MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS, INC. quarterly report, Q3 FY2015

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. — Q3 2015 Form 10-Q

Business context and period. The unaudited quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2015, compared with the same 2014 periods. MPS designs high-performance power solutions and operates as a fabless semiconductor company. It sells mainly in Asia and through distributors; DC-to-DC products accounted for 90.7% of Q3 revenue. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars; financial statement amounts are in millions unless stated otherwise.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQ3 2015Q3 2014Nine months 2015Nine months 2014
Revenue$91.2$78.3$246.1$206.8
Gross profit / margin$49.4 / 54.2%$42.5 / 54.2%$133.3 / 54.1%$111.7 / 54.0%
Operating income$13.3$10.4$29.3$26.1
Net income$11.2$11.2$25.1$26.6
Diluted EPS$0.28$0.28$0.62$0.67
Operating cash flowNot presented by quarterNot presented by quarter$45.4$53.6
  • Q3 revenue rose 16.4% year over year; management attributed growth to 9% higher unit shipments and a 7% increase in average selling prices. Nine-month revenue rose 19.0%, with shipments up 19% and average selling prices down 1%.
  • Q3 net income was essentially flat despite higher revenue and operating income. Nine-month net income declined 5.9%; the prior-year period included an $8.1 million net litigation benefit, principally the O2 Micro award.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $76.6 million and short-term investments $153.0 million at September 30, 2015, totaling $229.7 million. Working capital was $281.3 million. Total assets were $420.1 million and total liabilities $66.0 million. The balance sheet presents no interest-bearing debt.
  • Cash from operations of $45.4 million was below the prior-year $53.6 million, largely reflecting a $26.4 million cash use from increased inventory. Capital expenditures were $8.4 million. Investing cash use was $53.5 million and financing cash use was $40.4 million; cash declined $49.7 million during the nine months.
  • Inventory increased to $67.3 million from $40.9 million at year-end 2014. The company cited strategic wafer and die-bank purchases and finished goods to meet anticipated demand.

Changes, outlook, and material matters

  • Gross margin was broadly stable. Operating expenses rose year over year, including R&D of $49.1 million for nine months, while SG&A as a share of revenue declined. Stock-based compensation was $29.2 million for the nine months.
  • Nine-month 2015 results included a $2.7 million one-time tax charge related to settlement of IRS audits for tax years 2005–2007. MPS paid $1.2 million in tax, $1.0 million in interest, and $0.1 million for tax years 2008–2013; no penalties were assessed.
  • MPS stated that cash from operations plus existing cash and short-term investments should satisfy liquidity needs for the next 12 months. It provided no numerical revenue or earnings guidance in the supplied filing text. Management emphasized that semiconductor demand is cyclical and that customer orders can be canceled or rescheduled, making forecasts difficult.
  • Capital returns continued: the company paid $21.9 million in dividends and dividend equivalents and repurchased $31.7 million of shares in the first nine months. The repurchase authorization had $6.5 million remaining at September 30 and was extended through December 31, 2015. Future dividends remain at the board’s discretion.
  • Key risks include geographic and customer concentration: 92% of Q3 revenue came from Asia, and the largest distributor represented 24% of revenue. Two distributors together represented 42% of accounts receivable at quarter-end. MPS also depends on third-party wafer, assembly, and test suppliers; purchase commitments were $31.4 million.
  • The filing reports no material pending legal proceedings as of September 30, 2015. Sensima acquisition contingent consideration remains $2.5 million recorded, with up to $8.9 million potentially payable if specified 2016 product milestones are achieved. Acquired in-process R&D was completed and reclassified to finite-lived intangible assets in Q3.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether revenue growth and new design wins continue, given the semiconductor cycle, short order lead times, and dependence on Asian demand.
  • Whether the substantial inventory build converts into sales without obsolescence, price pressure, or additional reserve charges.
  • How distributor concentration and the largest distributor’s 24% revenue share affect sales, collections, and channel risk.
  • Whether operating cash flow recovers as inventory investment moderates, while dividends and buybacks continue.
  • Potential changes in tax exposures, the Sensima milestone liability, and the liquidity or valuation of $5.4 million in illiquid auction-rate securities.