PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORP annual report, FY2014

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation — 2014 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2014. This is an annual filing, not a standalone fourth-quarter report. Pinnacle West is a holding company whose results are driven mainly by its regulated Arizona utility, Arizona Public Service Company (APS), serving approximately 1.2 million customers.

Financial performance and condition

Metric20142013
Pinnacle West operating revenue$3.492 billion$3.455 billion
Operating income$811 million$846 million
Net income attributable to common shareholders$398 million$406 million
Diluted EPS$3.58$3.66
Operating cash flow$1.100 billion$1.153 billion
Capital expenditures$911 million$1.016 billion
Total assets$14.314 billion$13.509 billion
Long-term debt, less current maturities$3.031 billion$2.796 billion

Revenue increased about 1.1%, while common net income declined about 2.1% and diluted EPS about 2.2%. Operating margin was approximately 23.2%, compared with 24.5% in 2013; common net-income margin was approximately 11.4%, versus 11.8%. APS reported electric operating revenue of $3.489 billion and net income attributable to its common shareholder of $421 million, down from $425 million.

Cash used for investing was $923 million; cash used for financing was $179 million. Operating cash flow less capital expenditures was approximately $189 million. Year-end cash was $8 million. Pinnacle West and APS reported committed revolving facilities of $1.2 billion in total, with $1.053 billion unused; APS had $147 million of commercial paper outstanding. Pinnacle West’s consolidated debt to capitalization ratio was approximately 46%, and APS’s was 45%. APS’s regulatory-order common-equity ratio was 56%, above its 40% minimum.

Pinnacle West declared dividends of $2.33 per share for 2014, compared with $2.23 in 2013, and increased its indicated annual dividend to $2.38. In the fourth quarter alone, Pinnacle West reported revenue of $726 million and common net income of $5 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, versus $700 million, $24 million and $0.22, respectively, in fourth-quarter 2013. Results are seasonal, with summer demand typically contributing substantially to earnings.

Material changes versus 2013

  • Operating income fell $35 million and common net income fell $8 million. Management cited higher fossil-generation costs, weather-related lower retail sales, higher property taxes and lower retail transmission revenues. Lower employee benefit costs, higher other income and increased lost-fixed-cost recovery partially offset those pressures.
  • Fuel and purchased-power costs rose to $1.180 billion from $1.096 billion. APS’s weather-adjusted retail electricity sales were flat year over year; customer growth was 1.4%.
  • Operating cash flow declined $53 million, mainly reflecting higher fuel and purchased-power costs, increased cash collateral and pension contributions, partly offset by income-tax refunds.
  • APS received approval for Four Corners rate adjustments expected to increase annual revenue by $57.1 million. The related deferral balance was $77 million at year-end and is being amortized over 10 years.
  • Pinnacle West’s postretirement plan changes reduced 2014 periodic benefit cost by $10 million, including a $5 million reduction in expense, and reduced the benefit obligation by $316 million, with corresponding regulatory and other accounting offsets.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management projected APS customer growth averaging 2.0%–3.0% annually and weather-adjusted retail sales growth averaging 0.5%–1.5% annually for 2015–2017. These are expectations, not guarantees.
  • Estimated APS capital expenditures were $1.091 billion in 2015, $1.265 billion in 2016 and $1.293 billion in 2017. Planned spending includes generation, environmental controls, renewables, distribution and transmission.
  • APS planned to retire Cholla Unit 2 by April 2016 and stop coal burning at its other Cholla units by the mid-2020s, subject to regulatory approvals. The remaining $128 million book value of Unit 2 was reclassified as a regulatory asset; disallowance of recovery could result in a write-off.
  • Environmental compliance is a significant uncertainty. Estimated APS shares include at least $350 million for Four Corners controls, up to approximately $200 million for Navajo Plant upgrades, and approximately $15 million and $85 million for coal-combustion-residual compliance at Four Corners and Cholla. Cholla costs for regional-haze controls and remaining hazardous-air-pollutant equipment may be avoided if the proposed retirement compromise is approved; the outcome was uncertain.
  • Other material risks include proposed greenhouse-gas rules and potential coal-plant retirements, fuel and power-price volatility, drought and water availability, nuclear operating and spent-fuel obligations, weather-sensitive demand, rate-recovery decisions, and renewal of leases and rights-of-way on tribal or federal lands.
  • APS settled its spent-fuel damages claim with DOE for $57.4 million for Palo Verde owners; APS’s share was $16.7 million. The recovery was recorded as a regulatory-liability adjustment and did not affect current income.
  • APS’s Four Corners transmission-termination dispute with SCE remained unresolved after FERC denied rehearing. Arbitration could result in a charge if APS is unsuccessful. Separately, APS agreed to pay a $3.25 million civil penalty to resolve reliability-related proceedings concerning the 2011 Southwest outage.
  • The filing states that Pinnacle West’s and APS’s financial statements were audited by Deloitte & Touche and received unqualified opinions; management and the auditor reported effective internal control over financial reporting at year-end.

Investor verification priorities

  • Review the full financial statements and notes for debt maturities, cash requirements, and the distinction between Pinnacle West and APS financial measures.
  • Track APS’s rate-recovery proceedings and whether the $128 million Cholla regulatory asset and other deferred costs are ultimately recoverable.
  • Verify regulatory decisions, actual costs and schedules for Four Corners, Navajo Plant and coal-ash compliance, including any effects on plant participation or retirement plans.
  • Monitor actual customer and sales growth against management’s 2015–2017 projections, and assess weather and energy-efficiency effects on earnings and cash flow.
  • Follow the Four Corners/SCE transmission dispute, tribal and federal lease approvals, water-supply matters, and other disclosed environmental and legal proceedings.
  • Assess whether planned capital spending, voluntary pension contributions and dividends remain supported by operating cash flow and available financing.