Navigator Holdings Ltd. current report, Q3 FY2015

Navigator Holdings Ltd. Form 6-K Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Navigator Holdings Ltd.
Reporting Period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2015.
Business Overview: Owner and operator of the world's largest fleet of handysize liquefied gas carriers, transporting LPG, petrochemical gases, and ammonia. As of September 30, 2015, the fleet consisted of 28 owned vessels. The company is actively expanding with a newbuilding program totaling nine vessels under construction, with deliveries scheduled through 2017.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (in thousands) 9 Months Ended Sep 30, 2014 9 Months Ended Sep 30, 2015 3 Months Ended Sep 30, 2014 3 Months Ended Sep 30, 2015
Operating Revenue $226,501 $236,553 $80,612 $78,215
Operating Income $83,426 $97,588 $30,995 $31,072
Net Income $60,205 $71,012 $23,659 $22,669
Operating Cash Flow $93,747 $105,299 N/A N/A
Cash & Equivalents (Sep 30, 2015) $107,360
Total Debt (Current + Non-Current) $637,177 (Sep 30, 2015)

Margins (9 Months 2015): Operating margin was approximately 41.3% ($97.6M / $236.6M). Net margin was approximately 30.0% ($71.0M / $236.6M).

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Nine-month revenue increased 4.4% to $236.6 million, driven by a 12.3% increase in the weighted average fleet size (24.4 to 27.4 vessels) and slightly higher charter rates. This was partially offset by a decrease in fleet utilization (98.2% to 94.8%) and lower voyage charter revenue due to falling bunker prices.
  • Profitability: Net income for the nine months increased 18.0% to $71.0 million. Operating income rose 17.0% to $97.6 million.
  • Expense Trends: Voyage expenses decreased 23.7% due to lower bunker prices. Vessel operating expenses increased 9.4% due to fleet expansion, though daily operating costs per vessel decreased. Interest expense increased 5.7% due to new term loan facilities.
  • Asset Changes: The company sold the vessel Navigator Mariner for $32.6 million, recognizing a profit of $0.6 million. A $10.5 million impairment charge was recorded for the Navigator Aries following a collision, with an expected insurance recovery of $10.4 million.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Outlook: Management expects to finance remaining newbuilding costs through existing term loan facilities, equity, or internal funds. The company anticipates sufficient liquidity to meet needs for the foreseeable future.
  • Recent Developments:
    • Collision: Navigator Aries collided in June 2015. Repairs are expected to be completed by February 2016. The company lacks loss of hire insurance, meaning lost income is recoverable only if the other vessel's owners are held liable.
    • Financing: Entered a $278.1 million secured term loan facility in January 2015 to refinance existing debt and fund newbuildings.
    • Deliveries: Navigator Ceres was delivered on October 21, 2015. Five vessels are expected in 2016 and three in 2017.
  • Risks:
    • Market Risk: Exposure to interest rate fluctuations (LIBOR-based debt) and foreign currency exchange rates (expenses in non-USD currencies).
    • Operational Risk: Fleet utilization rates dropped to 89.8% in Q3 2015 due to repairs and market instability.
    • Regulatory/Compliance: Significant ongoing capital expenditures for drydocking and environmental compliance.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Insurance Recovery: Verify the status of the $10.4 million insurance claim for the Navigator Aries collision and the likelihood of recovering lost hire income.
  • Debt Covenants: Confirm continued compliance with financial covenants, specifically the Net Debt to Total Capitalization ratio (max 0.60) and liquidity requirements ($10M-$25M or 5% of Net Debt).
  • Newbuilding Financing: Assess the funding strategy for the remaining $409 million in contractual obligations for vessels under construction.
  • Utilization Rates: Monitor fleet utilization trends, which declined to 89.8% in Q3 2015, and the impact of the Navigator Aries being off-hire.
  • Charter Rates: Evaluate the sustainability of the slight increase in average daily time charter equivalent rates ($30,279 in 9M 2015 vs $30,003 in 9M 2014) amidst market volatility.