KEMPER Corp quarterly report, Q2 FY2011

Unitrin, Inc. Form 10-Q — Quarter Ended June 30, 2011

Entity note: The supplied filing is for Unitrin, Inc., not a registrant named Kemper Corp. It reports “Kemper” as one operating segment. Figures are in millions of dollars unless otherwise noted; the interim statements are unaudited.

Business context and reporting period

Unitrin operated property and casualty, life and health insurance businesses and Fireside Bank, which was winding down its automobile-finance operations. The filing compares the three and six months ended June 30, 2011 with the same periods in 2010.

Financial results and key metrics

MetricQ2 2011Q2 2010First half 2011First half 2010
Total revenue$660.7$684.9$1,318.1$1,379.4
Income (loss) from continuing operations$(1.5)$39.1$54.3$86.8
Net income (loss)$(0.5)$37.8$53.6$86.0
Net income (loss) per unrestricted share$(0.01)$0.61$0.88$1.38
Operating cash flowNot presented quarterly$21.2$50.0
  • First-half earned premiums were $1,094.1, down $65.5 year over year. Automobile-finance revenue fell $29.0 as Fireside Bank ran off its loan portfolio. Investment income rose $2.0 to $164.6.
  • Net realized investment gains increased to $32.4 for the first half from $7.4 a year earlier, partly offsetting weaker operating results. Net impairment losses were $1.7 versus $8.1.
  • Catastrophe losses and loss-adjustment expenses from continuing operations rose to $114.0 for the first half from $43.8; Q2 alone was $104.3 versus $27.8. Spring storms and tornadoes were a principal driver.
  • Property-and-casualty reserves developed favorably by $11.9 for the first half, compared with $16.1 favorable development in 2010.
  • Segment performance was uneven: Kemper reported first-half net loss of $21.7 (2010 income $28.1); Unitrin Direct lost $8.5 (2010 income $0.5); Unitrin Specialty earned $9.1 (down from $11.8); Life and Health earned $53.6 (up from $47.9); Fireside Bank earned $13.0 (up from $5.7).
  • Kemper’s combined ratio was 116.4% for the first half and 132.6% in Q2, versus 97.7% and 98.4%, respectively, in 2010. Its underlying combined ratio was 95.1% for the first half and 93.7% in Q2. Unitrin Direct’s first-half combined ratio was 122.7%; Specialty’s was 101.0%.
  • At June 30, total assets were $8,181.9, total liabilities $6,045.7 and shareholders’ equity $2,136.2. Investments totaled $6,173.2; cash was $123.8. Notes payable were $610.2; certificates of deposit had been fully redeemed and were zero at quarter-end.
  • First-half investing cash flow was $357.1 and financing cash flow was $(371.7), including $321.8 of certificate-of-deposit repayments, $21.7 of share repurchases and $29.2 of dividends. Cash increased $6.6 to $123.8.

Material changes versus prior comparable periods

  • Q2 moved from continuing-operations income of $39.1 to a loss of $1.5, and from net income of $37.8 to a net loss of $0.5. First-half net income declined $32.4 to $53.6.
  • Higher catastrophe claims drove the deterioration in Kemper and consolidated results. Kemper’s first-half catastrophe losses were $96.9 versus $38.6 in 2010, and its underlying loss ratio also worsened.
  • Premiums declined across Kemper, Specialty and Direct, primarily from reduced policy volume; total earned premiums were down 5.6%. Fireside Bank revenue declined as its loan book ran off.
  • Investment gains helped results, while operating cash flow declined $28.8. Investing cash flow rose substantially, reflecting investment sales and $128.5 of short-term investment dispositions; financing outflows increased with accelerated deposit redemptions.

Outlook, management commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Kemper expected earned premiums to decrease over the next several quarters as lower policy volume was only partly offset by higher rates. Unitrin Direct expected sequential earned-premium declines through the remainder of 2011; Specialty expected personal-auto policies in force to be flat to marginally lower.
  • Fireside Bank was pursuing an orderly exit and expected to surrender its industrial-bank charter by the end of Q1 2012. The company expected Fireside to return at least $265 million of capital to Unitrin after the wind-down process; timing and completion remain risks.
  • Unitrin had a $245 million revolving credit agreement expiring October 2012, with no borrowings outstanding. The company reported $47.6 million of cash and investments held directly by the parent, estimated $139 million of subsidiary dividends available without prior regulatory approval for the rest of 2011, and a $300 million share-repurchase authorization. It repurchased $21.7 million of shares in the first half.
  • Management noted that insurance results depend on uncertain catastrophe activity, claim severity, reserve estimates, reinsurance and regulatory developments. The filing added a risk concerning a possible U.S. sovereign-debt downgrade, which could reduce investment values, disrupt markets and raise capital requirements.
  • Legal proceedings included a significant volume of catastrophe-related property-damage lawsuits in southern coastal states. Management believed resolution would not materially harm consolidated equity, but acknowledged that an adverse outcome could materially affect results in a period; potential loss amounts were not clearly quantified.
  • Other notable items: Fireside recorded a negative loan-loss provision of $28.2, primarily from recoveries of previously charged-off loans; a $1.2 impairment related to an exchange-traded fund the company intended to sell; and $4.9 of restructuring expense was incurred in the first half.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Confirm the registrant and security identity: the supplied 10-Q is filed by Unitrin, Inc.; “Kemper” is a segment in this filing.
  • Track catastrophe claims, especially homeowners losses, and subsequent development of property-and-casualty reserves.
  • Assess whether premium declines and adverse underlying loss-ratio trends at Kemper and Unitrin Direct improve as pricing and underwriting actions take effect.
  • Monitor Fireside Bank’s loan recoveries, remaining wind-down costs, charter surrender and the timing and amount of any capital return.
  • Evaluate holding-company liquidity, regulated-subsidiary dividend capacity, debt maturities and whether share repurchases and dividends remain supported by cash generation.
  • Review investment valuation and credit exposure, including the sensitivity to interest rates and equity markets, $270.1 of Level 3 assets, and the stated U.S. sovereign-rating risk.