Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp annual report, FY2021

Business context and reporting period

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE: MGY) filed this Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021. It is an independent oil and gas producer focused on the Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk in South Texas, primarily in Karnes County and the Giddings area. The company operates as one reportable segment.

Magnolia reported average production of 66.0 thousand boe/d in 2021 and held 683,145 gross acres. It owned 78.4% of Magnolia LLC at year-end; the remaining 21.6% was reported as noncontrolling interest. The transition from EnerVest-provided operating services was completed on June 30, 2021.

Financial and operating performance

Metric20212020
Revenue$1,078.4 million$541.3 million
Operating income (loss)$602.6 million$(1,925.7) million
Net income (loss), consolidated$559.7 million$(1,869.0) million
Net income (loss) attributable to Magnolia / Class A$417.3 million; $2.36 diluted EPS$(1,208.4) million; $(7.27) diluted EPS
Net cash from operating activities$788.5 million$310.1 million
Capital expenditures for oil and gas properties$236.4 million$197.9 million
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$367.0 million$192.6 million
Long-term debt principal$400.0 million$400.0 million

Revenue rose about 99%, driven chiefly by higher realized commodity prices. Average oil, natural gas, and NGL prices were $66.83/bbl, $3.97/Mcf, and $27.84/bbl, respectively, versus $36.31, $1.79, and $11.10 in 2020. Total production increased about 7% to 66.0 thousand boe/d; oil production declined about 3%, while gas and NGL volumes rose.

Operating income was about 55.9% of revenue in 2021. Operating cash flow less oil-and-gas property capital expenditures was approximately $552.1 million; this simple measure excludes acquisitions and other cash uses. Lease operating expense averaged $3.86/boe, up from $3.50, and total lease operating costs were $93.0 million. DD&A was $187.7 million, down from $283.4 million.

At year-end, Magnolia had $450 million of RBL borrowing-base availability and no RBL borrowings, for reported liquidity of $817.0 million including cash. The 2026 Senior Notes carry a 6.0% coupon, with $400 million principal due in 2026. The company reported compliance with RBL covenants at year-end.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue and operating cash flow increased substantially as commodity prices recovered from 2020 levels.
  • 2020 results included approximately $1.9 billion of property impairments and related exploration charges; no impairment was recorded in 2021. This makes the year-over-year profit comparison heavily affected by the prior-year charges.
  • Production increased from 61.8 to 66.0 thousand boe/d. Capital expenditures rose from $197.9 million to $236.4 million.
  • Cash increased by $174.4 million during 2021. Cash uses included $125.6 million of Class A share repurchases, $171.7 million to repurchase and cancel Magnolia LLC units/Class B shares, $42.1 million in non-compete settlement payments, and $14.1 million of dividends paid.
  • Proved reserves increased from 112.3 to 135.4 MMboe. Extensions added 37.2 MMboe and revisions added 9.6 MMboe; production removed 24.1 MMboe. Proved undeveloped reserves were 25.6 MMboe, planned for development within one year.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

Management said its 2022 plan was to continue spending within cash flow on drilling and completions while maintaining low leverage. It provided no numerical production, revenue, earnings, or capital-spending guidance in the supplied filing text. Management described the capital program as flexible, with no long-term service obligations, and said current cash, operating cash flow, and available liquidity were expected to meet cash requirements.

  • Capital returns: The company repurchased 8.7 million Class A shares in 2021 for $125.6 million. The board increased the repurchase authorization from 20 million to 30 million shares in February 2022. A $0.20-per-share semiannual dividend was declared in February 2022, payable March 1, 2022.
  • Debt and liquidity update: On February 16, 2022, Magnolia amended and restated its RBL facility, retaining a $450 million initial borrowing base and setting maturity in February 2026. The amended facility includes a leverage ratio covenant below 3.50:1.00 and a current ratio above 1.00:1.00.
  • Unusual 2021 items: The services transition generated $11.2 million of G&A expense; early termination of the non-compete accelerated $5.9 million of amortization. The non-compete settlement involved $42.1 million cash and 0.4 million shares. The 2026 notes amendment incurred $1.1 million of expensed transaction fees and $5.0 million of fees deferred against debt.
  • Commodity and operating risks: Results are sensitive to oil, gas, and NGL prices, operational performance, service and equipment costs, transportation access, weather, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Operations are concentrated in South Texas. Four customers accounted for 63% of 2021 revenue.
  • Regulatory and environmental risks: The filing discusses potential costs and delays from climate and methane rules, hydraulic-fracturing regulation, water and waste requirements, and permitting. The company says existing environmental compliance has not materially adversely affected operations, but it is not insured against all environmental risks.
  • Contingencies: A lawsuit concerning a claimed minority working interest in certain Karnes County assets remained in pretrial proceedings; exposure was not reasonably estimable, and co-defendants retained the liability under the business combination. A separate challenge to a drilling permit was on appeal. No litigation accrual was recorded, and management did not expect pending matters to materially affect results.
  • Audit and controls: KPMG issued unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting. The critical audit matter concerned reserve estimates used in DD&A.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether stronger realized prices and production can be sustained, and how commodity-price changes affect cash flow and reserves.
  2. Whether the 2022 drilling and capital-return plans remain funded within operating cash flow, particularly after repurchases and dividends.
  3. The latest RBL borrowing base, covenant headroom, and any changes to liquidity or debt terms after the February 2022 amendment.
  4. Execution and cost assumptions behind development of 25.6 MMboe of proved undeveloped reserves within the planned timeframe.
  5. Exposure to customer concentration, South Texas infrastructure constraints, regulatory developments, and the outstanding legal matters.
  6. How much of the 2021 earnings improvement reflects recurring operations versus the absence of the exceptional 2020 impairments.