Permianville Royalty Trust quarterly report, Q2 FY2016

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Enduro Royalty Trust (Note: Input metadata referenced "Permianville," but the filing text identifies the registrant as Enduro Royalty Trust).

Reporting Period: Quarterly report (Form 10-Q) for the period ended June 30, 2016.

Business Overview: The Trust is a Delaware statutory trust holding a net profits interest in oil and natural gas properties in Texas, Louisiana, and New Mexico. It is entitled to 80% of the net profits from the sale of production from these underlying properties. The Trust is a passive entity with no management control over operations or costs. As of July 25, 2016, there were 33,000,000 units outstanding.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Three Months Ended June 30, 2016 Six Months Ended June 30, 2016 As of June 30, 2016
Income from Net Profits Interest $708,982 $3,878,924 -
Distributable Income $598,950 $3,348,873 -
Distributable Income Per Unit $0.018150 $0.101481 -
Cash and Cash Equivalents - - $273,150
Net Profits Interest (Net Asset) - - $114,181,241
Total Assets - - $114,454,391
Debt $0 $0 $0

Note: The Trust has no debt. Amortization of the net profits interest ($3.3M for Q2; $6.7M for YTD) is charged directly to the Trust corpus and does not affect distributable income.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Decline: Income from the net profits interest decreased 75% for the three months ended June 30, 2016, compared to the same period in 2015 ($709k vs. $2.78M). For the six months, income decreased 34% ($3.88M vs. $5.84M).
  • Commodity Prices: Realized oil prices dropped 39% to $30.17/Bbl (Q2) and 43% to $36.85/Bbl (YTD). Realized natural gas prices dropped 41% to $1.87/Mcf (Q2) and 40% to $2.18/Mcf (YTD).
  • Production Volumes: Oil production volumes decreased 9% (Q2) and 12% (YTD) due to natural declines, particularly in the Permian Basin. Natural gas volumes decreased 5% (Q2) and 2% (YTD).
  • Cost Reductions: Development expenses decreased significantly (107% reduction in Q2) due to a lack of capital projects in the low-price environment. Lease operating expenses also declined due to reduced workover activity.
  • Reserve Withholdings: Enduro established a reserve of $850,000 for approved 2016 development expenses, which reduced distributable income. Additionally, $100,000 was withheld in Q2 to increase this reserve.

Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

  • Outlook: Management anticipates 2016 capital expenditures attributable to the Trust's interest to range from $1.6 million to $3.2 million, considerably less than 2015 levels. Revenues remain adversely affected by depressed commodity prices.
  • Unusual Item (Operator Adjustment): An operator in the Permian Basin is recouping a $1.1 million overpayment of natural gas production from 2015. Recoupment began in Q2 2016, withholding approximately $70,500 in revenue for the quarter. No distributions will be made from these specific properties until the $1.1 million is recovered.
  • Subsequent Events: A distribution of $0.013353 per unit was paid on July 15, 2016. A subsequent distribution of $0.0156 per unit was declared on July 19, 2016, to be paid in August. These distributions included the release of $300,000 total from the development expense reserve.
  • Risks: The Trust is exposed to market risk from fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices. It has no hedging arrangements. The Trust may dissolve if annual cash proceeds fall below $2 million for two consecutive years.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Verify the impact of the $1.1 million operator recoupment on future monthly distributions from Permian Basin properties.
  • Monitor the remaining balance of the development expense reserve (projected at $550,000 after August distribution) and potential future withholdings.
  • Track realized commodity prices versus NYMEX benchmarks to assess the widening or narrowing of price differentials.
  • Review production decline rates, specifically for the 2014 Rocker B drilling program, which saw a 64% decline in Q2 2016 compared to Q2 2015.
  • Confirm the Trust's cash position remains sufficient to cover administrative expenses without drawing on the $1 million letter of credit provided by Enduro.