NATIONAL RURAL UTILITIES COOPERATIVE FINANCE CORP annual report, FY2015

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corporation — FY2015 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended May 31, 2015, with comparisons to fiscal 2014. The filing is an annual report, not a standalone “2014 Q4” report. Figures below are consolidated and generally in U.S. dollars.

Business context

CFC is a member-owned, tax-exempt cooperative lender serving rural electric utilities; consolidated results also include rural telecom lender RTFC, National Cooperative Services Corporation (NCSC), and entities holding foreclosed assets. CFC’s objective is to provide cost-based financing rather than maximize profit. It funds lending primarily through debt markets, member investments, bank credit facilities, Farmer Mac and USDA/RUS-supported programs. About 98% of outstanding loan exposure was to rural electric organizations.

Financial performance and position

MetricFY2015 / May 31, 2015Prior period
Interest income$953.0 million$957.5 million in FY2014
Interest expense$635.7 million$654.7 million in FY2014
Net interest income$317.3 million; net interest yield 1.47%$302.9 million; 1.42% in FY2014
Net income (loss)$(18.9) million$192.9 million in FY2014
Adjusted net income (non-GAAP)$95.2 million; adjusted TIER 1.13$153.4 million; adjusted TIER 1.21 in FY2014
Total assets$22.89 billion$22.23 billion
Loans outstanding$21.46 billion, up 5%$20.47 billion
Allowance for loan losses$33.7 million, or 0.16% of loans$56.4 million, or 0.28%
Total debt outstanding$21.32 billion$20.62 billion
Total equity$911.8 million$970.4 million
Cash and time deposits$733.8 million$888.7 million
Cash flow from operations$219.0 million$190.0 million in FY2014
Cash flow from investing / financing$(956.6) million / $647.8 millionFY2014: $(47.4) million / $19.1 million

GAAP net interest margin improved as lower funding costs more than offset reduced loan yields. On the company’s adjusted basis, which includes derivative cash settlements, adjusted net interest income was $234.4 million and adjusted net interest yield was 1.08%, versus $228.9 million and 1.07% in FY2014. Cash and cash equivalents fell by $89.9 million during the year.

Reported debt-to-equity rose to 24.11:1 from 21.91:1; adjusted debt-to-equity increased to 6.26:1 from 5.90:1. Adjusted leverage was 6.58:1. These adjusted measures are non-GAAP and differ from reported ratios. CFC reported no nonperforming loans at year-end; restructured loans were $11.7 million, or 0.05% of loans.

Material changes and unusual items

  • Reported results swung to a net loss, mainly reflecting derivative losses of $197.0 million and foreclosed-asset losses of $120.1 million. The latter included approximately $111 million of CAH impairment charges; the filing attributes the impairment to weaker-than-expected subscriber growth, slower customer migration and reduced forecasts, as well as estimated sale proceeds and costs.
  • Derivative losses worsened from $34.4 million in FY2014. They included $82.9 million of cash settlement expense and $114.1 million of negative derivative forward-value changes, associated largely with yield-curve movements. Most swaps are not designated for hedge accounting, so fair-value changes flow through earnings.
  • Core funding costs declined: average interest cost fell to 3.07% from 3.19%. Loan growth was primarily in CFC distribution and power-supply lending, including refinancing and capital investment advances.
  • The allowance for loan losses declined by $22.7 million. Fourth-quarter revisions to recovery-rate assumptions and qualitative factors reduced the allowance by $18 million; management cautions that estimates depend on judgment.
  • CAH’s carrying value fell to $116.5 million from $239.1 million. CFC and CAH signed a non-binding letter of intent in June 2015 to sell the telecom and cable operations; completion was expected in FY2016, subject to diligence, definitive documentation and approvals. DRP was dissolved after selling its remaining assets.
  • Debt rose by $695.9 million. CFC issued $1.2 billion of collateral trust bonds and reduced dealer commercial paper by about $989 million, as part of a stated effort to limit short-term wholesale funding risk.

Liquidity, outlook and risks

Management expected new long-term advances to exceed scheduled loan repayments by $1.044 billion over the next 12 months, and forecast approximately $2.2 billion of long-term advances. It anticipated continued earnings growth from core lending, while noting that adjusted leverage would likely remain above its 6.00:1 goal in the near term.

At May 31, 2015, liquidity resources included $733.8 million of cash and time deposits, $3.419 billion available under bank revolvers, up to $750 million under FFB facilities, and up to $2.589 billion under the Farmer Mac agreement, subject to market conditions. Long-term debt maturities over the next 12 months were approximately $1.939 billion. Management believed available resources and market access would support obligations and operations for 12–18 months; this outlook depends on continued refinancing access and member investment rollovers.

  • Funding and ratings: Access to capital markets, revolving facilities and member funding is critical. A ratings downgrade could raise costs, impair commercial-paper access, or trigger derivative termination payments; estimated net payments under specified rating triggers were approximately $220 million at year-end. S&P revised its outlook to negative in July 2015, after year-end.
  • Leverage and covenants: CFC was in compliance with its stated covenants at year-end. Covenants include minimum adjusted TIER and maximum adjusted leverage; breaches may restrict borrowing, patronage retirements or access to new debt.
  • Guarantees and commitments: Guarantees outstanding were $986.5 million, with $14.13 billion of unadvanced loan commitments. A significant portion of commitments is conditional, but $2.765 billion of line-of-credit commitments was not subject to a material-adverse-change clause at each advance.
  • Concentration and industry: The portfolio is heavily concentrated in rural electric utilities. Regulatory, environmental, technology, economic and competitive changes could affect member finances and repayment capacity.
  • Derivatives and operations: Counterparty performance, interest-rate movements, cyber incidents and operational failures are identified risks. CFC does not have external federal regulatory oversight of its lending activities.
  • Legal/tax contingency: RTFC received a June 2015 Virgin Islands tax deficiency notice concerning tax years 1996–2005. RTFC disputed the allegations and planned to contest them. Management stated ordinary-course legal proceedings were not expected to materially harm results and had recorded no legal reserve.
  • Tax status: CFC’s federal tax exemption depends on continued compliance with applicable requirements; loss of that status could increase tax expense.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Track GAAP versus adjusted results, including how derivative fair-value volatility and cash settlements affect earnings, TIER and covenant calculations.
  • Monitor the CAH sale process, final proceeds and any further impairment or operating costs; the announced agreement was non-binding.
  • Assess liquidity and refinancing execution against the near-term debt maturity schedule, commercial-paper rollover assumptions, and availability of Farmer Mac and FFB funding.
  • Review leverage, covenant headroom, credit-rating developments and potential derivative collateral or termination obligations.
  • Evaluate the basis for the $18 million allowance reduction alongside portfolio risk ratings, loan growth and the absence of nonperforming loans.
  • Follow the Virgin Islands tax dispute and any change in CFC’s tax-exempt status or related exposure.

The independent auditor issued an unqualified opinion on the consolidated financial statements. Management concluded disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting were effective; the auditor did not provide an internal-control attestation.