NATURAL RESOURCE PARTNERS LP quarterly report, Q3 FY2021

Natural Resource Partners L.P. — Q3 2021 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021. NRP owns and leases U.S. mineral properties, primarily coal, and holds a 49% non-controlling interest in Ciner Wyoming, a soda ash producer. Amounts below are in millions unless stated otherwise.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2021Q3 2020Nine months 2021Nine months 2020
Revenue and other income$56.8$29.9$132.5$101.2
Operating income (loss)$39.2$17.5$82.6$(68.6)
Net income (loss)$29.5$7.2$53.3$(99.5)
Net income (loss) attributable to common units$21.1$(0.3)$29.1$(119.7)
Basic earnings (loss) per common unit$1.71$(0.02)$2.36$(9.76)
Operating cash flowNot stated separately for Q3Not stated separately for Q3$66.6$76.1
  • Q3 revenue rose 90%; nine-month revenue increased 31%. Coal royalty and other revenue drove the improvement, supported by higher coal volumes and prices. Q3 coal royalty revenue grew 206%, while Ciner Wyoming equity earnings were $6.7 million versus $2.0 million.
  • Derived operating margin was approximately 69% in Q3 2021 versus 58% in Q3 2020, calculated as operating income divided by revenue and other income. Nine-month operating income turned positive; the prior-year period included $133.2 million of impairments.
  • Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure, was $37.7 million for Q3 versus $18.5 million, and $94.5 million for nine months versus $79.8 million. Nine-month free cash flow (non-GAAP) was $67.3 million versus $74.9 million; distributable cash flow was $68.5 million versus $76.3 million.
  • Nine-month operating cash flow declined $9.5 million, mainly from lower Ciner Wyoming distributions and prior-year one-time lease amendment and past-due payments, partly offset by stronger coal cash flow and lower interest paid.

Financial position and distributions

  • At September 30, cash was $119.0 million; total debt, net, was $453.5 million, down from $471.5 million at December 31, 2020. Current debt was $39.1 million. NRP reported $219.0 million of liquidity, including $100 million available on its undrawn revolving facility.
  • NRP reported a consolidated leverage ratio of 3.8x, above the 3.75x threshold in the parent notes’ preferred-distribution restriction. It paid half of preferred distributions in kind during the first nine months, issuing $11.6 million of preferred units. The filing says NRP remained in compliance with debt covenants.
  • Common distributions were $0.45 per unit for each of the first three quarters of 2021. In November, the board declared a $0.45-per-unit Q3 distribution and a preferred distribution payable half in cash and half in additional preferred units.
  • Accrued preferred distributions reduced income attributable to common unitholders by $8.0 million in Q3 and $23.5 million for the first nine months.

Outlook, risks and notable items

  • Management expected leverage to fall below 3.75x by year-end, citing anticipated strong coal and soda ash pricing and a forest-carbon transaction. If leverage remains above the threshold and paid-in-kind preferred units cannot be redeemed, common-unit distributions may have to be temporarily suspended. Distribution and redemption decisions remain subject to the board’s quarterly review.
  • After quarter-end, NRP issued and sold 1.1 million forest carbon offset credits for $13.8 million, representing carbon sequestered on approximately 39,000 acres. Management described this as an initial alternative-revenue opportunity; further timing and cash flows are uncertain.
  • Coal markets had rebounded, particularly metallurgical coal. Management noted that most thermal-coal cash flows were fixed through 2021 under Foresight agreements; thermal coal faces longer-term demand, natural-gas competition and renewable-energy-transition risks.
  • Ciner Wyoming’s business was recovering, but management cautioned that soda ash markets remained volatile amid COVID-19 uncertainty. Ciner Wyoming deferred or reprioritized significant expansion and infrastructure spending to preserve flexibility; NRP expected a $7.4 million distribution from it in Q4 2021.
  • NRP recorded $4.1 million of impairments for the first nine months of 2021, primarily after a coal lease termination. The filing warns that a worse-than-estimated COVID-19 impact could lead to future impairments. Two customers accounted for 23% each of nine-month revenue; Foresight accounted for 19%.
  • Ordinary-course legal proceedings were not expected by management to materially affect the business. No material changes to previously disclosed risk factors were reported.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether year-end leverage fell below 3.75x and whether NRP redeemed paid-in-kind preferred units or changed common distributions.
  • Cash conversion and debt repayment capacity, including the effect of lower Ciner Wyoming distributions and upcoming principal payments.
  • Coal volumes, royalty rates and lessee concentration, along with the duration and terms of Foresight’s fixed-payment arrangements.
  • Whether the carbon-credit transaction produces repeatable cash flows, and the timing and cost implications of Ciner Wyoming’s deferred capital projects.
  • Potential additional mineral-property impairments and changes in customer credit quality or receivable allowances.