Ferroglobe PLC current report, Q3 FY2020

Ferroglobe PLC: Q2 2020 Financial Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K filing, dated August 31, 2020, reports the unaudited financial results for Ferroglobe PLC for the quarter ended June 30, 2020. Ferroglobe is a global producer of silicon metal, silicon-based, and manganese-based specialty alloys. The reporting period was significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, which caused a slowdown in demand across core product categories, particularly in the automotive and steel sectors.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2019
Sales $250.0 million $311.2 million $409.5 million
Net Loss $(14.0) million $(49.1) million $(43.7) million
Adjusted EBITDA $22.4 million $(17.6) million $5.0 million
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 9.0% -5.7% 1.2%
Operating Cash Flow $38.1 million $89.6 million $(34.0) million
Gross Debt $451.0 million $443.0 million $666.3 million
Cash and Restricted Cash $153.2 million $144.5 million $187.7 million
Working Capital $321.4 million $347.6 million $410.4 million

Material Changes vs. Prior Periods

  • Revenue Decline: Sales decreased 19.7% sequentially (Q1 to Q2 2020) and 38.9% year-over-year. This was driven by a 24.1% drop in total shipments, partially offset by a 7.0% increase in average selling prices.
  • Profitability Improvement: The company returned to positive Adjusted EBITDA ($22.4 million) from a loss in the prior quarter. This turnaround was achieved through operational cost savings of $16.3 million, lower energy prices in Europe, and reduced raw material costs.
  • Cost of Sales: Decreased to $153.3 million (61.3% of sales) from $243.4 million (78.2% of sales) in Q1 2020, reflecting production curtailments at less cost-competitive plants.
  • Debt and Liquidity: Gross debt increased by $8 million to $451 million, primarily due to $11 million in accrued interest on senior unsecured notes. Net debt remained relatively stable at $298 million. Working capital improved by $26.2 million quarter-over-quarter.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Strategic Plan: Management announced a new three-year strategic plan aimed at increasing baseline revenue by $175 million, baseline EBITDA by $150 million, and improving cash by $70 million. Initiatives include commercial strategy optimization, footprint optimization, and working capital improvements.
  • COVID-19 Impact: While day-to-day operations continue without material disruption, demand remains adversely impacted. Management notes that forecasting cash flow for the next 12 months is difficult due to market volatility, though downside scenario analysis supports the ability to continue as a going concern.
  • Financing: The company is pursuing additional financing sources, including a refinancing of its A/R securitization program (target closing September 2020) and a new term loan facility (target closing October 2020).
  • Subsequent Events: The company sold CO2 emission rights in July and August, generating approximately $33 million in proceeds.
  • Risks: Key risks include the potential for a change of control triggering a redemption of senior notes, which the company may not have sufficient resources to satisfy, and continued volatility in customer demand and commodity prices.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Cash Headroom: Verify the sufficiency of the $153.2 million cash balance against upcoming debt obligations, specifically the senior notes interest payment due August 31, 2020.
  • Strategic Execution: Monitor the progress of the new three-year strategic plan and the realization of the targeted $150 million incremental EBITDA.
  • Financing Status: Confirm the successful closing of the A/R securitization refinancing and the new term loan facility to ensure liquidity needs are met.
  • Volume Recovery: Track the recovery of shipment volumes in the automotive and steel sectors, which are currently depressed due to the pandemic.
  • CO2 Rights: Assess the quantum of CO2 emission rights that will need to be reacquired in late 2020 or 2021 following the recent sale.