DORIAN LPG LTD. current report, Q4 FY2014

Business Context and Reporting Period

Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE: LPG) is a leading owner and operator of modern very large gas carriers (VLGCs). This Form 6-K, filed on November 14, 2014, reports financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2014 (Second Quarter 2015). During the period, the Company took delivery of its second newbuilding, the Corsair, expanding its operating fleet to six vessels (five VLGCs and one pressurized LPG carrier).

Key Financial Metrics

MetricThree Months Ended Sept 30, 2014Six Months Ended Sept 30, 2014
Revenues$20.4 million$36.2 million
Operating Income$3.5 million$8.7 million
Net Income$3.8 million$7.4 million
Adjusted EBITDA$7.3 million$15.0 million
Earnings Per Share (Basic/Diluted)$0.07$0.13
Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) Rate$45,716 per day$42,560 per day
Fleet Utilization90.2%90.8%
Cash and Cash Equivalents$283.0 millionN/A
Total Long-Term Debt$123.9 millionN/A

Expense Breakdown (Q2 2014): Voyage expenses were $4.4 million (primarily bunkers), vessel operating expenses were $5.2 million, and general and administrative expenses were $4.3 million. Interest and finance costs were negligible ($0.04 million) due to significant capitalized interest.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Revenues increased significantly to $20.4 million in Q2 2014 compared to $6.1 million for the three months ended September 30, 2013. This growth is driven by fleet expansion and higher spot rates.
  • Profitability: The Company reported a net income of $3.8 million, a reversal from the net loss of $1.4 million in the same period of the prior year.
  • Fleet Expansion: The operating fleet grew from four vessels in the prior year to six vessels in Q2 2014 with the delivery of the Comet (July 2014) and Corsair (September 2014).
  • Derivatives: The Company recorded a net gain of $0.3 million on derivatives in Q2 2014, compared to a net loss of $0.6 million in the prior year period.

Outlook, Risks, and Management Commentary

Market Outlook: Management expects LPG exports to exceed 13 million metric tons in 2014, a 50% increase over 2013. High global fleet utilization and strong spot rates are attributed to export terminal expansions in the Gulf. Management believes the decline in oil prices has not negatively impacted LPG shipping demand.

Fleet Strategy: The Company has 17 new fuel-efficient ECO-design VLGCs under construction with deliveries scheduled between January 2015 and January 2016. Upon completion, the average age of the VLGC fleet will be approximately 1.6 years, significantly younger than the global average of 10.6 years.

Seasonality and Risks: The market is typically stronger in spring and summer. Demand may weaken in quarters ending December 31 and March 31. Risks include the inability to re-charter vessels at similar rates upon charter expiration and unpredictable weather patterns disrupting scheduling.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the delivery schedule and construction costs for the 17 newbuilding VLGCs to ensure alignment with capital expenditure plans.
  • Confirm the charter status and rates for the Captain Markos NL, which is transitioning from a Statoil charter to a Shell charter in Q4 2014.
  • Monitor the impact of the recent decline in oil prices on bunker costs and overall voyage expenses.
  • Review the specific terms of the interest rate swaps that generated a $1.7 million unrealized gain to understand future hedging exposure.
  • Assess the liquidity position given the $283 million cash balance against the upcoming capital requirements for new vessel deliveries.