PEARSON PLC annual report, Q4 FY2020

Pearson plc — FY2020 Form 20-F summary

Reporting period: Year ended December 31, 2020; filed April 1, 2021. This is an annual report, not a standalone Q4 filing, and the supplied text does not provide separate quarterly results. Financial statements are prepared under IFRS and reported in pounds sterling.

Business context

Pearson is a global education company providing courseware, assessments, certifications and learning services. Its 2020 reporting segments were Global Online Learning, Global Assessment, North American Courseware and International. North America represented 69% of 2020 sales. Pearson completed the sale of its remaining 25% stake in Penguin Random House in April 2020 and reported the business through the disposal date.

Financial performance and position

Metric (£m unless stated)20202019
Sales3,3973,869
Operating profit411275
Adjusted operating profit313581
Profit before tax354232
Profit for the year310266
Basic EPS41.0p34.0p
Net cash generated from operations450480
Net cash from operating activities389369
Net debt4631,016
Cash and cash equivalents1,097437
Net assets4,1344,323
  • Sales fell 12% reported and 11% at constant exchange rates; excluding disposals, management estimated a 10% constant-currency decline. Operating margin was approximately 12.1%, compared with 7.1% in 2019, but 2020 operating profit included a substantial disposal gain.
  • Gross profit was £1,630m, down from £2,011m; cost of goods sold increased to 52.0% of sales from 48.0%, reflecting mix as higher-margin businesses declined.
  • Adjusted operating profit fell to £313m from £581m. Management attributed the underlying trading decline of about £210m to COVID-19 impacts in assessment and international markets and continuing US higher-education courseware pressure, partly offset by online-learning growth and cost savings.
  • Reported operating profit included a £180m gain on the PRH sale, partly offset by £8m of PIHE disposal-related charges. Restructuring costs were nil in 2020 versus £157m in 2019; acquired-intangible charges were £80m versus £163m.
  • Net finance costs rose to £57m from £43m, including higher interest expense and costs on the bond issued in June. The tax charge was £44m, versus a £34m tax credit in 2019.
  • Segment sales: Global Online Learning £697m (up 19%); Global Assessment £892m (down 13%); North American Courseware £894m (down 18%); International £914m (down 21%).
  • Net debt declined mainly due to PRH sale proceeds, deferred US K12 proceeds and operating cash flow. Pearson issued £350m of 3.75% notes due 2030. The $1.19bn revolving credit facility was undrawn at year-end; total available liquidity was approximately £1.9bn.
  • The board proposed a final dividend of 13.5p per share, making the proposed full-year dividend 19.5p, unchanged from 2019 and subject to shareholder approval. The share buyback was suspended; £176m had been spent before suspension.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • For 2021, management expected revenue and adjusted operating profit growth, but the filing does not provide a clear numerical growth target. It anticipated good growth in Virtual Learning and Workforce Skills, recovery in Assessment and Qualifications as restrictions eased, gradual improvement in English Language Learning, and a further decline in Higher Education revenue, though at a slower rate than in recent years. Q1 sales were expected to lag the difficult 2020 comparison, with growth anticipated in Q2 and Q3 if pandemic recovery continued.
  • COVID-19 materially affected 2020 trading, especially Global Assessment and International, through test-center and school closures, exam cancellations, reduced mobility and customer budget pressure. Further disruption, delayed reopening or a slower recovery could weigh on results and cash flow.
  • Management’s severe downside liquidity scenario projected more than £800m of liquidity headroom and covenant compliance through June 2022. The company reported compliance with facility covenants. S&P and Moody’s downgraded Pearson in 2020 to BBB- and Baa3, respectively, both with stable outlooks.
  • On March 8, 2021, Pearson announced a new strategy and five-division structure focused on Virtual Learning, Higher Education, English Language Learning, Workforce Skills, Assessment & Qualifications, supported by Direct to Consumer. Execution, restructuring and adoption risks are noted; Pearson was also reviewing international courseware and local publishing businesses.
  • After year-end, Pearson paid £100m in March 2021 under charging notices relating to alleged UK State Aid, while maintaining its appeal and expecting recovery. Brazilian tax authorities challenge goodwill amortisation deductions; potential exposure was estimated at up to £106m through 2020 plus £20m for future deductions, with no provision recorded. Pearson was named in 14 US and one Canadian antitrust class-action lawsuits concerning Inclusive Access; motions to dismiss were pending.
  • Other material risks include cyber and data privacy incidents, assessment-service failures, competition and digital transition, foreign exchange (69% of 2020 sales generated in US dollars), pension assumptions, goodwill impairment and execution of business transformation. The auditor identified goodwill and intangible valuations, uncertain tax provisions, sales returns and pre-publication asset recoverability as critical audit matters.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of reported 2020 operating profit and EPS improvement reflects the PRH disposal gain and share-count reduction, versus recurring operating performance.
  • Whether 2021 recovery assumptions for test centers, examinations, schools and international mobility were achieved, and how segment adjusted profit developed.
  • The outcome and cash implications of the State Aid appeal and Brazilian tax assessments, including recovery of the £100m payment.
  • Progress on the new strategy, portfolio reviews and any resulting restructuring costs, disposals, acquisitions or goodwill impairments.
  • Liquidity, covenant headroom, credit ratings and the effect of the £350m bond and suspended buyback on capital allocation and leverage.
  • Approval and payment of the proposed 13.5p final dividend, and whether the stated 19.5p full-year dividend remains sustainable.