Gates Industrial Corp Ltd. quarterly report, Q2 FY2023

Gates Industrial Corporation plc — Q2 2023 Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period

Gates manufactures engineered power transmission and fluid power products for industrial and automotive applications, serving replacement and first-fit channels globally. Reported segments are Power Transmission and Fluid Power. The filing covers the 91-day quarter ended July 1, 2023 and six months ended July 1, 2023, compared with periods ended July 2, 2022. Results are unaudited and prepared under U.S. GAAP.

Replacement channels represented approximately 64% of six-month sales and first-fit channels approximately 36%. Blackstone-affiliated entities owned approximately 49.6% of outstanding shares at July 1, 2023; following a May 2023 secondary offering and related company repurchase, Gates ceased to be a “controlled company” under NYSE standards.

Financial performance and key metrics

MetricQ2 2023Q2 2022Six months 2023Six months 2022
Net sales$936.3 million$906.8 million$1,834.0 million$1,800.2 million
Gross profit$352.7 million$326.2 million$677.8 million$631.1 million
Gross margin37.7%36.0%37.0%35.1%
Operating income$129.1 million$112.7 million$216.4 million$181.1 million
Net income attributable to shareholders$64.9 million$53.1 million$91.3 million$84.0 million
Diluted EPS$0.23$0.19$0.32$0.29
Adjusted EBITDA$197.3 million$180.1 million$371.8 million$336.9 million
Adjusted EBITDA margin21.1%19.9%20.3%18.7%

Six-month core sales increased 3.9%, excluding a $36.6 million unfavorable foreign-exchange impact. Pricing contributed $126.7 million, while lower volumes partially offset growth. Power Transmission six-month sales increased 2.1% and Fluid Power sales increased 1.5% on a reported basis.

Six-month operating cash flow was $183.9 million, compared with cash used of $81.8 million in the prior-year period. Investing cash use was $41.1 million, including $29.8 million of capital expenditures and intangible-asset purchases. Financing cash use was $160.4 million, primarily reflecting $251.7 million of share repurchases, partly offset by a $100.0 million asset-backed revolver draw. Ending cash and cash equivalents were $565.0 million.

Liquidity, debt and capital allocation

  • Principal debt was $2.582 billion at July 1, 2023, compared with $2.491 billion at December 31, 2022. Carrying debt was $2.557 billion.
  • Net Debt increased to $2.017 billion from $1.913 billion at year-end 2022, primarily because of share repurchases and capital expenditures, partly offset by operating cash flow.
  • Debt included $1.914 billion of secured dollar term loans, $100.0 million drawn under the asset-backed revolver and $568.0 million of 6.25% senior notes due January 2026.
  • Term-loan interest rates were 7.70% for the Existing Dollar Term Loans and 8.60% for the New Dollar Term Loans at July 1, 2023. The New Dollar Term Loans mature in November 2029.
  • Committed borrowing headroom was $368.0 million, including $150.0 million available under the asset-backed facility after considering outstanding borrowings and letters of credit, and $250.0 million under the secured revolving facility. The filing states that Gates believed it had adequate liquidity for the next twelve months.
  • The company repurchased 21.9 million shares for approximately $250.0 million at $11.3975 per share in May 2023; all repurchased shares were cancelled. No additional authorization remained under the $250 million program.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue rose 3.3% in the quarter and 1.9% for the six months, while core revenue grew 3.9% in both periods after excluding currency effects.
  • Gross margin improved 170 basis points in the quarter and 190 basis points for the six months, supported by pricing, lower inbound freight costs and easing supply-chain pressures.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 9.6% in the quarter and 10.4% for the six months; margins expanded 120 and 160 basis points, respectively.
  • Interest expense increased to $44.5 million in the quarter and $85.3 million for the six months, versus $33.0 million and $65.6 million, primarily due to higher rates, the replacement of the Euro Term Loan with dollar term loans and the revolver borrowing.
  • Operating cash flow improved by $265.7 million year over year, principally because of improved working-capital movements and operating performance.
  • Share count declined to 263.7 million from 282.6 million at December 31, 2022, primarily because of the May repurchase.

Guidance, outlook, risks and unusual items

Management did not provide a specific numerical full-year revenue or earnings outlook in the supplied filing text. Management expected inventory initiatives and easing supply-chain constraints to continue improving working-capital use and cash conversion during fiscal 2023, while warning that customers may rebalance inventories and adjust lead times, particularly in industrial markets.

  • A customer bankruptcy resulted in a cumulative $11.4 million pre-tax credit-loss charge during the first six months, including an additional $0.7 million in the second quarter. Recovery estimates may change as proceedings develop.
  • A February 2023 malware attack caused some sales disruption and $5.1 million of non-recurring costs in the first six months. Some costs may be offset by insurance recoveries.
  • Restructuring expense was $7.7 million for the six months, primarily related to relocating production activities in China, Mexico and Europe. Restructuring reserves were $7.0 million at July 1, 2023.
  • Inflation, lower volumes and reduced fixed-cost absorption continued to pressure costs, although pricing and supply-chain improvements more than offset these factors at the gross-profit level.
  • Key disclosed risks include substantial leverage and floating-rate exposure, foreign-exchange volatility, raw-material and supply-chain availability, industrial-cycle sensitivity, customer concentration and credit risk, cybersecurity, geopolitical risks including the Russia-Ukraine conflict, litigation and product liability, pension contributions, tax changes, and risks related to strategic transactions.
  • The company reported no material accrued litigation amounts and did not expect current proceedings or known claims to materially affect its financial position, results or cash flows. It was in compliance with applicable debt covenants.

Investor verification checklist

  • Verify the sustainability of pricing-driven growth as industrial volumes soften and customers normalize inventories.
  • Reconcile Adjusted EBITDA to GAAP earnings and assess the recurring nature of excluded items, particularly the bankruptcy charge, cybersecurity costs, restructuring, LIFO adjustments and share-based compensation.
  • Monitor interest expense, floating-rate debt exposure, refinancing needs for the 2026 senior notes and the effect of the $100 million revolver borrowing.
  • Assess whether improved working-capital cash flow is repeatable after the unusually adverse prior-year comparison.
  • Track the customer bankruptcy recovery estimate and any insurance recoveries related to the malware incident.
  • Evaluate liquidity after the $250 million repurchase, remaining borrowing capacity, letters of credit and future pension contributions.
  • Confirm management’s future guidance, if issued separately, because the filing text does not provide specific quantitative full-year guidance.