Mission Produce, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2023

Mission Produce, Inc. — Fiscal Q3 2023 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended July 31, 2023; comparative periods ended July 31, 2022. Amounts are in U.S. dollars, millions except per-share data. Mission Produce sources, farms, packs, markets and distributes avocados and other produce through Marketing and Distribution, International Farming and Blueberries segments.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2023Q3 2022Nine months 2023Nine months 2022
Net sales$261.4$313.2$696.0$807.9
Gross profit / margin$28.4 / 10.9%$42.6 / 13.6%$55.5 / 8.0%$62.9 / 7.8%
Operating income (loss)$11.0$22.0$(0.3)$4.9
Net income (loss) attributable to Mission Produce$6.6$18.4$(6.8)$7.4
Diluted EPS$0.09$0.26$(0.10)$0.10
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$21.2$31.6$31.1$30.4
  • Q3 sales fell 17%. A 33% decline in average avocado selling price, driven by higher Mexican industry supply, was partly offset by 23% higher avocado volume.
  • Q3 gross profit declined 33%; management attributed the reduction principally to lower prices on fruit from company-owned farms. Q3 SG&A fell 16% to $17.4 million, largely on lower incentive compensation, ERP reengineering costs and professional fees.
  • Nine-month sales declined 14%, as avocado prices fell 32% and volume rose 19%. Nine-month net loss included a $1.7 million discrete Mexican uncertain-tax-position charge; losses in some jurisdictions did not generate corresponding tax benefits.
  • Q3 Marketing and Distribution adjusted EBITDA rose to $16.1 million from $15.5 million. International Farming adjusted EBITDA fell to $4.9 million from $16.3 million, reflecting lower farm-gate avocado prices. Blueberries recorded $0.2 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q3; its nine-month result was a $0.2 million loss.

Cash flow, liquidity and debt

  • Nine-month operating cash flow was negative $7.3 million, versus negative $3.0 million a year earlier. Working-capital changes used $31.2 million, and management cited weaker International Farming performance.
  • Investing cash outflow was $50.7 million, including $47.0 million of capital expenditures. Financing provided $29.1 million. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash totaled $25.1 million at July 31, 2023, including $23.0 million unrestricted cash.
  • Working capital was $129.1 million, compared with $126.4 million at October 31, 2022. Long-term debt, net of current portion, was $164.3 million; the filing reports $168.3 million of total term-loan and note maturities and $2.8 million of short-term borrowings.
  • The $250 million credit facility comprises $150 million of revolving capacity and $100 million of term loans. The company had $70 million drawn on the revolver. Variable rates on the principal facility borrowings were approximately 7.33%–7.67%; interest expense rose to $8.3 million for nine months from $3.5 million.
  • At July 31, the company reported compliance with covenants: leverage ratio 2.97 versus a maximum 3.5, and fixed-charge coverage 1.68 versus a minimum 1.25. It had $100 million of interest-rate swaps, scheduled to expire at various dates through fiscal Q2 2024.

Outlook, risks and notable items

  • No specific revenue or earnings guidance is provided. For fiscal 2023, management expected capital expenditures excluding the Moruga Blueberry Project to be below fiscal 2022’s $61.2 million. The blueberry expansion project is expected to require about $50 million in total, with approximately $13 million of fiscal 2023 capex anticipated, subject to timing and other factors.
  • Results are exposed to fruit supply, market prices and volumes, weather, crop yields, customer demand, seasonality, logistics, inflation, foreign exchange and customer concentration. Management says results are seasonal; working capital commonly rises in the first half, while Peruvian avocado harvest and farming-segment results are concentrated in the second half.
  • Two California wage-and-labor class actions remain subject to settlement approval. In July 2023, the court directed notice to a class scope the company disputes; final approval was set for January 30, 2024. The company had previously recorded a $0.8 million settlement contingency. Management cautions that adverse outcomes could materially affect results.
  • As of July 31, the company had $20.1 million accrued for uncertain income-tax positions, including $10.0 million of interest and penalties. Lease cash liabilities were approximately $182.5 million, including about $60.0 million related to a blueberry land lease.
  • After quarter-end, the board approved a share repurchase authorization of up to $20 million over 36 months; no shares had been repurchased through September 11, 2023. A director and spouse also adopted a Rule 10b5-1 plan covering sales of up to 1,651,500 shares, with sales scheduled to begin October 16, 2023.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether higher avocado volumes and improved supply conditions can offset lower selling prices, particularly in International Farming.
  • Cash conversion, seasonal working-capital needs and funding of substantial capex and the blueberry expansion.
  • Debt, borrowing costs, covenant headroom and the expiration of interest-rate swaps.
  • The final outcome and potential financial exposure of the wage-and-labor litigation and Mexican tax position.
  • Performance of the Blueberries segment and its reliance on a single distributor under an exclusive marketing agreement.