Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund — Form 10-Q Summary
Business context and reporting period
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is a non-diversified, externally managed business development company focused primarily on directly originated senior secured loans to U.S. middle-market companies. The fund is also intended to qualify as a regulated investment company. The filing covers the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, with comparative periods ended September 30, 2021, and balance-sheet comparisons to December 31, 2021. There was no established public market for the common stock as of November 8, 2022.
Key financial metrics
| Metric | Three months ended September 30, 2022 | Nine months ended September 30, 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Total investment income | $62.7 million | $157.0 million |
| Net investment income after taxes | $33.8 million | $89.7 million |
| Net realized gain | $18 thousand | $556 thousand |
| Net unrealized depreciation | $(24.4) million | $(61.9) million |
| Net increase in net assets from operations | $9.4 million | $28.4 million |
| Earnings per share | $0.15 | $0.47 |
| Dividends declared per share | Not separately stated for the quarter | $1.42 |
- Net assets were $1.307 billion at September 30, 2022, compared with $1.189 billion at December 31, 2021.
- Net asset value per share declined to $20.00 from $20.91 at year-end 2021.
- The investment portfolio had a fair value of $2.747 billion, compared with $2.387 billion at December 31, 2021. First-lien debt represented 93.5% of investments at fair value, second-lien debt 4.8%, and other securities 1.7%.
- Net expenses were $28.9 million for the quarter and $67.3 million year to date. Management-fee waivers reduced expenses by $5.1 million and $14.7 million, respectively.
- The annualized ratio of net expenses to average net assets was 6.70%; the ratio of net investment income to average net assets was 9.95% for the nine-month period.
- Cash was $59.9 million at September 30, 2022. Operating activities used $375.5 million of cash, while financing activities provided $361.2 million, resulting in a $14.3 million decrease in cash year to date.
Debt and liquidity
- Total debt at carrying value was $1.515 billion, compared with $1.250 billion at December 31, 2021. Debt included $220.4 million under the CIBC Subscription Facility, $322.0 million under the BNP Funding Facility, $282.2 million under the Truist Credit Facility, $425.0 million of 2027 Notes, and $275.0 million of 2025 Notes.
- Aggregate committed debt capacity was $2.510 billion, with approximately $984.3 million of unused capacity, subject to borrowing-base restrictions.
- The fund issued $425 million of 4.50% unsecured notes due 2027 in February 2022 and $275 million of 7.55% unsecured notes due 2025 in September 2022.
- The combined weighted-average interest rate on borrowings was 4.37% for the quarter and 3.47% year to date, compared with 2.16% and 2.10% in the respective 2021 periods.
- Capital commitments from stockholders totaled approximately $1.624 billion, of which $309.4 million was unfunded. Unfunded portfolio investment commitments were $338.3 million.
- Management stated that cash, available credit capacity, and uncalled capital commitments were expected to be sufficient for near-term investing and operating needs. The fund was in compliance with debt covenants.
Material changes versus comparable periods
- Total investment income more than doubled, increasing 98% for both the quarter and nine-month period, primarily because of a larger invested portfolio and higher floating-rate yields.
- Net investment income increased 80% for the quarter and 100% year to date, but net investment income per share declined to $0.53 for the quarter and $1.49 year to date from $0.54 and $1.74, respectively, reflecting substantial share issuance and portfolio growth.
- Net results were reduced by unrealized depreciation of $24.4 million for the quarter and $61.9 million year to date, compared with unrealized appreciation in the 2021 periods. Management attributed the decline primarily to credit-market volatility and spread widening.
- Net increase in net assets from operations fell to $9.4 million for the quarter and $28.4 million year to date from $22.2 million and $56.8 million, respectively.
- Shares outstanding increased to 65.4 million from 56.8 million at December 31, 2021. The fund issued $154.7 million of common stock through two capital calls during the nine months.
- Portfolio companies increased to 139 across 29 industries from 98 across 27 industries at December 31, 2021. The weighted-average yield on debt investments at amortized cost increased to 9.6% from 7.2% at year-end 2021.
- Unfunded commitments declined to $338.3 million from $509.4 million at year-end 2021, while available debt capacity increased to approximately $984.3 million from $725.2 million.
Guidance, outlook, risks and unusual items
- No formal earnings or dividend guidance was provided. The filing states that investment pace will depend on market conditions, deal flow, inflation, valuations, and portfolio-company operating performance.
- Through November 8, 2022, the fund had closed or committed approximately $45.3 million of new or add-on investments, including $43.0 million of first-lien loans and $2.3 million of other securities.
- Management cited inflation, rising interest rates, supply-chain disruptions, potential recession, market volatility, geopolitical instability, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict as material risks.
- Virtually all debt investments were floating rate, which supports investment income as rates rise but increases borrower stress and financing costs. Management estimated that a 100-basis-point increase in rates would increase annualized net income by approximately $19.7 million, while a 100-basis-point decrease would reduce it by approximately $19.6 million, assuming no changes in portfolio or leverage.
- One $1.8 million unsecured debt investment was on non-accrual status. All first- and second-lien debt investments were reported as current on interest payments, and the fund reported no realized losses from defaults or credit deterioration since inception.
- Approximately 99.0% of the portfolio at fair value was internally rated Category 2, with 1.0% rated Category 3 and none rated Category 4. Most investments were Level 3 assets valued using significant unobservable inputs, creating valuation uncertainty.
- The adviser waived management fees before a public listing to cap the effective base fee at 0.25% of average gross assets; these waivers are not subject to recoupment. Morgan Stanley has no obligation to provide financial support beyond its equity investment.
- The company reported effective disclosure controls, no material legal proceedings, no defaults upon senior securities, and no material subsequent events other than $5.4 million of additional capital commitments closed on October 27, 2022.
Important facts for investors to verify
- Reconcile the decline in NAV per share to unrealized depreciation, dividends, share issuance, and changes in portfolio valuations.
- Review the sensitivity of net investment income to further interest-rate increases, including the effect of higher borrowing costs and borrower credit stress.
- Assess the valuation assumptions for the predominantly Level 3 portfolio, particularly discount rates, comparable-company multiples, and spread-widening effects.
- Monitor the $1.8 million non-accrual investment, the two Category 3 investments, unfunded commitments, and near-term portfolio maturities.
- Confirm the availability and borrowing-base requirements of the $984.3 million of unused debt capacity and the $309.4 million of uncalled equity commitments.
- Evaluate the sustainability of distributions relative to net investment income, including the impact of non-cash PIK income, incentive fees, and future management-fee waivers.
- Consider the absence of a public market for the common stock and the related limitations on liquidity and price discovery.