NATIONAL RURAL UTILITIES COOPERATIVE FINANCE CORP annual report, FY2017

Business context and reporting period

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corporation (CFC) is a member-owned, tax-exempt cooperative lender serving rural electric utilities, with affiliated lending operations NCSC and RTFC. It provides loans, guarantees and letters of credit, funded through debt, member investments and retained equity. The filing is a Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended May 31, 2017—not a quarter ended in calendar 2016. Financial figures below are consolidated unless noted.

Financial performance and condition

  • Revenue and earnings: Interest income was $1.037 billion and interest expense $742 million, producing net interest income of $295 million, down 11% from fiscal 2016. Total net revenue was $315 million. GAAP net income was $312 million, versus a $52 million loss in 2016.
  • Earnings quality and margins: Fiscal 2017 results included $95 million of derivative gains, compared with $310 million of derivative losses in 2016; the year-over-year earnings swing was principally mark-to-market volatility, not a comparable change in underlying operations. Adjusted net income, excluding derivative forward-value gains and losses, was $133 million, down 22%. GAAP net interest yield declined 23 basis points to 1.20%; adjusted net interest yield fell 19 basis points to 0.86%. Adjusted TIER was 1.16, below management’s 1.10 target? It exceeded the stated target, but was down from 1.22 in 2016.
  • Credit costs and quality: CFC recorded a $6 million loan-loss provision, versus a $1 million benefit in 2016. The allowance was $37 million, or 0.15% of loans. There were no nonperforming loans at year-end; criticized loans were $120 million, less than 1% of the portfolio. Net charge-offs were $1.9 million.
  • Cash flow: Operating cash flow was $180 million; investing cash outflow was $1.016 billion, largely reflecting net loan advances; financing cash inflow was $798 million. Cash and cash equivalents declined $38 million to $167 million. Cash, investments and time deposits totaled $485 million at year-end.
  • Balance sheet and debt: Total assets were $25.206 billion, up 4%; loans outstanding grew 5% to $24.356 billion. Total debt was $23.460 billion, up 4%; total equity rose 34% to $1.099 billion. The GAAP debt-to-equity ratio was 21.94:1, while the adjusted ratio was 5.95:1. Short-term borrowings were $3.343 billion, with an average maturity of 28 days and weighted-average rate of 0.99%.
  • Liquidity: Available liquidity reserves were $6.569 billion, comprising cash and deposits, committed bank lines, RUS-guaranteed facilities and Farmer Mac facilities. Long-term debt maturities over the following 12 months were $1.258 billion. Management reported compliance with debt covenants and expected to meet funding needs.

Changes versus prior comparable period

  • GAAP net income improved by $364 million, principally because derivative results shifted from a $310 million loss to a $95 million gain; adjusted net income nevertheless declined by $37 million.
  • Net interest income fell $36 million as the yield declined, despite 6% growth in average interest-earning assets. Management attributed yield pressure to lower-rate loan repricing and advances, alongside higher funding costs.
  • Loans increased $1.204 billion, chiefly from CFC distribution-system lending and member capital investment and refinancing needs. Debt increased $861 million to fund portfolio growth.
  • Foreclosed asset Caribbean Asset Holdings (CAH) was sold in July 2016. CFC reported $109 million of net proceeds at closing and $2 million of fiscal 2017 CAH-related charges; it held no foreclosed assets at year-end. A $16 million indemnification escrow was expected to be substantially returned.

Outlook, commentary and risks

  • Management expected loan advances to exceed repayments over the next 12 months and projected relatively flat net interest income and adjusted net interest income, with modest loan growth offset by a slight yield decline.
  • Management’s financial objectives were annual adjusted TIER of at least 1.10 and adjusted debt-to-equity of approximately 6.00:1 or lower. It expected adjusted leverage near 6.00:1 over the next year and intended to keep dealer commercial paper below $1.25 billion on average.
  • Key risks include access to capital markets and refinancing, credit-rating deterioration, interest-rate and derivative exposure, concentrated lending to rural electric cooperatives, borrower credit deterioration, and changes in the rural utility industry and regulation. The portfolio was approximately 99% electric-utility lending.
  • A downgrade to specified derivative rating triggers could have required up to $246 million in net payments as of year-end. Guarantees totaled $890 million, with a recorded guarantee liability of $15 million; CFC also provided liquidity support for $476 million of variable-rate tax-exempt bonds. No guarantee or liquidity-provider performance was required during fiscal 2017.
  • Unadvanced loan commitments totaled $12.575 billion, including $2.602 billion of unconditional credit lines. CFC stated that historical utilization was low and most other commitments included material-adverse-change clauses.
  • Management reported effective disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting. KPMG issued an unqualified audit opinion; its audit did not include an attestation on internal control.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Separate recurring operating performance from GAAP derivative mark-to-market gains and losses; review adjusted measures alongside GAAP results.
  2. Check whether net interest yield and adjusted TIER stabilize against funding-cost increases and the scheduled repricing of fixed-rate loans.
  3. Assess refinancing and rollover capacity, including short-term borrowing levels, committed facility availability, collateral requirements, debt maturities and covenant headroom.
  4. Monitor changes in criticized loans, the allowance methodology and assumptions, borrower concentration, and the effect of the expected-credit-loss standard when adopted.
  5. Review derivative downgrade triggers, guarantee and bond-liquidity obligations, and the status of the CAH indemnification escrow.