Business context and reporting period
The Coca-Cola Company’s unaudited Form 10-Q covers the three and six months ended June 30, 2017, compared with periods ended July 1, 2016. The company continued shifting from company-owned bottling operations toward a refranchised system; this structural change materially affected reported revenue and segment results. Unless noted otherwise, figures are in U.S. dollars.
Financial performance and position
| Metric | Q2 2017 | Q2 2016 | First half 2017 | First half 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating revenues | $9.702B | $11.539B | $18.820B | $21.821B |
| Operating income | $2.078B | $2.859B | $4.060B | $5.000B |
| Net income attributable to shareowners | $1.371B | $3.448B | $2.553B | $4.931B |
| Diluted EPS | $0.32 | $0.79 | $0.59 | $1.13 |
| Operating margin | 21.4% | 24.8% | 21.6% | 22.9% |
| Gross margin | 62.3% | 61.3% | 61.9% | 60.9% |
- Q2 revenue declined 16% year over year and first-half revenue declined 14%. Management attributed the decline principally to acquisitions and divestitures, with a 3% favorable contribution from price, product and geographic mix and adverse currency effects.
- Worldwide unit case volume was flat in Q2 and the first half; concentrate sales volume was flat in Q2 and down 1% in the first half. Favorable price/mix and lower commodity costs supported gross margin, but were offset in operating results by refranchising effects, impairments and currency headwinds.
- First-half cash provided by operating activities was $3.391B, down 11% from $3.820B. Investing activities used $1.224B; financing activities provided $797M. Cash and cash equivalents ended the period at $11.718B.
- At June 30, cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments totaled $22.734B; current assets were $38.961B and current liabilities $28.830B. Interest-bearing debt totaled approximately $49.638B, comprising $14.355B of loans and notes payable, $3.478B of current long-term debt and $31.805B of long-term debt.
- Dividends were $0.37 per share in Q2, versus $0.35 a year earlier. First-half dividends declared were $0.74 per share. The company repurchased 50.8M shares in the first half for $2.189B.
Material changes versus the prior comparable period
- The 2017 revenue decline reflects a major change in bottling-system scope, including North America and China refranchising; it should not be read as equivalent to a decline in consumer demand. The Bottling Investments segment’s Q2 unit case volume fell 46%, primarily due to divestitures and deconsolidation, including a 51% decline at CCR.
- Bottling Investments reported a Q2 operating loss of $652M, versus operating income of $216M a year earlier; first-half operating loss was $762M, versus income of $98M. CCR-related impairment charges were a key factor.
- Q2 other operating charges rose to $823M from $297M, including $653M of CCR asset impairments. First-half charges were $1.131B, including $737M of CCR impairments and $226M for productivity and reinvestment initiatives.
- Other income, net, was $203M in Q2 2017, versus $1.133B in Q2 2016, which included a substantial gain on deconsolidating German bottling operations. First-half other income, net, changed to a loss of $351M from income of $791M; 2017 included North America refranchising losses and related charges, partly offset by a $445M gain on the combination of Japanese bottlers CCW and CCEJ.
- Interest expense increased to $231M in Q2 and $423M in the first half, versus $162M and $303M, respectively; management cited higher rates on the debt portfolio and a $38M debt-extinguishment charge.
Outlook, management commentary and risks
- Management said it expected substantial operating cash flow in 2017 and considered liquidity strong. It forecast an 18%–19% adverse full-year revenue impact from acquisitions and divestitures and expected currencies to weigh on revenue and operating income through year-end.
- The company expected 2017 capital expenditures, net of disposals, of $2.0B–$2.5B, and approximately $2.0B of 2017 share repurchases, net of proceeds from employee stock-option exercises. It expected a 24% full-year effective tax rate before significant operating and nonoperating items; actual interim rates were 47.7% for Q2 and 38.1% for the first half.
- The company planned to refranchise all U.S. company-owned bottling operations by year-end 2017. It also expected to complete the transition of ABI’s interest in CCBA and other agreed bottling transactions by year-end, subject to regulatory and minority approvals.
- Productivity initiatives were expected to generate approximately $3.0B in annualized productivity by 2019; an April 2017 expansion targeted an additional $800M in annualized savings by 2019. These are targets, not reported results.
- The IRS is seeking approximately $3.3B of additional federal tax for 2007–2009, plus interest, in a transfer-pricing dispute; the IRS has indicated it may assert penalties. Coca-Cola disputes the claim and says it expects no material impact, but notes an adverse outcome could materially affect results, financial position or cash flows. A Tax Court trial was set for March 5, 2018.
- Other risks include foreign exchange exposure, political and economic instability in emerging markets, potential further asset impairments, seasonal and weather-related demand variation, and execution of bottling-system changes. Venezuela-related impairment charges were $14M in Q2 and $34M in the first half; the carrying value of related U.S.-dollar intangible assets was reduced to zero.
Important facts for investors to verify
- How much reported revenue and profit movement reflects refranchising and other structural changes versus underlying volume, price/mix and currency.
- Whether the remaining North America bottling refranchising proceeds and contingent payments support management’s expected recovery of transferred intangible value, and whether additional refranchising losses arise.
- Progress toward the 2017 revenue, currency, capital expenditure, repurchase and productivity outlook, alongside the effect of higher interest costs and debt levels.
- Developments in the IRS transfer-pricing case, including potential interest or penalties and the March 2018 trial schedule.
- Whether cash generation and available liquidity remain sufficient to fund dividends, debt maturities, investment plans and strategic transactions.