Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. KDP is set to unveil its third-quarter fiscal 2027 results on Nov. 3, before the market opens. Investors are eager to see if the company can beat market expectations. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $7.36 billion, implying 71% growth from the prior year.
Meanwhile, the consensus mark for earnings per share has been revised down to 63 cents in the past seven days, suggesting 16.7% growth from the year-ago period. KDP has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 2.7%, on average.
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc Quote
Key Factors to Observe for KDP's Q3 Earnings
Keurig Dr Pepper’s third-quarter 2026 performance is likely to have benefited from sustained momentum in its U.S. Refreshment Beverages business. Strong demand for carbonated soft drinks, particularly Dr Pepper Zero Sugar and Canada Dry, along with continued growth in energy drinks, is likely to have supported sales. Innovation, increased distribution, marketing investments and strong in-store execution might have further aided performance.
The company's energy portfolio, including Bloom, GHOST and C4, is likely to have benefited from growing consumer interest in zero-sugar beverages and expanded retail availability. Product innovations, including new flavors and refreshed packaging, might have supported market share gains. Meanwhile, sports hydration, water and other emerging beverage categories are likely to have contributed to growth, although tougher year-over-year comparisons may have moderated sales momentum.
KDP's coffee business is likely to have witnessed mixed trends during the quarter. The JDE Peet's acquisition is likely to have significantly strengthened consolidated revenues, while pricing discipline, productivity savings and integration synergies might have supported profitability. However, cautious consumer spending, value-seeking behavior and subdued single-serve coffee demand might have weighed on volumes. Brewer marketing initiatives, improving inventory conditions and easing input costs may have provided some relief.
On the international front, KDP is likely to have benefited from pricing actions, distribution expansion and healthy beverage demand in Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, integrated sales operations, procurement efficiencies and disciplined cost management following the JDE Peet's acquisition might have supported overall performance. Nevertheless, elevated commodity costs, tariff-related pressures, increased marketing expenses and investments in consumer value might have weighed on margins during the quarter.
What the Zacks Model Says About KDP’s Q3 Earnings
Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for KDP this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. However, that’s not the case here.
KDP has an Earnings ESP of +0.14% and a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Stocks With Favorable Combination
Here are three companies you may also want to consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to KDP an earnings beat this season:
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. CHD currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.06% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings per share is pegged at 90 cents, implying an 11% year-over-year increase. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues is pegged at $1.6 billion, which indicates a decline of 0.1% from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. CHD has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.9%, on average.
General Mills, Inc. GIS has an Earnings ESP of +0.26% and currently carries a Zacks Rank of 3. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings per share is pegged at 96 cents, implying a 12.7% year-over-year decline.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues is pegged at $4.7 billion, which indicates a decrease of 2.8% from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. GIS has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 4.8%, on average.
Sysco Corporation SYY currently has an Earnings ESP of +2.58% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings per share is pegged at $1.17, implying a 1.7% year-over-year increase.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues is pegged at $22.2 billion, which indicates an increase of 4.9% from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. SYY has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 1%, on average.
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Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc (KDP): Free Stock Analysis Report
General Mills, Inc. (GIS): Free Stock Analysis Report
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (CHD): Free Stock Analysis Report
Sysco Corporation (SYY): Free Stock Analysis Report
This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).