Synchrony Financial quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

Synchrony Financial — 2019 Q3 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2019. All amounts are U.S. dollars; financial statement figures are in millions unless noted. Synchrony provides consumer credit and deposit products through Retail Card, Payment Solutions and CareCredit. The company reported one operating segment.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2019Q3 2018First nine months 2019First nine months 2018
Interest income$4,981$4,694$14,505$13,112
Net interest income$4,389$4,206$12,770$11,785
Provision for loan losses$1,019$1,451$3,076$4,093
Net earnings$1,056$671$3,016$2,007
Diluted earnings per share$1.60$0.91$4.40$2.66
Net interest margin16.29%16.41%16.04%15.94%
Net charge-off rate5.35%4.97%5.80%5.67%
  • Net earnings rose 57.4% in Q3 and 50.3% for the nine-month period. The increases included Walmart portfolio-related reserve reductions of $248 million and $829 million, respectively, and also reflected higher net interest income. These reserve effects make reported earnings growth an important item to assess.
  • Net interest income increased 4.4% in Q3 and 8.4% year to date, mainly as average loan receivables grew. Interest expense increased 21.3% and 30.7%, respectively, as funding costs and deposit balances rose. Cost of funds was 2.71% for Q3 and 2.69% year to date.
  • Retailer share arrangements increased 16.6% in Q3 to $1,016 million and 26.1% year to date to $2,829 million, reflecting program performance and growth.
  • Purchase volume was $38.4 billion in Q3 and $109.2 billion year to date, up 5.4% and 8.8%. Average active accounts were 76.7 million in both periods.
  • Other expense was $1,064 million in Q3 and $3,166 million year to date, up 0.9% and 4.9%. Year-to-date increases included PayPal Credit acquisition-related servicing and business growth.

Balance sheet, cash flow and capital

  • At September 30, loan receivables were $83.2 billion, down 4.9% from a year earlier; total assets were $105.9 billion, deposits $66.0 billion and total borrowings $20.4 billion. Total equity was $15.1 billion.
  • Cash and equivalents were $11.5 billion, compared with $9.4 billion at December 31, 2018. The company reported $15.2 billion of liquid assets, $6.0 billion of undrawn securitization capacity, $0.5 billion under its unsecured revolver, and more than $25 billion in unencumbered Bank assets available as potential liquidity.
  • For the first nine months, operating cash flow was $6.7 billion, investing cash outflow was $0.9 billion, and financing cash outflow was $4.4 billion. Cash flow from operations was slightly below the $6.8 billion reported in the comparable 2018 period.
  • Deposits funded 76% of total funding sources. Total deposits rose 3.1% from year-end, with direct deposits up 8.7% to $53.7 billion, partly offset by lower brokered deposits.
  • Company and Bank capital ratios remained above applicable well-capitalized thresholds. At September 30, the Company’s common equity Tier 1 ratio was 14.5%; the Bank’s was 14.6%.
  • Synchrony repurchased $2.2 billion of stock and paid $440 million in dividends during the first nine months. The Board authorized repurchases of up to $4.0 billion through June 30, 2020; the quarterly dividend increased to $0.22 per share beginning in Q3.

Credit quality and material changes

  • The allowance for loan losses was $5.6 billion, or 6.74% of period-end loan receivables, versus 7.11% a year earlier. Provision expense fell 29.8% in Q3 and 24.8% year to date; the Walmart-related reserve reductions were a primary driver.
  • Loans more than 30 days past due were 4.47% of period-end receivables, down from 4.59% a year earlier. Management attributed the decrease in part to the Walmart portfolio’s pending sale and lower included delinquencies.
  • The net charge-off rate increased to 5.35% in Q3 and 5.80% year to date. The filing notes that delinquency and loss measures are affected by seasonal consumer payment patterns.
  • In Q1, Synchrony reclassified $8.2 billion of Walmart-related receivables as held for sale and recorded a $522 million reserve release. It completed the sale and conversion of the $8.2 billion portfolio on October 11, 2019, after quarter-end.
  • Reported period-end loan receivables include the effect of the Walmart reclassification; average loan and purchase-volume measures include held-for-sale activity. Comparisons should account for this presentation change and the PayPal Credit acquisition.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • The filing provides no specific earnings or revenue guidance. Management describes growth in purchase volume, active accounts and direct deposits, while noting funding-cost pressures, retailer share costs, credit losses and seasonality.
  • Synchrony planned to adopt the CECL expected-credit-loss standard on January 1, 2020. Its preliminary estimate indicated that adoption at September 30, 2019 would have increased the allowance for loan losses by approximately 50% to 60% and reduced regulatory capital; the estimate remained subject to model refinement, economic conditions and regulatory discussions.
  • Federal Reserve rules issued October 10, 2019 categorize Synchrony as a Category IV organization. Certain liquidity and risk-management requirements become applicable in 2021, with supervisory stress testing commencing in 2022. The company said it was not then required to conduct company-run stress tests.
  • Key risks include consumer-credit deterioration and allowance-estimation uncertainty; higher funding costs, deposit competition and interest-rate mismatches; dependence on major retail partners; securitization triggers and market access; regulatory and capital constraints; cyber and operational risks; and litigation. No material changes to the risk factors in the 2018 Form 10-K were reported.
  • Legal matters include consumer-protection and credit-reporting proceedings, TCPA class actions, and securities and derivative litigation concerning underwriting and private-label card business disclosures. Management estimated reasonably possible losses for matters it could quantify as immaterial, but cautioned that outcomes could affect results in a particular period. A CFPB investigative demand concerning deferred-interest promotion marketing and servicing was also disclosed.
  • The company reported no early-amortization events in its securitization trusts, no defaults under credit facilities or senior notes, and compliance with senior-note covenants at September 30, 2019.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of the 2019 earnings increase reflects recurring operating performance versus Walmart-related reserve releases, and what were the final effects of the October sale?
  • Whether higher net charge-offs and funding costs are sustained, and how they affect net interest margin, provision expense and profitability.
  • The final CECL allowance and regulatory-capital impact at adoption, compared with the preliminary 50%–60% allowance estimate.
  • Post-Walmart trends in loan receivables, purchase volume, partner concentration and growth across the three platforms.
  • Progress and remaining capacity under the share repurchase program, alongside capital and liquidity needs and regulatory restrictions.
  • Developments in disclosed legal and regulatory matters, including the CFPB inquiry and securities litigation.