STARBUCKS CORP quarterly report, Q2 FY2004

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: Starbucks Corporation
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Reporting Period: 13 weeks and 39 weeks ended June 27, 2004 (Fiscal Q3 2004)
Business Overview: Starbucks operates company-operated and licensed retail stores globally, selling coffee, tea, and related products. The company also engages in specialty operations including licensing, foodservice, and grocery/warehouse club sales.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (in thousands) 13 Weeks Ended
June 27, 2004
13 Weeks Ended
June 29, 2003
39 Weeks Ended
June 27, 2004
39 Weeks Ended
June 29, 2003
Total Net Revenues $1,318,691 $1,036,776 $3,840,950 $2,994,508
Operating Income $153,807 $106,018 $453,848 $312,347
Net Earnings $98,104 $68,356 $288,403 $198,750
Diluted EPS $0.24 $0.17 $0.70 $0.50
Operating Margin 11.7% 10.2% 11.8% 10.4%
Cash & Equivalents $383,373 $263,638 $383,373 $263,638
Working Capital $652,704 $315,326 $652,704 $315,326
Long-Term Debt $3,803 $4,354 $3,803 $4,354

Note: Cash and Working Capital figures represent the balance sheet position as of June 27, 2004, compared to the prior year-end or period end where applicable.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Total net revenues increased 27.2% for the quarter and 28.3% for the year-to-date period. Growth was driven by the opening of 651 new company-operated stores and 727 new licensed stores in the last 12 months, alongside an 11% increase in comparable store sales.
  • Profitability: Net earnings rose 43.5% for the quarter and 45.1% year-to-date. Operating margins expanded due to leverage on fixed costs and efficiencies in supply chain distribution, offsetting higher commodity costs for dairy and green coffee.
  • Segment Performance:
    • United States: Revenues increased 27.5% (quarter) and 27.9% (YTD). Operating income grew 25.6% (quarter) and 27.1% (YTD).
    • International: Revenues increased 25.2% (quarter) and 30.5% (YTD). The segment returned to profitability with operating income of $13.7 million for the quarter, compared to a loss of $1.0 million in the prior year.
  • Cash Flow: Net cash provided by operating activities was $600.7 million for the 39-week period, up from $487.6 million in the prior year. This was driven by net earnings and a $50.9 million increase in deferred revenue from Starbucks Card balances.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Store Expansion: Starbucks plans to open approximately 1,300 new stores globally in fiscal 2004 and expects to accelerate to approximately 1,500 new stores in fiscal 2005.
  • Comparable Store Sales: Management targets 3-7% comparable store sales growth for the next three to five years. The company recently achieved 150 consecutive months of positive comparable store sales growth.
  • Capital Expenditures: Expected to be approximately $475 million for fiscal 2004 and in the range of $600 million to $650 million for fiscal 2005.
  • Share Repurchases: The company repurchased 2.2 million shares for $82.2 million during the 39-week period. Approximately 12.4 million shares remain authorized for repurchase.
  • Risks and Contingencies:
    • Commodity Prices: Significant volatility in coffee and dairy prices poses a risk. As of June 27, 2004, the company had $281.3 million in fixed-price purchase commitments for green coffee.
    • Foreign Exchange: A 10% devaluation of the U.S. dollar could reduce the fair value of derivative instruments by approximately $22.9 million.
    • Guarantees: The company guarantees approximately $11.6 million in Japanese yen-denominated loans for an unconsolidated equity investee (Starbucks Coffee Japan, Ltd.).

Key Facts for Investor Verification

  • Sustainability of Growth: Verify if the 11% comparable store sales growth is sustainable given management's long-term target of 3-7%.
  • Commodity Hedging: Assess the adequacy of the $281.3 million fixed-price coffee contracts against potential future price spikes in green coffee and dairy.
  • International Profitability: Monitor the International segment's ability to maintain positive operating margins as it continues to expand store count.
  • Capital Allocation: Track the execution of the $475 million capital expenditure plan for fiscal 2004 and the pace of share repurchases.
  • Deferred Revenue: Note the significant increase in deferred revenue ($50.9 million cash flow impact) from Starbucks Cards, which represents future revenue recognition.