarter ended 30 September 2020
Date of Filing: 12 November 2020
Gold Fields reported a period of operational recovery in Q3 2020, particularly at South Deep (South Africa) and Cerro Corona (Peru), which were previously severely disrupted by COVID-19. The company noted that while the pandemic impact is largely contained, a second wave in the Northern Hemisphere poses ongoing risks. Detailed financial results are reported on a six-monthly basis; this filing provides operational metrics and key financial indicators.
Key Financial and Operational Metrics
| Metric | Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q3 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attributable Gold Production (000 oz) | 557 | 550 | 523 |
| All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC) (US$/oz) | 964 | 998 | 947 |
| Total All-In Cost (AIC) (US$/oz) | 1,070 | 1,070 | 1,084 |
| Revenue (US$/oz, excl. Asanko) | 1,921 | 1,709 | 1,469 |
| Net Debt (US$m, incl. leases) | 1,159 | 1,239 | 1,735 |
| Net Debt to EBITDA | 0.68x | 0.84x | 1.51x |
| Total Capital Expenditure (US$m) | 136.0 | 128.9 | 135.1 |
Regional Performance Highlights:
- Australia: Produced 250koz at AIC of US$984/oz.
- Ghana: Produced 211koz (including 45% of Asanko) at AIC of US$1,068/oz.
- Peru (Cerro Corona): Produced 51koz (gold equivalent) at AIC of US$1,146/oz.
- South Africa (South Deep): Produced 65koz at AIC of US$1,075/oz, recovering from Q2 disruptions.
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Production: Attributable gold equivalent production increased 7% year-over-year (YoY) and 1% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ).
- Costs: AIC decreased 1% YoY to US$1,070/oz. AISC increased 2% YoY but decreased 3% QoQ to US$964/oz.
- Liquidity & Debt: Net debt (including leases) decreased to US$1,159m from US$1,239m in Q2 2020, following an interim dividend payment of US$85m. Post-quarter, the company repaid its 2020 bond using cash resources and debt facilities.
- Operational Recovery: South Deep production surged 63% QoQ (from 39.8koz to 64.9koz) as labor numbers normalized post-lockdown. Conversely, Asanko (Ghana JV) production dropped 29% QoQ due to lower yield and accelerated stripping costs.
- Rating Update: Standard & Poor's revised the outlook to "positive" from "stable" and affirmed the 'BB+/B' global scale rating.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
Revised FY 2020 Guidance:
- Production: 2.200Moz – 2.250Moz (reduced from original 2.275Moz – 2.315Moz).
- AISC: US$960/oz – US$980/oz (increased from original US$920/oz – US$940/oz).
- AIC: US$1,070/oz – US$1,090/oz (increased from original US$1,035/oz – US$1,055/oz).
Management Commentary: Management expects sustaining capital expenditure to move toward the upper end of the US$250-300/oz range in the coming year to extend mine life at key Australian assets (Agnew, Granny Smith, St Ives). The Salares Norte project in Chile is progressing ahead of schedule with 19.4% total project completion.
Risks and Contingencies:
- COVID-19: Risk of a second wave in operating countries; currently 26 active cases among the workforce.
- Operational Disruptions: Gruyere (Australia) faced a ball mill bearing failure causing downtime; Asanko (Ghana) faces geotechnical challenges requiring accelerated stripping.
- Market Risks: Fluctuations in gold/copper prices and currency exchange rates (ZAR, AUD).
Investor Verification Checklist
- Cost Guidance Viability: Verify if the revised AISC guidance (US$960-980/oz) is achievable given the specific cost increases at Asanko and Gruyere.
- South Deep Recovery: Confirm if the Q3 production ramp-up at South Deep is sustainable or if it was a one-time recovery from Q2 lows.
- Debt Repayment Impact: Assess the impact of the post-quarter bond repayment on available liquidity and future borrowing capacity.
- Salares Norte Progress: Monitor the engineering and construction progress of the Salares Norte project, which is currently ahead of schedule.
- Asanko Stripping Costs: Evaluate the long-term cost implications of the accelerated stripping activities required at the Asanko JV due to wall failures.