KEYCORP quarterly report, Q2 FY2018

KeyCorp (KEY) — Q2 2018 Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2018. Financial statements are unaudited; Ernst & Young reported that its interim review identified no material modifications needed for GAAP conformity.

Business context and reporting period

KeyCorp is a bank holding company operating through Key Community Bank and Key Corporate Bank, serving consumers, businesses, and middle-market corporate clients. The filing compares Q2 and first-half 2018 results with the corresponding 2017 periods.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ2 2018Q2 2017Six months 2018Six months 2017
Net interest income, GAAP$979 million$973 million$1.923 billion$1.891 billion
Noninterest income$660 million$653 million$1.261 billion$1.230 billion
Provision for credit losses$64 million$66 million$125 million$129 million
Noninterest expense$993 million$995 million$1.999 billion$2.008 billion
Income from continuing operations attributable to Key$479 million$407 million$895 million$731 million
Net income attributable to Key common shareholders$467 million$398 million$871 million$694 million
Diluted common EPS$0.44$0.36$0.81$0.63
Taxable-equivalent net interest margin3.19%3.30%3.17%3.21%
Cash efficiency ratio58.8%59.3%60.8%62.4%

At June 30, 2018, total assets were $137.8 billion, loans $88.2 billion, deposits $104.5 billion, long-term debt $13.9 billion, and shareholders’ equity $15.1 billion. The loan-to-deposit ratio was 86.9%. The allowance for loan and lease losses was $887 million, or 1.01% of period-end loans.

Six-month cash flows were $408 million provided by operating activities, $41 million provided by investing activities, and $336 million used in financing activities. Cash and due from banks ended the period at $784 million.

Capital ratios at quarter-end included Common Equity Tier 1 of 10.13%, Tier 1 risk-based capital of 10.95%, total risk-based capital of 12.83%, and leverage of 9.87%. The company estimated fully phased-in CET1 at 10.04%. Key reported $23.9 billion of liquid assets, $3.0 billion of parent-company cash, and a Modified LCR above 100%.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Q2 net income attributable to Key rose 17.0% to $482 million; common diluted EPS increased to $0.44 from $0.36. First-half net income attributable to Key rose to $900 million from $736 million.
  • Q2 taxable-equivalent net interest income was $987 million, flat year over year. Purchase-accounting accretion fell $72 million to $28 million; excluding that decline, net interest income increased $72 million and margin improved 13 basis points.
  • Q2 noninterest income increased modestly, with stronger investment banking and mortgage servicing fees offset by lower leasing income. A $42 million lease residual loss affected Q2 leasing results.
  • Q2 noninterest expense was nearly flat. Personnel expense rose $33 million, including $18 million of efficiency-related costs, while other expense declined, partly reflecting charitable contributions made in 2017.
  • Community Bank Q2 net income increased to $244 million from $198 million. Corporate Bank net income declined to $167 million from $224 million, reflecting lower purchase-accounting accretion, loan spread compression, credit costs, and the lease residual loss.
  • Average Q2 loans increased $2.1 billion year over year, led by commercial and industrial lending. Period-end loans rose $1.8 billion from December 2017; deposits declined $687 million as customers shifted toward higher-yielding products and noninterest-bearing balances fell.
  • Net loan charge-offs were 0.27% of average loans in Q2 and 0.26% year to date, below the respective 2017 rates of 0.31% and 0.29%. Nonperforming assets increased $37 million from year-end to $571 million, primarily due to commercial and industrial credit migration.

Outlook, management commentary, risks and unusual items

  • For 2018, management expected net interest income of $3.95–$4.05 billion, noninterest income of $2.5–$2.6 billion, and noninterest expense of $3.85–$3.95 billion. Average loans were projected at $88.5–$89.5 billion and average deposits at $104.5–$105.5 billion.
  • Long-term targets are a 54%–56% cash efficiency ratio, net charge-offs of 0.40%–0.60% of average loans, and return on tangible common equity of 15%–18%. Q2 achieved 58.8%, 0.27%, and 16.73%, respectively.
  • Key completed the sale of Key Insurance & Benefits Services on May 4 and reported a $73 million net gain. Separately, the income statement’s other income included a $78 million sale-related gain. The filing also cites a $42 million lease residual loss.
  • The Federal Reserve did not object to the 2018 capital plan. It authorized up to $1.225 billion of share repurchases from Q3 2018 through Q2 2019; the Board declared a Q3 dividend of $0.17 per common share, up from $0.12 in Q2.
  • Key expected the new CECL credit-loss standard, effective for the company January 1, 2020, to generally increase its allowance; the amount was not yet reasonably estimable. The filing also describes regulatory changes, interest-rate and funding sensitivity, commercial and industrial credit concentration, cybersecurity and operational risks, and uncertainty around litigation outcomes.
  • Management said KeyBank met the regulatory definition of “well capitalized.” Legal proceedings were not expected to have a material adverse effect on financial condition based on information then available, but outcomes could exceed reserves or affect results in a particular period.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the 2018 revenue and expense outlook was achieved, particularly given deposit-cost increases and declining purchase-accounting accretion.
  • Whether the Corporate Bank’s weaker quarterly earnings and elevated commercial and industrial credit migration persisted.
  • The recurring earnings contribution versus one-time effects of the insurance sale gain, lease residual loss, and restructuring-related costs.
  • Subsequent trends in nonperforming assets, charge-offs, and the allowance, including the eventual CECL adoption impact.
  • Execution of the approved buyback and dividend plan while maintaining capital and liquidity buffers.
  • Any material developments in litigation, guarantees, regulatory requirements, or cybersecurity and operational risks.