Global Indemnity Group, LLC quarterly report, Q3 FY2014

Global Indemnity plc — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2014. The filing is by Global Indemnity plc, an Ireland-domiciled insurance and reinsurance group; interim financial statements are unaudited. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars unless stated otherwise.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2014Q3 2013Nine months 2014Nine months 2013
Total revenues$75.8 million$74.8 million$264.8 million$218.1 million
Net premiums earned$68.0 million$64.5 million$201.6 million$179.1 million
Net investment income$6.5 million$8.5 million$22.5 million$28.3 million
Net realized investment gains$1.2 million$1.6 million$40.2 million$10.2 million
Net income$9.8 million$6.9 million$51.8 million$28.0 million
Diluted earnings per share$0.39$0.28$2.05$1.11
Net cash used in operating activitiesNot separately reportedNot separately reported$7.1 million$0.9 million

Nine-month earnings included $40.2 million of realized investment gains, principally $51.8 million of equity-security gains, partly offset by $13.6 million of interest-rate-swap losses. Investment income fell as the company redeemed corporate loans and part of its equity portfolio and reinvested at lower yields. Nine-month total investment return was $19.1 million, down from $45.8 million; Q3 total investment return was negative $4.2 million.

Underwriting and material comparisons

  • Consolidated combined ratio: 94.3% in Q3 versus 98.6%; 96.5% for nine months versus 100.0%. Ratios below 100% indicate underwriting profit under the company’s measure.
  • Insurance Operations: Q3 combined ratio improved to 97.8% from 105.3%, and the segment moved to $1.3 million income from a $2.5 million loss. Nine-month combined ratio improved to 102.8% from 107.8%, while the segment loss narrowed to $3.8 million from $10.5 million. Lower expense ratios and better casualty experience helped; catastrophe losses were higher year to date.
  • Reinsurance Operations: Q3 combined ratio worsened to 81.8% from 73.5%, and segment income fell to $2.8 million from $3.7 million, reflecting higher property losses. Nine-month combined ratio rose to 73.6% from 69.9%, while segment income increased modestly to $11.2 million from $10.9 million.
  • Gross premiums written were broadly flat year to date at $227.2 million versus $228.0 million. Net premiums earned increased 12.5%, while net investment income declined 20.5%.

Financial position, liquidity and debt

  • At September 30, total assets were $1.880 billion, investments $1.451 billion, cash and cash equivalents $66.6 million, and shareholders’ equity $898.1 million. Equity increased from $873.3 million at year-end 2013, while total assets declined from $1.912 billion.
  • Unpaid losses and loss-adjustment expenses were $739.9 million gross and $568.1 million net of reinsurance. Reinsurance receivables were $178.2 million.
  • Margin-facility borrowing was $62.3 million, down from $100.0 million at year-end; the facility is due on demand and bears interest at one-week LIBOR plus 90 basis points. Securities of about $79.5 million collateralized it.
  • Operating cash flow was negative $7.1 million for the first nine months. Cash declined to $66.6 million from $105.5 million at year-end, including $37.7 million of net repayments on the margin facility. Some assets are pledged, held in trust, or deposited with regulators; the filing reports $716.2 million of securities and cash in these categories.
  • U.S. insurance subsidiaries paid a $200 million extraordinary dividend in January 2014 and are restricted from paying further dividends before January 23, 2015 without regulatory approval. Subsidiary dividends are an important source of holding-company liquidity.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No specific earnings or premium guidance was provided. Management said the reinsurer was cautiously deploying capital given the pricing environment and reported an A.M. Best “A” financial-strength rating for the reinsurance company and U.S. insurance subsidiaries.
  • On October 16, 2014, a subsidiary agreed to acquire American Reliable Insurance Company for $113.7 million cash, subject to adjustments, regulatory approvals, and other closing conditions. The filing’s risk discussion describes a potential price of approximately $120 million including intervening earnings and approximately $280 million of insurance-related liabilities, obligations, and mandates to be assumed. Completion and final terms are not assured.
  • The company committed $50 million to a European non-performing-loan investment vehicle; $18.3 million was funded and $31.7 million remained unfunded at quarter-end. This alternative investment is illiquid and had a $34.1 million future funding commitment reported in the investment note.
  • Interest-rate swaps had a $7.8 million fair-value liability at September 30, 2014, versus a $1.7 million asset at year-end. The company reported $13.6 million of swap losses in the first nine months and $10.0 million due for margin calls, in addition to $4.8 million of collateral receivable.
  • Management identified reserve estimation, claim frequency and severity, catastrophe exposure, reinsurer collectability, investment and interest-rate risk, regulatory dividend limits, and acquisition execution as key risks. It reported ordinary-course litigation and heightened potential disputes with reinsurers in runoff, but did not expect pending matters to have a material adverse effect.
  • The company disclosed a prior-period cash-flow classification reclassification of $2.2 million for 2013, with no effect on operating cash flow or other financial metrics; management did not consider it material.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether the American Reliable acquisition closed, its final purchase price and funding source, and the effect of assumed liabilities and reserve adjustments.
  2. Whether operating cash generation improves and how the company meets demand borrowing, collateral, acquisition, and unfunded investment commitments.
  3. Subsequent reserve development, especially general liability and asbestos exposures, runoff marine treaties, and the sensitivity of loss estimates to claim severity.
  4. How much of nine-month profit depended on realized equity gains, and the continuing impact of lower investment income and swap losses.
  5. Regulatory capacity for subsidiary dividends and the availability and collectability of reinsurance receivables.