MOSAIC CO annual report, FY2011

Mosaic Company — FY2011 Form 10-K Summary

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended May 31, 2011. The supplied filing is a FY2011 annual report, not a filing for 2010 Q4. The filing incorporates the audited financial statements and management’s analysis by reference, but those materials are not included in the supplied text; several consolidated financial measures therefore cannot be confirmed here.

Business context and key metrics

Mosaic produces and markets phosphate and potash crop nutrients and animal-feed ingredients, operating through Phosphates and Potash segments. It serves customers in approximately 40 countries; about 65% of FY2011 net sales were to customers outside the United States.

  • Cash and liquidity: Cash and cash equivalents were approximately $3.9 billion at May 31, 2011. Mosaic established a new unsecured five-year revolving credit facility of up to $750 million, replacing a $500 million facility.
  • Debt: Mosaic redeemed the remaining $455.4 million principal amount of 7⅜% senior notes due 2014. It recorded a pretax charge of approximately $19 million, principally for the call premium and unamortized fees, and expected annual interest expense to decline by approximately $34 million.
  • Asset sale: The sale of its 20.1% interest in Fosfertil generated $1 billion in proceeds and a $685.6 million pretax gain; the associated tax impact was $126.1 million.
  • Production: Phosphate rock production was 11.5 million tonnes, versus 13.3 million in FY2010. Potash finished-product output excluding toll production was 7.4 million tonnes, versus 5.2 million; including toll production, output was 8.3 million tonnes, versus 5.6 million.
  • Unavailable in supplied text: Consolidated revenue, net income, operating cash flow, margins, total debt, and detailed segment financial results are not clearly provided.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Phosphate rock production declined from 13.3 million tonnes to 11.5 million, primarily reflecting the South Fort Meade mine disruption and reduced operating rate.
  • Potash output increased: finished product excluding toll production rose from 5.2 million tonnes to 7.4 million. Mosaic reported expansion work underway and additional capacity placed in service.
  • The Fosfertil divestiture produced a substantial one-time pretax gain. The $455.4 million note redemption reduced outstanding debt, with an expected annual interest saving of about $34 million.
  • On May 25, 2011, the Cargill transaction ended Cargill’s ownership of Mosaic shares and initiated a planned series of secondary offerings. Mosaic stated the transaction did not change total shares outstanding, share economic rights, earnings per share, or underlying operating performance.

Outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • South Fort Meade permitting: A July 8, 2011 preliminary injunction again barred mining in the Hardee County Extension, including planned uplands mining. Mosaic had stopped mining there. Management expected to support planned FY2012 finished-phosphate production through mitigation, but warned that costs could rise substantially, particularly if additional phosphate rock must be purchased in the second half of FY2012. Longer-term mitigation remained uncertain.
  • Growth plans: Potash expansions were expected to add approximately 5 million tonnes of annual proven peaking capacity over the next decade. Projects were intended to be brought online as demand warranted; certain Belle Plaine and Esterhazy projects were anticipated to be completed in the second half of FY2012.
  • Other litigation and regulation: Mosaic was litigating the PCS Esterhazy tolling-agreement dispute, with trial scheduled for January 2012. It challenged Florida nutrient-discharge rules that could require significant capital expenditure and substantially increase annual operating costs if the challenge and regulatory-relief efforts failed. The Hardee County Extension litigation and other environmental, antitrust, tax, and legacy matters also pose potential costs or operational constraints.
  • Mine and operating risks: The Esterhazy mine has experienced brine inflows for decades; the site’s underground operations were not insured for water-incursion problems. More severe inflows could raise remediation costs, disrupt operations, or require a change in mining methods or mine abandonment.
  • Financial assurance: Mosaic disclosed it was technically out of compliance with Florida financial-assurance requirements because it did not have sufficient debt outstanding, and was working with regulators on an alternative means of meeting the test.
  • Market exposure: Results are sensitive to crop nutrient prices and demand, seasonality, weather, inventories, foreign exchange, transportation, and volatile prices or availability of sulfur, ammonia, natural gas, and other inputs. The filing provides no numerical earnings or cash-flow guidance.
  • Transaction-related exposure: Tax agreements impose restrictions on certain corporate actions for two years after the Split-off and provide for potentially material indemnification to Cargill if the transaction loses tax-free treatment under specified circumstances. Further secondary share sales could pressure the stock price.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Review the incorporated FY2011 financial statements and MD&A for actual revenue, net income, operating cash flow, segment margins, capital spending, debt, and year-over-year comparisons.
  • Track the South Fort Meade injunction, phosphate-rock sourcing costs, and the effect on phosphate production and FY2012 margins.
  • Confirm progress and spending on potash expansions, and monitor Esterhazy brine conditions and tolling-agreement litigation.
  • Assess potential costs from Florida water-quality requirements, financial-assurance obligations, and other material legal proceedings.
  • Review the timing and volume of Cargill-related secondary offerings and the tax-related restrictions and indemnities.