RAYONIER ADVANCED MATERIALS INC. annual report, FY2019

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. — FY2019 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2019. The filing was signed March 2, 2020. The company manufactures high-purity cellulose products and forest, paperboard, pulp and newsprint products. 2019 results reflect the Matane mill as discontinued operations following its November sale; continuing-operations figures are used below unless noted.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricFY2019FY2018
Net sales$1.775 billion$1.957 billion
Gross margin$54 million; 3.1%$291 million; 14.9%
Operating income (loss)$(83) million; (4.7)% margin$148 million; 7.6% margin
Income (loss) from continuing operations$(119) million$99 million
Net income (loss)$(22) million$128 million
Diluted EPS$(0.57)$1.96
Operating cash flow$42 million total; $22 million from continuing operations$247 million total; $222 million from continuing operations
Capital expenditures$103 million$129 million
Adjusted free cash flow$(53) million$130 million
Adjusted EBITDA$76 million$311 million
Total debt at year-end$1.082 billion$1.188 billion
Cash at year-end$64 million$109 million
Revolver availability$87 million$217 million

Debt to total capitalization was 61%, versus 63% in 2018. The company reported $499 million of variable-rate debt; a one-percentage-point rate change would affect annual interest expense by approximately $5 million. Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow are non-GAAP measures.

Material changes and operating drivers

  • Sales fell 9% and operating income declined by $231 million, primarily due to lower prices across product lines and higher costs. Commodity markets were weak; the company also cited reliability issues and market-related downtime at certain mills.
  • High Purity Cellulose sales declined 5% to $1.127 billion and operating income fell to $7 million from $112 million. Cellulose-specialties price and volume were lower; commodity-product volume rose but prices fell.
  • Forest Products sales decreased 16% to $299 million and shifted to a $31 million operating loss from $25 million of income, principally reflecting a 21% decline in lumber pricing.
  • Paperboard sales were $200 million and operating income remained approximately $4 million. Pulp & Newsprint sales fell 24% to $215 million and operating income declined to $2 million from $72 million, mainly on lower prices and volumes.
  • The Matane mill was sold for $175 million gross proceeds, approximately $158 million net proceeds. The company used $100 million to repay secured-facility borrowings and recorded an $84 million after-tax disposal gain. Including discontinued operations, 2019 net income was $(22) million.
  • Common shares increased after mandatory convertible preferred stock converted in August 2019, issuing approximately 13.4 million shares. The quarterly common dividend was suspended beginning in the third quarter; 2019 common dividends declared were $0.14 per share.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management said 2020 priorities were cost control and cash preservation to maintain covenant compliance. It targeted $60–$70 million of EBITDA and fixed-cost benefits from operating efficiencies, corporate cost reductions, lower capital spending and working-capital improvements. Further measures could include asset sales, workforce reductions, curtailments or permanent closures.
  • For 2020, management expected cellulose-specialties prices to rise about 2% contractually, with lower specialty volumes; commodity prices were expected to improve progressively but average below 2019. High Purity Cellulose EBITDA was expected to increase modestly, subject to commodity pricing and China-related uncertainty.
  • Management expected improved Forest Products results, citing stronger housing demand and a preliminary U.S. duty determination that would reduce the company’s softwood lumber duties from 20.2% to 8.2% beginning in August, subject to a final determination. Paperboard prices and volumes were expected to be broadly stable; Pulp & Newsprint results were expected to be flat to slightly higher.
  • The September 2019 credit amendment relaxed leverage and interest-coverage tests through 2021, but increased borrowing margins by up to 1.25 percentage points, added collateral and required minimum revolver availability. The company was compliant at year-end, but warned future compliance was not assured. Covenant relief expires December 31, 2021.
  • Environmental liabilities were $171 million at year-end; the company estimated reasonably possible additional exposure of up to approximately $80 million. The Port Angeles remediation estimate increased substantially during 2019.
  • Other material risks include cyclical pricing and demand, customer concentration (top ten customers represented about 33% of 2019 sales), wood-fiber and energy costs, trade restrictions, foreign exchange, facility reliability, pension funding and substantial debt. The company had paid approximately $59 million in Canadian lumber duties through year-end 2019.
  • As of the filing, management expected China to eliminate tariffs on certain dissolving and fluff pulp imports by late Q1 or early Q2 2020, based on a then-recent notice. Coronavirus-related impacts were uncertain; high-yield pulp orders had slowed, while cellulose-specialties orders and collections had not yet shown a slowdown.
  • Unusual 2019 items included a $9 million pension settlement loss, $4 million of credit-amendment costs, and a $4.5 million insurance settlement gain. The 2019 fourth quarter included the Matane disposal gain; excluding it, continuing operations reported a quarterly loss.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether 2020 cost, working-capital and capital-spending actions deliver the targeted $60–$70 million benefit and sufficient liquidity.
  2. Headroom under amended debt covenants, the required revolver-availability reserve, debt maturities and the effect of higher borrowing margins.
  3. Actual market-price and volume trends in cellulose specialties, commodity pulp, lumber, paperboard and newsprint, including China demand and tariff changes.
  4. Final U.S. lumber-duty determination and the timing or likelihood of recovering duties already paid.
  5. Environmental remediation costs versus the $171 million recorded liability and potential additional exposure of up to approximately $80 million.
  6. The extent to which reported earnings and cash generation depend on the Matane gain, non-GAAP adjustments and continued access to credit.