HERBALIFE LTD. quarterly report, Q2 FY2010

Herbalife Ltd. — Q2 2010 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2010. Unaudited results; comparisons are with the corresponding 2009 periods. Herbalife sells nutrition, weight-management, fitness and personal-care products through a global distributor network of approximately 2.1 million, with a distinct China sales model.

Financial performance

MetricQ2 2010Change vs. Q2 2009Six months 2010Change vs. 2009
Net sales$688.8 million+20.5% (local currency +20.0%)$1,307.4 million+19.6% (local currency +16.8%)
Gross profit / margin$552.2 million / 80.2%Margin +1.6 percentage points$1,030.4 million / 78.8%Margin -0.6 points
Operating income / margin$116.4 million / 16.9%$71.8 million / 12.6% in 2009$180.3 million / 13.8%$134.1 million / 12.3% in 2009
Net income$81.9 million+69.8%$133.8 million+49.0%
Diluted EPS$1.32$0.77 in 2009$2.14$1.44 in 2009
Net interest expense$2.1 million$1.3 million in 2009$4.1 million$3.0 million in 2009

Management attributed sales growth principally to adoption of daily-consumption business models, more active sales leaders, branding and distributor recruiting. Asia Pacific (excluding China) was the strongest growth region: sales rose 50.1% in Q2 and 36.9% in the first half; South Korea was a major contributor. South and Central America sales fell 3.0% in Q2, primarily reflecting Venezuela’s accounting and exchange-rate changes. Weight Management remained the largest product category.

Q2 SG&A was $211.1 million, or 30.6% of sales, versus 33.4% a year earlier. First-half SG&A was $418.0 million, or 32.0% of sales, versus 34.0%. Royalty overrides were 32.7% of Q2 sales and 33.0% for the half. First-half gross margin was pressured by Venezuela-related inventory costs and exchange-rate effects.

Cash, liquidity and capital allocation

  • First-half operating cash flow was $170.4 million, compared with $122.3 million in 2009. Investing cash flow was negative $23.2 million; financing cash flow was negative $100.9 million, including $79.2 million of share repurchases and $24.1 million of dividends. Cash increased $19.4 million to $170.2 million, after a $26.9 million negative foreign-exchange effect.
  • At June 30, cash was $170.2 million, working capital $132.8 million, and total current liabilities $442.5 million. Total debt was $243.4 million, including $239.6 million under the senior secured credit facility; net debt including other debt and leases was approximately $73 million. The company reported $155 million of undrawn revolving-credit capacity and compliance with debt covenants.
  • Capital expenditures were $23.9 million in the first half; management expected approximately $80 million for full-year 2010. The board increased the repurchase authorization to $1 billion and extended it through December 2014. First-half repurchases totaled approximately $75.2 million; $851.6 million remained authorized at June 30.
  • The quarterly dividend was $0.20 per share during the period. On August 2, 2010, the board announced an increase to $0.25 per share.

Outlook, unusual items and material risks

  • Management expected 2010 sales to increase year over year in North America, Mexico, EMEA, Asia Pacific and China, but expected a decline in South and Central America, principally due to Venezuela. These are directional regional expectations; the filing provides no consolidated numerical revenue or earnings guidance.
  • Management expected 2010 SG&A to rise in absolute dollars, reflecting compensation, China-related costs, depreciation and sales-growth initiatives. The company cited supply-chain optimization and selective product price increases as possible offsets to cost pressures.
  • Venezuela became highly inflationary for accounting purposes on January 1, 2010, and the subsidiary changed its functional currency to the U.S. dollar. First-half results included a $15.1 million non-tax-deductible remeasurement loss, $12.7 million of incremental costs on previously imported products, a $3.8 million gain from CADIVI-approved currency exchanges and a one-time $14.5 million deferred tax benefit. Q2 also included a $4.0 million pre-tax foreign-exchange gain from remeasurement at the new SITME rate. Management cautioned that exchange restrictions mean reported Venezuelan cash and other remeasured balances may not reflect realizable U.S. dollars; Venezuela was less than 2% of first-half sales and less than 3% of assets.
  • Herbalife disclosed an $89 million Mexican tax assessment, mostly relating to alleged VAT on imported products. It recorded no provision because management did not consider a loss probable and could not reasonably estimate a potential loss range; it was appealing the assessment. Surety bonds might be required. Resolution could take several years.
  • A dispute with former distributors ended in a May 2010 final judgment dismissing all parties’ claims; both sides appealed. Other stated risks include distributor recruitment and retention, product and network-marketing regulation, foreign exchange and currency controls, tax disputes, China licensing and regulatory uncertainty, product liability, competition and reliance on third-party manufacturers. Management said disclosure controls were effective and reported no material second-quarter change in internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether sales and distributor engagement growth, particularly in Asia Pacific, can be sustained and translated into cash generation.
  • How Venezuela’s currency-access restrictions and exchange rates affect earnings, reported cash, product imports and potential operations.
  • The progress and ultimate exposure in the $89 million Mexican tax assessment and other international tax disputes.
  • Whether planned capital spending and expanded buybacks and dividends remain supportable alongside debt service and the $155 million undrawn revolver.
  • Whether distributor retention and regional weaknesses—especially South and Central America—affect management’s 2010 regional outlook.