PERUSAHAAN PERSEROAN PERSERO PT TELEKOMUNIKASI INDONESIA TBK current report, Q3 FY2005

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TELKOM)

Filing Type: Form 6-K (Report of Foreign Private Issuer)

Reporting Period: First Half (January 1 – June 30, 2005)

Announcement Date: August 5, 2005

Business Overview: TELKOM is Indonesia's leading telecommunications provider, operating fixed-line, wireless (TELKOMFlexi), and mobile cellular (Telkomsel) services. The Government of Indonesia holds a 51.19% stake. The company reported unaudited consolidated financial results prepared under Indonesian GAAP.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (Rp Billion) 1H 2004 1H 2005 Growth (%)
Operating Revenues 16,134 19,385 20.1
Operating Expenses 9,426 11,404 21.0
Operating Income (EBIT) 6,708 7,981 19.0
EBITDA 10,127 11,630 14.8
Net Income 2,509 3,703 47.6
Earnings Per Share (Rp) 124.5 183.7 47.6

Balance Sheet and Liquidity

  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: Rp 6,010 billion (June 30, 2005) vs. Rp 6,984 billion (June 30, 2004).
  • Consolidated Debt: Total debt decreased to Rp 14,925 billion from Rp 18,230 billion. The portion of US Dollar-denominated debt declined from 63.5% to 58.4%.
  • Current Ratio: Decreased to 73.97% from 100.37%.
  • Debt Service Ratio: Improved to 3.2 times from 2.5 times.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

Revenue Drivers

  • Cellular Revenues: Increased 29.3% (Rp 1,451 billion) driven by a 23% rise in prepaid and 80% rise in post-paid customers.
  • Data and Internet: Surged 42.7% (Rp 916 billion) due to TelkomNet Instan usage growth (22.2%) and Telkomsel SMS production growth (49.1%).
  • Interconnection: Rose 28.2% (Rp 776 billion) due to increased mobile interconnection and international call usage.
  • Fixed Phone: Marginal growth of 0.9% despite a 366.6% increase in fixed wireless (Flexi) lines, offset by a decline in local/long-distance pulse production.
  • Network Revenues: Decreased 29.4% due to the elimination of intra-company leased line transactions.

Expense Drivers

  • Personnel Expenses: Jumped 40% (Rp 1,070 billion) primarily due to a one-time early retirement cost of Rp 558 billion and a 126% increase in employee income tax.
  • Operations & Maintenance: Increased 27.1% due to higher Telkomsel O&M costs, concession fees, and prepaid card costs.
  • Other Charges: Decreased 63.6% due to lower interest expenses and reduced foreign exchange losses.

Outlook, Risks, and Operational Highlights

Operational Growth

  • Fixed Wireless (TELKOMFlexi): Lines in Service (LIS) grew 366.6% to 3.46 million, covering 219 cities. Prepaid subscriber growth was 1,034.8%.
  • Mobile (Telkomsel): Maintained 54% market share with 21.5 million subscribers. Total subscriber base grew 74.3% year-over-year.
  • CAPEX: 2005 budget is Rp 12,972 billion. First-half spending was Rp 795 billion (TELKOM) and Rp 3,000 billion (Telkomsel).

Management Commentary and Risks

  • Dividend: The Annual General Meeting approved a cash dividend of Rp 152.014 per share (50% of net profit) for the 2004 fiscal year.
  • Debt Management: TELKOM refinanced US$ 49 million debt to lower interest rates. Average interest rates for IDR and USD debt decreased.
  • Forward-Looking Statements: The filing includes standard disclaimers that projections involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially.
  • Regulatory: The company filed its Form 20-F for 2004 with the SEC on July 14, 2005.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • One-Time Costs: Verify the impact of the Rp 558 billion early retirement expense on future personnel costs and whether this is a recurring item.
  • Fixed-Line Decline: Assess the long-term sustainability of fixed-line revenue given the decline in pulse production despite subscriber growth in fixed wireless.
  • Foreign Exchange Exposure: Monitor the remaining 58.4% USD-denominated debt and the effectiveness of hedging strategies (currently covering ~6.24% of foreign debt).
  • ARPU Trends: Review the significant decline in blended ARPU for fixed wireless (-58.8%) and Telkomsel (-17.9%) to understand pricing pressure in the prepaid market.
  • Liquidity Position: Investigate the drop in the current ratio to 73.97% and the decrease in cash equivalents despite strong operating cash flow.