MFA FINANCIAL, INC. annual report, FY2018

MFA Financial, Inc. — FY 2018 Form 10-K

Business and period. MFA is an internally managed mortgage REIT investing with leverage in residential mortgage securities, whole loans and MSR-related assets. This annual report covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2018; the filing also provides unaudited fourth-quarter results.

Financial performance and position

MetricFY 2018FY 2017
Interest income$455.7 million$433.4 million
Interest expense$232.2 million$197.1 million
Net interest income$223.5 million$236.3 million
Other income, net$158.0 million$158.0 million
Net income$301.8 million$322.4 million
Net income available to common stock and participating securities$286.8 million; $0.68 per share$307.4 million; $0.79 per share
Net interest spread / margin2.23% / 2.64%2.09% / 2.55%
Common dividend declared per share$0.80$0.80
  • At year-end, total assets were $12.42 billion, total liabilities $9.00 billion and stockholders’ equity $3.42 billion. Book value per common share was $7.15, down from $7.70.
  • Debt-to-equity leverage was 2.6x, versus 2.3x at year-end 2017. Repurchase agreements totaled $7.88 billion; securitized debt was $684.4 million, and senior notes had a $100 million principal amount.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $52.0 million, with $36.7 million of restricted cash. Management estimated available liquidity above $316.7 million, in addition to $1.2 billion of unencumbered residential whole loans.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash decreased $375.0 million during the year. Operating activities provided $147.9 million, investing activities used $2.16 billion and financing activities provided $1.63 billion.
  • Residential whole loans and REO reached about $4.9 billion, approximately 40.9% of the residential mortgage asset portfolio. Residential mortgage securities were about $6.5 billion, or 52.4% of total assets.
  • FY 2018 return on average equity was 9.02%, down from 10.06%; the common dividend payout ratio was 1.18, based on declared dividends divided by EPS.

Material changes and fourth-quarter results

  • Common earnings fell: net income available to common holders declined about 6.7%, while EPS decreased from $0.79 to $0.68. The filing attributes the decline principally to lower net interest income and fair-value losses on mortgage securities, partly offset by higher fair-value gains on whole loans and realized securities gains.
  • Net interest income decreased 5.4% despite a wider annual net interest spread. Funding costs rose: the effective borrowing rate increased to 3.14% from 2.58%, and total interest expense rose 17.8%.
  • Whole loans expanded sharply: year-end residential whole loans were about $4.7 billion versus $2.2 billion in 2017. MFA issued approximately 50.9 million common shares in a public offering, generating net proceeds of about $389.4 million.
  • At year-end, leverage and repo borrowings were higher than in 2017, while unrestricted cash was lower. Two 2018 loan securitizations generated $420 million of third-party senior bond proceeds from loans with $666.8 million aggregate unpaid principal balance.
  • In the fourth quarter, net income available to common holders was $57.1 million, or $0.13 per share, compared with $96.8 million, or $0.24, in Q4 2017. Q4 net interest income was $61.8 million versus $52.4 million. Other income was negative $39.4 million in Q4 2018, including fair-value and other losses.
  • Other comprehensive income was a loss of $188.9 million for 2018, compared with income of $35.5 million in 2017, primarily reflecting lower unrealized values on Non-Agency MBS, CRT securities and related assets.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • Management expected to focus investment opportunities in 2019 primarily on residential whole loans, with selective purchases of mortgage securities and MSR-related assets. It anticipated a moderate increase in leverage, using repo financing and securitizations. No specific earnings or dividend guidance is provided.
  • Management cited improving U.S. employment and home prices as supportive of borrower performance. It also reported stronger Legacy Non-Agency MBS collateral performance and transferred $25.6 million from credit reserve to accretable discount; the anticipated income benefit is expected over time, principally over the next ten years.
  • Key risks include short-term, renewable repo funding against longer-term assets; margin calls and forced-sale risk; rising borrowing costs and yield-curve changes; credit losses, foreclosure delays and illiquid whole loans; volatile or judgment-sensitive fair values; prepayment risk; and counterparty concentration. At year-end, four repo counterparties each represented more than 5% of stockholders’ equity at risk.
  • Credit-sensitive investments represented 68.4% of total assets. Whole-loan and legacy mortgage exposure includes geographic concentrations, notably California, Florida, New York and New Jersey. REO carrying value rose to $249.4 million from $152.4 million.
  • The common dividend remained $0.20 quarterly, but declared dividends exceeded GAAP EPS for the year. REIT distribution requirements are based on taxable income, which may differ materially from GAAP income; the Board retains discretion over dividends.
  • Unusual items included $137.6 million of gains on whole loans measured at fair value, $36.8 million of unrealized losses on mortgage securities measured through earnings, and $9.6 million of losses on swaps not designated as accounting hedges. The company also received about $14.8 million from RMBS litigation settlements, reflected in purchase-discount accounting.
  • A new 15-year headquarters lease was signed, with estimated annual rent of approximately $4.6 million before escalation charges; relocation was expected in Q4 2020. The filing reports no material legal proceedings and unqualified audit opinions on the financial statements and internal controls.

Investor verification priorities

  1. Review the sustainability of the $0.80 annual common dividend against taxable income, cash generation, leverage and the 1.18 GAAP payout ratio.
  2. Assess liquidity under stress: repo renewal terms, collateral haircuts, margin-call capacity, unencumbered assets and counterparty exposures.
  3. Test assumptions behind whole-loan and REO valuations, expected credit losses, servicing and foreclosure timelines, and the $137.6 million fair-value gain.
  4. Reconcile the decline in book value and comprehensive income with portfolio marks, realized gains and losses, and the treatment of fair-value changes.
  5. Track execution of the planned 2019 loan-focused growth and moderate leverage increase, including funding costs and securitization access.