LENNOX INTERNATIONAL INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2010

Lennox International Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period

Lennox International Inc. operates in four HVACR segments: Residential Heating & Cooling, Commercial Heating & Cooling, Service Experts, and Refrigeration. The filing covers the three and nine months ended September 30, 2010; results are seasonal, with the third quarter generally representing the most profitable cooling season. The financial statements are unaudited and prepared under U.S. GAAP.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ3 2010Q3 20099M 20109M 2009
Net sales$818.2 million$749.5 million$2,334.4 million$2,114.0 million
Gross profit$232.8 million$221.8 million$671.8 million$584.2 million
Gross margin28.5%29.6%28.8%27.6%
Operational income$66.6 million$57.7 million$146.4 million$91.0 million
Operational margin8.1%7.6%6.3%4.3%
Net income$41.8 million$31.0 million$88.5 million$44.7 million
Diluted EPS$0.76$0.54$1.57$0.79
Operating cash flowNot separately providedNot separately provided$43.6 million$213.3 million

Q3 sales increased 9.2%, driven primarily by a 7% volume increase across all segments and approximately 2% favorable price and mix. Nine-month sales increased 10.4%, with volume up 7%. Q3 gross margin declined 110 basis points because of commodity and other material cost pressures; the nine-month gross margin improved 120 basis points because of material savings and manufacturing efficiencies.

At September 30, 2010, cash and cash equivalents were $92.4 million, restricted cash was $13.1 million, total assets were $1.697 billion, and total stockholders’ equity was $556.6 million. Total debt was $371.1 million, compared with $231.5 million at December 31, 2009. Debt-to-capital increased to 40% from 28%.

Cash flow from operations fell to $43.6 million from $213.3 million, principally because accounts receivable increased $71.6 million and inventories increased $102.7 million to support higher production and new product introductions. Capital expenditures were $30.0 million. The company paid $24.4 million in dividends and repurchased $144.3 million of common stock during the first nine months.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • All four operating segments increased Q3 sales. Commercial Heating & Cooling sales rose 14.2% and profit rose 45.6%; Service Experts sales rose 9.9%, but profit declined 24.1% because of insurance, other costs, and higher selling expenses.
  • Q3 Residential Heating & Cooling profit was flat at $39.0 million despite 6.9% sales growth, as commodity and product costs offset volume benefits. Refrigeration profit increased 3.0% on 5.2% higher sales.
  • Nine-month segment profit increased across all four segments, led by Residential Heating & Cooling at $98.6 million, Commercial Heating & Cooling at $56.2 million, Refrigeration at $47.5 million, and Service Experts at $14.2 million.
  • SG&A increased in dollars but declined to 20.0% of Q3 sales from 21.0%; the nine-month ratio declined to 22.0% from 22.4%.
  • Interest expense increased to $3.5 million in Q3 and $9.1 million year to date, primarily because of higher-cost senior notes and variable-rate debt.
  • The effective tax rate declined to 33.6% in Q3 from 39.2% and to 34.9% year to date from 38.7%.
  • Discontinued-operations losses declined to $0.1 million in Q3 and $0.8 million year to date, compared with $2.7 million and $7.2 million, respectively, in 2009.

Guidance, outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • Management said end markets were recovering modestly, but the recovery slowed in Q3 and the global economic environment remained uncertain. Commodity costs were expected to pressure earnings for the remainder of 2010.
  • Management expected approximately $15 million of incremental restructuring savings in 2010, approximately $5 million of additional restructuring charges, and approximately $14 million of future cash outlays for ongoing restructuring activities, generally before the end of 2011.
  • The company issued $200 million of 4.90% senior unsecured notes due May 15, 2017. It had $145 million outstanding under its $650 million revolving facility, $69.5 million committed to letters of credit, and $435.5 million available after covenant limitations. The facility matures in October 2012, and the company reported compliance with its covenants.
  • The company recorded $8.2 million of charges during the first nine months, including $2.6 million in Q3, related to a class-action lawsuit involving certain hearth products. Tentative settlement terms were reached, but additional charges remained possible.
  • A product quality issue involving a 2006–2007 heating and cooling product line resulted in a $24.6 million expense in 2009. No additional 2010 expense was recorded, but the company had $17.5 million accrued for the issue and could incur additional charges.
  • Estimated warranty liabilities were $76.1 million at September 30, 2010. A $6.3 million reduction in warranty liabilities was recorded following the annual reevaluation, primarily because of lower failure rates and revised cost estimates.
  • Key market exposures include copper and aluminum prices, interest rates, and foreign currency. Management estimated that a 10% change in exchange rates would affect net income by approximately $3.5 million.
  • Management stated that operating cash flow, available revolver capacity, and other existing funding sources should be sufficient for foreseeable operations and share repurchases. However, liquidity is exposed to seasonal working-capital needs, covenant compliance, cross-default provisions, commodity costs, warranty claims, litigation, and economic or weather-related demand changes.

Investor verification checklist

  • Verify whether working-capital investment, particularly the $102.7 million inventory increase, converts into sales and cash flow.
  • Monitor commodity costs, pricing actions, hedge settlements, and their effect on gross margin.
  • Review debt maturities, revolver availability, letters of credit, covenant headroom, and the cost of the 2017 senior notes.
  • Track the final resolution and total cost of the hearth-products class-action settlement.
  • Assess potential additional costs from the 2006–2007 product quality issue and warranty claims.
  • Evaluate whether restructuring savings offset ongoing restructuring cash costs and higher incentive compensation.
  • Reconcile reported earnings growth with share repurchases, discontinued operations, tax-rate changes, and other unusual items.