John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2023

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. — Q3 2023 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period: The company is a Virginia bank holding company operating through John Marshall Bank, primarily serving the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area. This unaudited filing covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2023; balance-sheet comparisons are to December 31, 2022. Dollar amounts below are in millions unless stated otherwise.

Financial performance and condition

  • Profitability: Q3 net loss was $10.1 million, or $(0.72) per diluted share, versus net income of $8.0 million, or $0.57 per diluted share, in Q3 2022. Nine-month net income was $0.7 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared with $23.6 million, or $1.67 per diluted share, a year earlier. Management’s non-GAAP “core” net income was $4.5 million for Q3 and $15.3 million for the first nine months, excluding specified restructuring-related items.
  • Interest income and margins: Q3 net interest income was $12.0 million versus $17.7 million; nine-month net interest income was $38.5 million versus $52.9 million. Tax-equivalent net interest margin fell to 2.08% for Q3 from 3.10%, and to 2.25% for the nine months from 3.19%. Management attributed compression chiefly to rising deposit and borrowing costs, which outpaced asset-yield increases.
  • Credit provision and asset quality: The company recorded a $0.8 million Q3 recovery of credit losses and a $2.5 million nine-month recovery, primarily reflecting revised model assumptions and continued strong portfolio performance. Gross loans were $1.816 billion; the loan-loss allowance was $20.0 million, or 1.10% of gross loans. No loans were past due or nonaccrual, and there were no nonperforming assets at quarter-end.
  • Cash flow: For the nine months, operating cash flow was $12.6 million, investing cash flow was $178.9 million, and financing cash flow was negative $60.4 million. Cash and cash equivalents increased $131.1 million to $192.7 million. Investing cash flow included $156.0 million of AFS-security sale proceeds and $21.4 million from BOLI contracts.
  • Balance sheet and funding: Total assets were $2.298 billion, down 2.1% from year-end 2022. Net loans were $1.800 billion, up $30.8 million, while deposits fell $86.1 million to $1.982 billion. Shareholders’ equity rose 3.6% to $220.6 million; book value per share was $15.61.
  • Debt and liquidity: The company had $54.0 million outstanding under a one-year Federal Reserve Bank Term Funding Program advance at 4.80%, plus $24.7 million of subordinated debt. It reported $742.5 million of total liquidity, equal to 106% of uninsured, non-collateralized deposits, and $444.7 million of available FHLB borrowing capacity. The bank was classified as well capitalized; its total risk-based capital ratio was 15.7% and leverage ratio 11.3%.

Material changes and unusual items

  • In July 2023, the company sold AFS securities with $161.2 million par value, recording a $17.1 million pretax loss, and surrendered $21.4 million of BOLI policies. Together, the restructuring items produced a reported after-tax loss of $14.6 million, substantially affecting Q3 and year-to-date GAAP results.
  • AFS securities declined to $169.1 million fair value from $357.6 million at year-end 2022. The remaining portfolio had $21.7 million of gross unrealized losses; management attributed losses to market rates and volatility, reported no credit-loss allowance, and said it did not intend or expect to be required to sell the remaining securities before recovery.
  • Interest expense rose sharply: nine-month deposit interest expense was $33.6 million versus $6.1 million in 2022. The average cost of interest-bearing liabilities increased to 2.89% from 0.67%.
  • The company adopted CECL on January 1, 2023, reducing retained earnings by $2.3 million after tax at adoption. It recorded a $0.9 million allowance for unfunded commitments at September 30.
  • Deposits included $288.9 million of brokered deposits. Estimated uninsured deposits were $864.8 million; deposits not insured or collateralized represented 35% of total deposits.

Outlook, management commentary, and risks

Management described the loan pipeline entering Q4 as robust and said it continues to pursue loans meeting underwriting standards. It cited higher funding costs and deposit repricing as key pressures on net interest income and margin, and stated that liquidity stress testing is conducted quarterly. The filing provides no specific earnings or financial guidance. Key disclosed risks include deposit retention and funding access, interest-rate and liquidity exposure, loan and real-estate credit quality, securities-market values, economic conditions in the Washington, D.C. area, and operational, cyber, regulatory, and litigation risks. Management reported effective disclosure controls and no material change in internal control over financial reporting during the quarter; it reported no material legal proceedings or material changes to previously disclosed risk factors.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • How much of the Q3 and nine-month earnings decline is attributable to the one-time securities sale and BOLI surrender, and whether management’s non-GAAP adjustments are comparable and useful.
  • Whether deposit costs, deposit mix, and reliance on brokered or other rate-sensitive funding continue to pressure margins and liquidity.
  • The value, duration, and potential liquidity implications of remaining securities with substantial unrealized losses, including securities pledged as collateral.
  • Whether the CECL allowance and recovery in provision remain appropriate as loan growth, economic forecasts, and borrower conditions evolve.
  • The maturity and renewal profile of time deposits, the terms and collateral of the $54.0 million BTFP advance, and the continued availability of stated borrowing facilities.