Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. (TGS)
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Report of Foreign Issuer)
Reporting Period: Second Quarter and First Half ended June 30, 2019
Business Overview: TGS is Argentina's leading natural gas transporter, moving approximately 59% of the country's gas consumption through over 5,700 miles of pipelines. The company is also a major natural gas processor and is expanding midstream infrastructure in the Vaca Muerta basin. Shares are traded on the NYSE (TGS) and BYMA (TGSU2).
Key Financial Metrics (2Q2019 vs. 2Q2018)
Financial results are presented in constant Argentine pesos (Ps.) based on IFRS standards.
| Metric | 2Q2019 | 2Q2018 | Variance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | Ps. 10,131.1 million | Ps. 10,929.3 million | (Ps. 798.2 million) |
| Operating Profit | Ps. 4,731.8 million | Ps. 4,568.9 million | +Ps. 162.9 million |
| Total Income (Net) | Ps. 4,053.8 million | Ps. 1,370.7 million | +Ps. 2,683.1 million |
| Income per Share | Ps. 5.222 | Ps. 1.730 | +Ps. 3.492 |
| Income Tax | (Ps. 1,848.5 million) | (Ps. 691.5 million) | (Ps. 1,157.0 million) |
Capital Expenditures (1S2019): Total Ps. 6,596.4 million, allocated to the five-year investment plan (Ps. 2,070.8 million) and Vaca Muerta pipeline/compression projects (Ps. 4,261.5 million).
Material Changes and Variance Analysis
- Revenue Decline: Total revenues decreased by Ps. 798.2 million year-over-year. The Natural Gas Transportation segment fell by Ps. 427.5 million due to inflation restatements (IAS 29) outpacing tariff increases and lower interruptible service volumes. The Liquids segment decreased by Ps. 313.1 million due to inflation restatements, lower prices, and reduced ethane volumes, partially offset by exchange rate gains.
- Profitability Surge: Despite lower revenues, Net Income increased significantly (Ps. 2,683.1 million). This was driven primarily by a Ps. 3,696.4 million improvement in financial results, including a Ps. 3,199.0 million positive exchange difference and a Ps. 954.8 million gain on monetary position due to inflation and net monetary liabilities.
- One-Time Items: Operating profit benefited from the absence of a Ps. 830.4 million adverse arbitration award recognized in 2Q2018 related to Pan American Energy.
- Cash Flow: Net cash flow generated in 1S2019 was Ps. 22,088.9 million lower than 1S2018. Operating cash flow improved by Ps. 1,057.1 million, but investment cash outflows increased by Ps. 6,199.0 million due to capital projects. Financing cash outflows increased by Ps. 16,946.9 million, largely due to dividend payments of Ps. 7,553.2 million and the absence of the US$ 500 million note issuance that occurred in 1S2018.
Outlook, Risks, and Management Commentary
- Regulatory Deferral: Resolution No. 336/2019 ordered a 22% payment deferral on residential gas invoices from July to October 2019. The government will provide economic compensation for the financial cost of this deferral.
- Operational Incident: An incident at the PBB Polisur S.R.L. plant caused a substantial decrease in ethane demand since late June 2019. The timeline for demand regularization is uncertain.
- Capital Markets: The Board approved extending the Short and Medium Term Non-convertible Notes into Shares Program from US$ 700 million to US$ 1,200 million.
- Bidding Opportunity: The Secretary of Energy issued Resolution No. 437/2019 calling for bids to construct a new pipeline connecting Neuquén to the Buenos Aires coastline. TGS is analyzing participation.
- Risks: Results are heavily influenced by Argentine inflation, exchange rate volatility, and regulatory tariff adjustments. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks that could cause actual results to differ materially.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Currency Impact: Verify the sensitivity of future earnings to Argentine peso devaluation and inflation restatement rules (IAS 29).
- Ethane Demand: Monitor the status of the PBB Polisur plant incident and its impact on Liquids segment volumes.
- Regulatory Compensation: Confirm the timing and sufficiency of government compensation for the 22% residential invoice deferral.
- Capital Allocation: Review progress on the Vaca Muerta midstream investments and the five-year tariff review (RTI) commitments.
- Debt Structure: Assess the implications of the expanded US$ 1.2 billion convertible notes program on future equity dilution.