LENNOX INTERNATIONAL INC quarterly report, Q1 FY2016

Lennox International Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period

Lennox International operates in three HVACR segments: Residential Heating & Cooling, Commercial Heating & Cooling, and Refrigeration. The filing covers the unaudited 13-week quarter ended March 31, 2016, compared with the quarter ended March 31, 2015. Demand is seasonal and materially affected by weather, construction, economic conditions, financing availability, commodity prices, and foreign currency movements.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ1 2016Q1 2015Change
Net sales$715.2 million$685.8 millionUp 4.3%
Gross profit$183.6 million$163.0 millionUp 12.6%
Gross margin25.7%23.8%Up 190 bps
Operational income$43.7 million$27.0 millionUp 61.9%
Net income$24.9 million$13.9 millionUp 79.1%
Diluted EPS$0.56$0.31Up $0.25
Cash used in operating activities$113.4 million$122.2 millionImproved by $8.8 million
Capital expenditures$23.8 million$18.0 millionUp $5.8 million

SG&A increased to $140.4 million from $133.4 million, or 19.6% of sales versus 19.5%. Interest expense was $5.8 million, broadly flat year over year. The income tax provision was $13.0 million, and management expects an annual effective tax rate of approximately 32% for 2016 and subsequent years.

At March 31, 2016, cash and cash equivalents were $40.6 million, including $24.4 million held outside the United States. Total debt was $1.099 billion, compared with $741.1 million at December 31, 2015. Total stockholders’ equity was negative $73.3 million, primarily reflecting treasury stock and the $200 million accelerated share repurchase transaction.

The company had $701.5 million outstanding under its domestic credit facility, $180.0 million outstanding under its asset securitization program, and $200.0 million of senior unsecured notes due May 15, 2017. Subject to covenants, $221.6 million remained available under the domestic credit facility. Management stated that cash, operating cash generation, and available borrowings were sufficient for foreseeable needs.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Sales increased primarily from a 6% volume increase, partially offset by a 2% unfavorable foreign currency impact.
  • Gross margin benefited from lower material costs, factory productivity, and lower freight and distribution costs, partly offset by unfavorable product mix, pricing, and currency.
  • Residential Heating & Cooling sales increased 4% and segment profit increased 23% to $38.3 million.
  • Commercial Heating & Cooling sales increased 7% and segment profit increased 84% to $14.2 million.
  • Refrigeration sales increased 3% and segment profit increased 125% to $9.0 million.
  • Operating cash flow remained negative because of seasonal working-capital investment, including a $95.5 million increase in inventories and a $44.5 million increase in receivables.
  • The company paid $16.1 million in dividends and repurchased $200.0 million of common stock under an accelerated share repurchase agreement, plus $16.8 million of shares for employee tax-withholding obligations.
  • Total debt increased by approximately $358 million from year-end, while the debt-to-total-capital ratio increased to 107.1% from 87.9%.

Guidance, outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • Management expects 2016 capital expenditures of approximately $95 million and dividend payments of $65 million to $75 million. The $200 million accelerated share repurchase was expected to be finalized in the second quarter of 2016.
  • Management cited continued volume growth, cost management, commodity hedging, productivity initiatives, and lower material costs as performance drivers. Weather, replacement demand, new construction, interest rates, consumer spending, and economic conditions remain important variables.
  • The company uses commodity and foreign-exchange derivatives. It was not hedged against interest-rate risk at March 31, 2016, leaving variable-rate debt exposed to changes in rates.
  • Warranty liabilities totaled $93.4 million. A supplier quality issue had an estimated probable liability ranging from $2.0 million to $9.5 million, with $2.0 million accrued; the supplier is reimbursing most related costs.
  • The company increased reserves by $1.0 million for claims administration costs related to a settled class-action lawsuit involving evaporator-coil corrosion and incurred $0.7 million of additional legal charges. Asbestos-related litigation expense was $0.8 million, net of insurance recoveries.
  • Restructuring activity produced a $0.2 million benefit in the quarter; total restructuring charges expected to be incurred were $15.8 million, of which $13.6 million had been incurred through March 31, 2016.
  • Debt agreements contain leverage, interest-coverage, cross-default, and other restrictive covenants. The company reported compliance with all covenant requirements at quarter-end. Moody’s rated the company Baa3 with a negative outlook, while S&P rated it BBB with a stable outlook.
  • Management stated that no legal proceedings were expected to have a material adverse effect, although litigation outcomes remain uncertain. The filing reported no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether seasonal working-capital outflows reverse as the HVACR selling season progresses and whether operating cash flow supports planned capital returns.
  • The company’s ability to reduce leverage while maintaining investment-grade credit ratings, particularly with $200 million of senior notes maturing in 2017.
  • Final settlement of the accelerated share repurchase and its effect on shares outstanding, EPS, and equity.
  • Actual 2016 sales, margin, tax-rate, capital-expenditure, dividend, and repurchase outcomes versus management’s stated expectations.
  • Potential changes in warranty, supplier-quality, class-action, asbestos, environmental, and other litigation liabilities.
  • Exposure to commodity prices, foreign exchange, interest rates, weather, and economic conditions, including the impact of unfavorable pricing or product mix.